Cavaliers vs Heat Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 8

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 08, 2023, 4:30 PM
  • The Cavaliers (41-26) are -1.5 favorites vs. the Heat (35-31)
  • Total (Over/Under): 214.5 points
  • Wednesday, March 8, 2023 at 7:30pm EST
  • Watch the game on BSSUN & BSOH

The Cleveland Cavaliers visit Miami-Dade Arena to take on the Miami Heat on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Miami.

The Cavaliers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-115).

The Cavaliers vs Heat Over/Under is 215.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Cavaliers are 34-29 against the spread, while the Heat are 24-40 against the spread.


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Cavaliers vs. Heat Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cleveland Cavaliers-1.5 -115O 215.5 -110-135
Miami Heat +1.5 -105U 215.5 -110+110

Heat vs Cavaliers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Cavaliers will win Wednesday‘s game with 56.3% confidence.

Heat vs Cavaliers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Cavaliers will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 53.7% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Cavaliers and Heat, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 44 of their last 66 games (+19.52 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 42 of their last 65 games (+15.56 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 34 of their last 53 games (+13.25 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have covered the 4Q Spread in 49 of their last 87 games (+7.42 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games (+7.00 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 37 games at home (+12.80 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 41 of their last 67 games (+11.46 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 40 of their last 67 games (+11.25 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 38 games (+11.24 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the Team Total Under in 49 of their last 82 games (+11.05 Units / 12% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Cavaliers have gone 34-29 (+2.05 Units / 2.78% ROI).

  • 41-26 against the Moneyline (+2.25 Units / 1.41% ROI)
  • 32-35 against the Over for game total points (-6.5 Units / -8.82% ROI)
  • 35-32 against the Under for game total points (-0.2 Units / -0.27% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 24-40 (-20 Units / -27.55% ROI).

  • 35-31 against the Moneyline (-15.55 Units / -12.53% ROI)
  • 29-36 against the Over for game total points (-10.6 Units / -14.6% ROI)
  • 36-29 against the Under for game total points (+4.1 Units / 5.65% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the Team Total Over in 42 of their last 100 games (-24.65 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 66 games (-23.45 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 22 of their last 56 games (-23.17 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only covered the Spread in 26 of their last 72 games (-22.40 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 69 games (-20.34 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 78 games (-28.62 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 77 games (-26.00 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 69 games (-24.22 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only covered the 3Q Spread in 30 of their last 77 games (-22.38 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 40 away games (-20.10 Units / -34% ROI)

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Cleveland Cavaliers: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat

The Cleveland Cavaliers are 28-7 (.800) when winning the rebounding margin this season — fifth-best among NBA teams. The Detroit Pistons have averaged 42.5 rebounds per game (2,676 rebounds/63 games) this season — 10th-lowest among NBA teams.

The Cleveland Cavaliers are 50-26 (.658) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — ninth-best among NBA teams. The Detroit Pistons have averaged 13.8 turnovers per game (2,002 turnovers/145 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for seventh-highest among NBA teams.

The Cavaliers are 38-37 (.507) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .540

The Cavaliers are 13-45 (.224) when allowing 110 or more points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .322

Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers

The Heat are 45-14 (.763) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .542

The Heat are 29-13 (.690) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .550

The Heat are 18-6 (.750) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .675

The Heat are 24-15 (.615) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .461

Injury Report: Heat vs. CavaliersWednesday‘s Game, Mar. 8

  • Kyle Lowry (Heat): Lowry has not played since Feb. 2 and no timetable has been announced for his return.
  • Nikola Jovic (Heat): Jovic has been out since Dec. 26 and remains without a timetable for return.
  • Kevin Love (Heat): Love is questionable for Wednesday’s (Mar 8) game against Cleveland.
  • Cleveland Cavaliers – No Injuries Reported

Cleveland Cavaliers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers averaged 102.5 points per game (7,379 points/72 games) in the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 111.8

The Cavaliers shot 34% from three (714/2,125) in the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Cavaliers have averaged 52.1 points per game (11,349 points/218 games) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54.9

The Cavaliers have averaged 107.3 points per game (23,494 points/219 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 112.1

Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 51.4 points per game (3,033 points/59 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.0

The Heat have averaged 108.0 points per game (6,374 points/59 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.3

The Heat are shooting 32% from three (316/999) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Heat have averaged 52.4 points per game (7,395 points/141 games) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54.9

Cleveland Cavaliers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers have averaged 4.4 blocks per game (285 blocks/65 games) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Cavaliers have averaged 32.1 defensive rebounds per game (2,084 rebounds/65 games) this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.0

The Cavaliers have averaged 6.8 steals per game (499 steals/73 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Cavaliers have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (628 blocks/147 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 3.1 blocks per game (438 blocks/141 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Heat have averaged 2.9 blocks per game (173 blocks/59 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Heat have averaged 3.0 blocks per game (205 blocks/69 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Heat have averaged 3.4 blocks per game (724 blocks/213 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.