Heat vs 76ers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 6

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 06, 2023, 5:30 PM
  • The 76ers (52-27) are -3.5 favorites vs. the Heat (42-37)
  • Total (Over/Under): 219.5 points
  • Thursday, April 6, 2023 at 7:30pm EDT
  • Watch the game on TNT & TNT

The Miami Heat visit Wells Fargo Center to take on the Philadelphia 76ers on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in Philadelphia.

The 76ers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-105).

The Heat vs 76ers Over/Under is 219.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Heat are 29-48 against the spread, while the 76ers are 46-33 against the spread.


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Heat vs. 76ers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Miami Heat+2.5 -115O 219.5 -110+110
Philadelphia 76ers -2.5 -105U 219.5 -110-130

76ers vs Heat Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the 76ers will win Thursday‘s game with 59.5% confidence.

76ers vs Heat Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Heat will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Heat and 76ers, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 47 of their last 80 games (+13.80 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 50 of their last 86 games (+12.55 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 26 away games (+11.70 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 48 of their last 80 games (+11.54 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 48 away games (+11.25 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have hit the Moneyline in 51 of their last 74 games (+15.05 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have covered the 4Q Spread in 43 of their last 69 games (+14.25 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 26 games (+13.56 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have covered the Spread in 45 of their last 74 games (+13.10 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 41 of their last 73 games (+7.85 Units / 10% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 29-48 (-23.8 Units / -27.37% ROI).

  • 42-37 against the Moneyline (-16.35 Units / -10.51% ROI)
  • 37-41 against the Over for game total points (-8.1 Units / -9.32% ROI)
  • 41-37 against the Under for game total points (+0.3 Units / 0.35% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the 76ers have gone 46-33 (+9.65 Units / 11.1% ROI).

  • 52-27 against the Moneyline (+3.35 Units / 1.82% ROI)
  • 41-37 against the Over for game total points (+0.3 Units / 0.35% ROI)
  • 37-41 against the Under for game total points (-8.1 Units / -9.32% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 41 of their last 89 games (-25.20 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 43 of their last 94 games (-24.95 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only covered the 3Q Spread in 34 of their last 85 games (-21.85 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 75 games (-17.75 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 44 of their last 90 games (-17.65 Units / -13% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 79 games (-27.69 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only covered the Spread in 31 of their last 85 games (-26.20 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the Team Total Over in 42 of their last 99 games (-23.50 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only covered the 3Q Spread in 32 of their last 82 games (-23.48 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 82 games (-22.15 Units / -24% ROI)

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Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Philadelphia 76ers

The Heat are 27-16 (.628) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .459

The Heat are 104-75 (.581) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .510

The Heat are 18-8 (.692) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .548

The Heat are 18-11 (.621) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .513

Philadelphia 76ers: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat

The 76ers are 28-8 (.778) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .540

The 76ers are 113-20 (.850) when scoring 110 or more points since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .675

The 76ers are 12-4 (.750) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .534

The 76ers are 38-8 (.826) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .643

Injury Report: 76ers vs. HeatThursday‘s Game, Apr. 6

  • Tyrese Maxey (76ers): Maxey is questionable for Thursday’s (Apr.6) game against Miami.
  • De’Anthony Melton (76ers): Melton is questionable for Thursday’s (Apr.6) game against Miami.
  • P.J. Tucker (76ers): Tucker is questionable for Thursday’s (Apr.6) game against Miami.
  • Bam Adebayo (Heat): Adebayo is questionable for Thursday’s (Apr.6) game against Philadelphia.
  • Kyle Lowry (Heat): Lowry is questionable for Thursday’s (Apr.6) game against Philadelphia.
  • Nikola Jovic (Heat): Jovic hasn’t played since Dec. 26 against Minnesota and remains without a timetable to return.

Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 109.1 points per game (7,748 points/71 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.5

The Heat have averaged 107.6 points per game (3,658 points/34 games) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 113.1

The Heat have averaged 52.2 points per game (3,707 points/71 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.1

The Heat averaged 108.1 points per game (7,781 points/72 games) in the 2020-21 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 111.8

Philadelphia 76ers Offensive Stats & Trends

The 76ers have averaged 1.54 points per shot (747 points/485 shots) in the last two weeks — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31

The 76ers are shooting 51% from three (51/100) in the second half in the last two weeks — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The 76ers are shooting 46% from three (88/191) in the last two weeks — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The 76ers have a 30% free throw rate (2,735 free throw attempts/9,092 field goal attempts) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25%

Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 3.4 blocks per game (379 blocks/111 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6

The Heat have averaged 3.4 blocks per game (771 blocks/225 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Heat have averaged 3.1 blocks per game (241 blocks/78 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Heat have averaged 3.1 blocks per game (220 blocks/71 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6

Philadelphia 76ers Defensive Stats & Trends

The 76ers have averaged 35.1 defensive rebounds per game (5,262 rebounds/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.7

The 76ers have averaged 7.8 steals per game (528 steals/68 games) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The 76ers have averaged 5.0 blocks per game (756 blocks/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The 76ers have averaged 8.4 steals per game (946 steals/113 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.