Grizzlies vs Lakers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 28

min read
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 28, 2023, 5:30 PM
  • The Lakers (43-39) are -4.5 favorites vs. the Grizzlies (51-31)
  • Total (Over/Under): 218.5 points
  • Friday, April 28, 2023 at 10:30pm EDT
  • Watch the game on ESPN

The Memphis Grizzlies visit Crypto.com Arena to take on the Los Angeles Lakers on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:30pm EDT in Los Angeles.

The Lakers are betting favorites in this NBA playoff matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The Grizzlies vs Lakers Over/Under is 220.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Grizzlies are 39-46 against the spread, while the Lakers are 43-43 against the spread.


Bet now on Lakers vs Grizzlies and all NBA games with BetMGM


Grizzlies vs. Lakers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

  Spread Over / Under Moneyline
Memphis Grizzlies +4.5 -110 O 220.5 -110 +170
Los Angeles Lakers -4.5 -110 U 220.5 -110 -210

Lakers vs Grizzlies Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Lakers will win Friday‘s game with 62.2% confidence.

Lakers vs Grizzlies Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Lakers will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 51.1% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Grizzlies and Lakers, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


Bet now on Lakers vs Grizzlies and all NBA games with BetMGM


     

    • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 60 of their last 89 games (+27.25 Units / 27% ROI)
    • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1H Spread in 59 of their last 93 games (+22.85 Units / 22% ROI)
    • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 1H Moneyline in 57 of their last 80 games (+22.80 Units / 15% ROI)
    • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1Q Spread in 57 of their last 93 games (+18.80 Units / 19% ROI)
    • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 60 of their last 93 games (+14.55 Units / 10% ROI)

     

         

        • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 76 games (+21.15 Units / 16% ROI)
        • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 31 of their last 49 games (+11.44 Units / 17% ROI)
        • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 32 of their last 52 games (+9.95 Units / 17% ROI)
        • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 39 games at home (+8.15 Units / 15% ROI)
        • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in their last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 90% ROI)

         

          Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 39-46 (-11.55 Units / -12.07% ROI).

          • 53-34 against the Moneyline (+1.95 Units / 0.85% ROI)
          • 38-46 against the Over for game total points (-12.6 Units / -13.17% ROI)
          • 46-38 against the Under for game total points (+4.2 Units / 4.39% ROI)

          Against the spread this NBA season, the Lakers have gone 43-43 (-4.35 Units / -4.49% ROI).

          • 47-41 against the Moneyline (+12.2 Units / 8.23% ROI)
          • 45-42 against the Over for game total points (-1.2 Units / -1.24% ROI)
          • 42-45 against the Under for game total points (-7.5 Units / -7.75% ROI)

             

            • The Los Angeles Lakers have only covered the 2Q Spread in 14 of their last 44 games (-19.06 Units / -39% ROI)
            • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 44 games (-18.96 Units / -33% ROI)
            • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 76 games (-16.95 Units / -19% ROI)
            • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 52 games (-15.00 Units / -26% ROI)
            • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 39 of their last 88 games (-14.95 Units / -15% ROI)

             

                 

                • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 93 games (-41.98 Units / -35% ROI)
                • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 93 games (-39.32 Units / -37% ROI)
                • The Memphis Grizzlies have only covered the 4Q Spread in 32 of their last 91 games (-33.08 Units / -33% ROI)
                • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 23 of their last 56 games (-26.94 Units / -29% ROI)
                • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 46 away games (-26.65 Units / -32% ROI)

                 

                  Jump to:

                  Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Lakers

                  The Grizzlies are 46-24 (.657) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .461

                  The Grizzlies are 59-38 (.608) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .458

                  The Grizzlies are 64-9 (.877) when shooting 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .768

                  The Grizzlies are 26-11 (.703) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

                  Los Angeles Lakers: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies

                  The Los Angeles Lakers are 9-24 (.273) when losing the rebounding margin this season — sixth-worst among NBA teams. The Memphis Grizzlies have averaged 55.5 rebounds per game (4,554 rebounds/82 games) this season — third-highest among NBA teams.

                  The Los Angeles Lakers are 35-57 (.380) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — eighth-worst among NBA teams. The Memphis Grizzlies have averaged 13.4 turnovers per game (2,198 turnovers/164 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — eighth-lowest among NBA teams.

                  The Lakers are 8-30 (.211) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .275

                  The Lakers are 35-57 (.380) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .452

                  Injury Report: Lakers vs. GrizzliesFriday‘s Game, Apr. 28

                     

                    • Dennis Schroder (Lakers): Schroder is probable for Friday’s (Apr.28) game against Memphis.
                    • LeBron James (Lakers): James is probable for Friday’s (Apr.28) game against Memphis.
                    • Anthony Davis (Lakers): Davis is probable for Friday’s (Apr.28) game against Memphis.

                     

                         

                        • Steven Adams (Grizzlies): Adams is likely to miss the rest of the season, according to Adrian Wojnarowski of ESPN.
                        • Brandon Clarke (Grizzlies): Clarke will miss the rest of the season with a left Achilles tear, according to Adrian Wojnarowski of ESPN.
                        • Jake LaRavia (Grizzlies): LaRavia hasn’t played since Apr. 2 against Chicago and remains without a timetable to return.
                        • Luke Kennard (Grizzlies): Kennard is questionable for Friday’s (Apr.28) game against Los Angeles.

                         

                          Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends

                          The Grizzlies have averaged 28.1 points in the paint per game (6,640 points/236 games) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.3

                          The Grizzlies have averaged 16.4 second chance points per game (3,872 points/236 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.3

                          The Grizzlies have a TS% of 44% in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%

                          The Grizzlies have averaged 28.4 points in the paint per game (4,654 points/164 games) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.5

                          Los Angeles Lakers Offensive Stats & Trends

                          The Lakers have 26.6 free throw attempts per game this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.5

                          The Lakers have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.0 (304 assists/ 149 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.6

                          The Lakers have averaged 54.5 points in the paint per game (4,470 points/82 games) this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.5

                          The Lakers are shooting 47% (9,856/20,773) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

                          Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends

                          The Grizzlies have averaged 6.6 blocks per game (543 blocks/82 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

                          The Grizzlies have averaged 9.1 steals per game (1,079 steals/118 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

                          The Grizzlies have averaged 6.1 blocks per game (1,006 blocks/164 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

                          The Grizzlies have averaged 9.0 steals per game (2,135 steals/236 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

                          Los Angeles Lakers Defensive Stats & Trends

                          The Lakers have averaged 38.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,116 rebounds/82 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

                          The Lakers have averaged 7.0 steals per game (1,152 steals/164 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

                          The Lakers have averaged 37.2 defensive rebounds per game (8,787 rebounds/236 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.9

                          The Lakers have averaged 37.4 defensive rebounds per game (6,135 rebounds/164 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.7


                          Bet now on Lakers vs Grizzlies and all NBA games with BetMGM


                          Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM

                          At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NBA betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

                          About the Author

                          BetMGM Betting

                          Read More @BETMGM

                          Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

                          Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.