Clippers vs Warriors Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 2

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 02, 2023, 4:30 PM
  • The Clippers (33-31) are -3.5 favorites vs. the Warriors (32-30)
  • Total (Over/Under): 231.5 points
  • Thursday, March 2, 2023 at 10:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on NBCS-BA & TNT

The LA Clippers visit Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in San Francisco.

The Clippers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Clippers vs Warriors Over/Under is 231.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Clippers are 31-33 against the spread, while the Warriors are 29-32 against the spread.


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Clippers vs. Warriors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
LA Clippers-3.5 -110O 231.5 -110-165
Golden State Warriors +3.5 -110U 231.5 -110+135

Warriors vs Clippers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Clippers will win Thursday‘s game with 58.6% confidence.

Warriors vs Clippers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Warriors will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 52.4% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Clippers and Warriors, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The LA Clippers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 44 of their last 68 games (+16.32 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The LA Clippers have covered the 3Q Spread in 48 of their last 77 games (+15.98 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The LA Clippers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 40 away games (+14.62 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The LA Clippers have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 26 away games (+13.40 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The LA Clippers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 26 of their last 40 away games (+11.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the Spread in 32 of their last 47 games at home (+16.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 21 games (+15.65 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 42 of their last 68 games (+14.40 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 59 of their last 100 games (+13.73 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the 1H Spread in 29 of their last 44 games (+13.40 Units / 27% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Clippers have gone 31-33 (-5.35 Units / -7.6% ROI).

  • 33-31 against the Moneyline (-8.7 Units / -7.2% ROI)
  • 29-35 against the Over for game total points (-9.5 Units / -13.49% ROI)
  • 35-29 against the Under for game total points (+3.1 Units / 4.4% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 29-32 (-6.2 Units / -9.09% ROI).

  • 32-30 against the Moneyline (-24.2 Units / -17.1% ROI)
  • 35-26 against the Over for game total points (+6.4 Units / 9.38% ROI)
  • 26-35 against the Under for game total points (-12.5 Units / -18.33% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 40 of their last 100 games (-27.01 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 61 games (-25.20 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 68 games (-21.25 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 47 of their last 97 games (-20.70 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 49 games at home (-19.83 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The LA Clippers have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 84 games (-44.05 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The LA Clippers have only covered the 2Q Spread in 29 of their last 84 games (-31.07 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The LA Clippers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 33 of their last 83 games (-28.90 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The LA Clippers have only covered the 1H Spread in 32 of their last 83 games (-22.95 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The LA Clippers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 42 away games (-19.77 Units / -42% ROI)

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LA Clippers: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The LA Clippers are 40-12 (.769) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — ninth-best among NBA teams. The Sacramento Kings have averaged 42.5 rebounds per game (5,775 rebounds/136 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for fourth-lowest among NBA teams.

The Clippers are 13-18 (.419) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .462

The Clippers are 24-9 (.727) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .643

The Clippers are 14-8 (.636) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .548

Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the LA Clippers

The Golden State Warriors are 34-17 (.667) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for seventh-best among NBA teams. The Los Angeles Lakers have averaged 13.7 turnovers per game (1,896 turnovers/138 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for ninth-highest among NBA teams.

The Warriors are 16-3 (.842) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .751

The Warriors are 56-29 (.651) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .567

The Warriors are 38-20 (.655) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .559

Injury Report: Warriors vs. ClippersThursday‘s Game, Mar. 2

  • Andrew Wiggins (Warriors): Wiggins remains without a timetable to return to the Warriors, according to Anthony Slater of The Athletic.
  • Ryan Rollins (Warriors): The Warriors announced that Rollins has a Jones fracture in his right foot and will undergo surgery.
  • Gary Payton II (Warriors): Warriors GM Bob Myers said Payton II will be re-evaluated in a month.
  • Jordan Poole (Warriors): Poole is probable for Thursday’s (Mar.2) game against Los Angeles.
  • Stephen Curry (Warriors): Curry is expected to return sometime on next week’s three-game road trip, according to Adrian Wojnarowski of ESPN.
  • Andre Iguodala (Warriors): Iguodala has only played in three games this season and hasn’t played since Jan. 13. It’s unclear when he’ll return to the lineup.
  • LA Clippers – No Injuries Reported

LA Clippers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Clippers shot 41% from three (1,027/2,498) in the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Clippers have averaged 20.7 points in the paint per game (2,894 points/140 games) in the first half since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.8

The Clippers have averaged 43.0 points in the paint per game (9,118 points/212 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.1

The Clippers have averaged 42.3 points in the paint per game (4,614 points/109 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47.7

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have made 16.7 three-pointers per game this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Warriors have averaged 30.9 assists per game (835 assists/27 games) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.4

The Warriors have averaged 14.0 assists per game (771 assists/55 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 11.9

The Warriors have made 15.8 three-pointers per game at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.6

LA Clippers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Clippers have averaged 33.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,958 rebounds/58 games) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.0

The Clippers have averaged 34.5 defensive rebounds per game (7,319 rebounds/212 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9

The Clippers have averaged 6.8 steals per game (397 steals/58 games) this season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Clippers have averaged 34.4 defensive rebounds per game (4,818 rebounds/140 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.7

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 34.9 defensive rebounds per game (7,293 rebounds/209 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9

The Warriors have averaged 34.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,873 rebounds/55 games) this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.0

The Warriors have averaged 8.1 steals per game (1,686 steals/209 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Warriors have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (209 blocks/55 games) this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7


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