- The Heat (38-33) are -2.5 favorites vs. the Bulls (32-37)
- Total (Over/Under): 216.5 points
- Saturday, March 18, 2023 at 8:00pm EDT
- Watch the game on NBCS-CHI & BSSUN
The Miami Heat visit United Center to take on the Chicago Bulls on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Chicago.
The Heat are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).
The Heat vs Bulls Over/Under is 215.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Heat are 26-43 against the spread, while the Bulls are 32-35 against the spread.
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Heat vs. Bulls Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Miami Heat | -2.5 -110 | O 215.5 -115 | -140 |
Chicago Bulls | +2.5 -110 | U 215.5 -115 | +115 |
Bulls vs Heat Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Heat will win Saturday‘s game with 57.8% confidence.
Bulls vs Heat Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bulls will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 51.1% confidence.
These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Heat and Bulls, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.
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Heat Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 43 of their last 72 games (+14.25 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 46 of their last 78 games (+13.00 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 21 away games (+12.84 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have covered the 2Q Spread in 17 of their last 21 away games (+12.59 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 43 of their last 72 games (+9.88 Units / 12% ROI)
Bulls Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Chicago Bulls have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 50 of their last 78 games (+17.88 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Chicago Bulls have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 40 of their last 62 games (+16.90 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Chicago Bulls have covered the 1Q Spread in 37 of their last 60 games (+13.85 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Chicago Bulls have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 46 games (+12.25 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Chicago Bulls have hit the Game Total Under in 51 of their last 87 games (+11.40 Units / 12% ROI)
Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 26-43 (-21.3 Units / -27.26% ROI).
- 38-33 against the Moneyline (-15 Units / -11.24% ROI)
- 33-37 against the Over for game total points (-7.7 Units / -9.86% ROI)
- 37-33 against the Under for game total points (+0.7 Units / 0.9% ROI)
Chicago Bulls Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Bulls have gone 32-35 (-6.6 Units / -8.68% ROI).
- 32-37 against the Moneyline (-4.2 Units / -4.19% ROI)
- 30-39 against the Over for game total points (-12.9 Units / -17% ROI)
- 39-30 against the Under for game total points (+6 Units / 7.91% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Bulls:
- The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 78 games (-27.64 Units / -32% ROI)
- The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 34 of their last 87 games (-23.30 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Chicago Bulls have only hit the Team Total Over in 37 of their last 87 games (-20.85 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Chicago Bulls have only hit the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 87 games (-20.10 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 35 of their last 85 games (-19.60 Units / -19% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:
- The Miami Heat have only covered the Spread in 28 of their last 77 games (-23.70 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 71 games (-22.71 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 29 of their last 78 games (-21.45 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the Team Total Over in 39 of their last 91 games (-20.90 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only covered the 3Q Spread in 29 of their last 74 games (-20.89 Units / -26% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
- Keys to Winning for the Chicago Bulls
- Player Injuries for Miami Heat vs. Chicago Bulls
- Miami Heat Offensive stats
- Chicago Bulls Offensive stats
- Miami Heat Defensive stats
- Chicago Bulls Defensive stats
Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Chicago Bulls
The Heat are 27-16 (.628) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .459
The Heat are 104-75 (.581) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .510
The Heat are 18-8 (.692) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .548
The Heat are 18-11 (.621) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .513
Chicago Bulls: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat
The Chicago Bulls are 47-18 (.723) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — ninth-best among NBA teams. The Minnesota Timberwolves have averaged 51.1 rebounds per game (7,765 rebounds/152 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 10th-lowest among NBA teams.
The Bulls are winless (0-11) when shooting 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .120
The Bulls are 13-27 (.325) when allowing 110 or more points this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .356
The Bulls are 19-6 (.760) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .697
Injury Report: Bulls vs. Heat – Saturday‘s Game, Mar. 18
- Justin Lewis (Bulls): Lewis tore his ACL in an offseason workout. He is out indefinitely.
- Javonte Green (Bulls): The Bulls have listed Green as OUT for Friday’s game (Mar. 17) against the Timberwolves.
- Lonzo Ball (Bulls): The Bulls are expected to shut Ball down for the rest of the season, according to Shams Charnia of The Athletic.
- Kyle Lowry (Heat): The Heat have listed Lowry as QUESTIONABLE for Saturday’s game (Mar. 18) against the Bulls.
- Nikola Jovic (Heat): Jovic has been out since Dec. 26 and remains without a timetable for return.
- Cody Zeller (Heat): Zeller underwent a procedure on his broken nose, Adam Lichtenstein of the South Florida Sun Sentinel reports.
Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 109.1 points per game (7,748 points/71 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.5
The Heat have averaged 107.6 points per game (3,658 points/34 games) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 113.1
The Heat have averaged 52.2 points per game (3,707 points/71 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.1
The Heat averaged 108.1 points per game (7,781 points/72 games) in the 2020-21 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 111.8
Chicago Bulls Offensive Stats & Trends
The Bulls have averaged 5.3 second chance points per game (802 points/150 games) in the first half since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.6
The Bulls have made 10.5 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.4
The Bulls have averaged 5.6 second chance points per game (1,245 points/222 games) in the first half since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.6
The Bulls have made 10.5 three-pointers per game at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.6
Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 3.4 blocks per game (379 blocks/111 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6
The Heat have averaged 3.4 blocks per game (771 blocks/225 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Heat have averaged 3.1 blocks per game (241 blocks/78 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
The Heat have averaged 3.1 blocks per game (220 blocks/71 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6
Chicago Bulls Defensive Stats & Trends
The Bulls have averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,472 rebounds/68 games) this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Bulls have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (942 blocks/222 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Bulls have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (317 blocks/75 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6
The Bulls have averaged 7.6 steals per game (515 steals/68 games) this season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3
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