Cleveland Cavaliers vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Dec. 14

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 14, 2022, 4:30 PM
  • The Mavericks (14-13) are -2.5 favorites vs. the Cavaliers (17-11)
  • Total (Over/Under): 215.5 points
  • Wednesday, December 14, 2022 at 9:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on BSSW & BSOH

The Cleveland Cavaliers visit American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Mavericks on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Dallas.

The Mavericks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-105).

The Cavaliers vs Mavericks Over/Under is 215.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Cavaliers are 14-11 against the spread, while the Mavericks are 8-17 against the spread.


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Cavaliers vs. Mavericks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cleveland Cavaliers+2.5 -115O 215.5 -110+110
Dallas Mavericks -2.5 -105U 215.5 -110-130

Mavericks vs Cavaliers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Mavericks will win Wednesday‘s game with 57.0% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Mavericks will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Cavaliers and Mavericks, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 11 games (+10.00 Units / 84% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 41 of their last 69 games (+9.72 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.80 Units / 62% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 41 away games (+8.70 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 18 of their last 28 games (+6.84 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 66 of their last 100 games (+29.24 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 35 of their last 48 games at home (+16.90 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 34 of their last 50 games at home (+12.65 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 49 games at home (+11.20 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 1Q Spread in 31 of their last 49 games at home (+11.20 Units / 21% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Cavaliers have gone 14-11 (+1.9 Units / 6.16% ROI).

  • 17-11 against the Moneyline (+1.7 Units / 2.96% ROI)
  • 11-17 against the Over for game total points (-7.7 Units / -25% ROI)
  • 17-11 against the Under for game total points (+4.9 Units / 15.91% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 8-17 (-10.7 Units / -36.03% ROI).

  • 14-13 against the Moneyline (-15.85 Units / -25.24% ROI)
  • 17-10 against the Over for game total points (+6 Units / 20.2% ROI)
  • 10-17 against the Under for game total points (-8.7 Units / -29.29% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 100 games (-41.70 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 39 of their last 84 games (-22.36 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 32 games (-19.40 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 79 games (-17.05 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 49 games at home (-16.10 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 32 away games (-23.85 Units / -47% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 83 games (-18.50 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 79 games (-16.64 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only covered the Spread in 13 of their last 41 away games (-15.65 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 41 away games (-15.00 Units / -32% ROI)

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Cleveland Cavaliers: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Cavaliers are 10-9 (.526) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .480

The Cavaliers are 27-30 (.474) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .548

The Cavaliers are 25-37 (.403) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .455

The Cavaliers are 14-63 (.182) when allowing 110 or more points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .308

Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers

The Mavericks are 25-12 (.676) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .461

The Mavericks are 22-6 (.786) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .506

The Mavericks are 35-19 (.648) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Mavericks are 46-21 (.687) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2020-21 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544

Injury Report: Mavericks vs. CavaliersWednesday‘s Game, Dec. 14

  • Maxi Kleber (Mavericks): Kleber is questionable for Wednesday’s (Dec. 14) game against Cleveland.
  • Josh Green (Mavericks): Green is out for Wednesday’s (Dec. 14) game against Cleveland.
  • Dean Wade (Cavaliers): The Cavaliers announced that Wade has an AC joint sprain and is expected to miss 3-4 weeks
  • Ricky Rubio (Cavaliers): Rubio will miss the start of the season as he recovers from a left ACL tear.
  • Dylan Windler (Cavaliers): The Cavaliers announced that Windler will miss another 4-6 weeks.

Cleveland Cavaliers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers averaged 102.5 points per game (7,379 points/72 games) in the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 111.8

The Cavaliers are shooting 43% from three (91/211) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Cavaliers are shooting 40% from three (170/426) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Cavaliers have averaged 1.38 points per shot (929 points/675 shots) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.26

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have averaged 7.9 assists per game (95 assists/12 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 11.8

The Mavericks have averaged 49.9 points per game (599 points/12 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54.7

The Mavericks have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.1 (95 assists/ 88 TOs) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Mavericks have a 32% free throw rate (321 free throw attempts/991 field goal attempts) this season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 26%

Cleveland Cavaliers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers have averaged 5.6 steals per game (73 steals/13 games) this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Cavaliers have averaged 34.1 defensive rebounds per game (443 rebounds/13 games) this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.2

The Cavaliers have averaged 7.2 steals per game (1,188 steals/166 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Cavaliers have averaged 6.8 steals per game (640 steals/94 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have averaged 6.7 steals per game (1,106 steals/166 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Mavericks have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (327 blocks/84 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Mavericks have averaged 31.1 defensive rebounds per game (373 rebounds/12 games) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.2

The Mavericks have averaged 6.7 steals per game (552 steals/82 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.