- The Celtics (17-4) are -9.5 favorites vs. the Heat (10-11)
- Total (Over/Under): 224.5 points
- Wednesday, November 30, 2022 at 7:30pm EST
- Watch the game on NBCS-BOS & BSSUN
The Miami Heat visit TD Garden to take on the Boston Celtics on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Boston.
The Celtics are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-105).
The Heat vs Celtics Over/Under is 222.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Heat are 7-13 against the spread, while the Celtics are 13-8 against the spread.
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Heat vs. Celtics Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Miami Heat | +9.5 -115 | O 222.5 -110 | +290 |
Boston Celtics | -9.5 -105 | U 222.5 -110 | -375 |
Celtics vs Heat Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Celtics will win Wednesday‘s game with 71.1% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Celtics will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.
These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Heat and Celtics, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.
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Heat Team Prop Bets for Tonight, Ranked by Units Won:
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 58 of their last 93 games (+19.45 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 49 games (+14.52 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the Moneyline in 60 of their last 96 games (+13.25 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 56 of their last 99 games (+12.05 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have covered the 3Q Spread in 21 of their last 30 away games (+11.02 Units / 33% ROI)
Celtics Team Prop Bets for Tonight, Ranked by Units Won:
- The Boston Celtics have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 57 of their last 86 games (+23.79 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Boston Celtics have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 64 of their last 96 games (+18.20 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Boston Celtics have covered the 1H Spread in 39 of their last 59 games (+16.80 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Boston Celtics have covered the 1Q Spread in 58 of their last 96 games (+16.68 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Boston Celtics have hit the 1H Moneyline in 65 of their last 96 games (+16.25 Units / 9% ROI)
Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 7-13 (-7.3 Units / -31.6% ROI).
- 10-11 against the Moneyline (-5.45 Units / -14.81% ROI)
- 10-10 against the Over for game total points (-1 Units / -4.33% ROI)
- 10-10 against the Under for game total points (-1 Units / -4.33% ROI)
Boston Celtics Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Celtics have gone 13-8 (+4.2 Units / 18.22% ROI).
- 17-4 against the Moneyline (+8.65 Units / 13.91% ROI)
- 12-9 against the Over for game total points (+2.1 Units / 9.09% ROI)
- 9-12 against the Under for game total points (-4.2 Units / -18.18% ROI)
Negative Value Trends Against the Spread for the Celtics, Ranked by Units Lost:
- The Boston Celtics have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 86 games (-35.48 Units / -37% ROI)
- The Boston Celtics have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 51 of their last 98 games (-23.86 Units / -15% ROI)
- The Boston Celtics have only hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 58 games (-21.55 Units / -32% ROI)
- The Boston Celtics have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 49 of their last 93 games (-19.35 Units / -13% ROI)
- The Boston Celtics have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 71 games (-18.95 Units / -24% ROI)
Negative Value Trends Against the Spread for the Heat, Ranked by Units Lost:
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 44 of their last 100 games (-25.70 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 42 of their last 100 games (-22.37 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 40 of their last 99 games (-21.55 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 51 games (-20.82 Units / -37% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 47 of their last 100 games (-20.75 Units / -15% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
- Keys to Winning for the Boston Celtics
- Player Injuries for Miami Heat vs. Boston Celtics
- Miami Heat Offensive stats
- Boston Celtics Offensive stats
- Miami Heat Defensive stats
- Boston Celtics Defensive stats
Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Boston Celtics
The Heat are 45-18 (.714) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .564
The Heat are 16-12 (.571) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .461
The Heat are 29-3 (.906) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .744
The Heat are 13-8 (.619) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .510
Boston Celtics: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat
The Celtics are 20-10 (.667) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .461
The Celtics are 21-11 (.656) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .553
The Celtics are 40-7 (.851) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .767
The Celtics are 22-4 (.846) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .744
Injury Report: Celtics vs. Heat – Wednesday‘s Game, Nov. 30
- Jaylen Brown (Celtics): Brown is QUESTIONABLE for Wednesday’s (Nov. 30) game against Miami.
- Danilo Gallinari (Celtics): The Celtics announced that Gallinari tore his ACL in his left knee. There is no timetable for his return.
- Robert Williams III (Celtics): Williams III underwent a procedure and will need 4-6 weeks to recover, according to Adrian Wojnarowski of ESPN.
- Nikola Jovic (Heat): Jovic is QUESTIONABLE for Wednesday’s (Nov. 30) game against Boston.
- Jamal Cain (Heat): Cain is PROBABLE for Wednesday’s (Nov. 30) game against Boston.
- Jimmy Butler (Heat): Butler is OUT for Wednesday’s (Nov. 30) game against Boston.
- Caleb Martin (Heat): Martin is QUESTIONABLE for Wednesday’s (Nov. 30) game against Boston.
- Haywood Highsmith (Heat): Highsmith is QUESTIONABLE for Wednesday’s (Nov. 30) game against Boston.
- Victor Oladipo (Heat): Oladipo has not played this season and is not believed to be closed to returning to action, according to Brian Windhorst of ESPN.
- Dewayne Dedmon (Heat): Dedmon is QUESTIONABLE for Wednesday’s (Nov. 30) game against Boston.
- Omer Yurtseven (Heat): The Heat announced that Yurtseven underwent surgery and will be re-evaluated at a later date.
- Duncan Robinson (Heat): Robinson did not play in Sunday’s (Nov. 27) game against Atlanta.
- Tyler Herro (Heat): Herro is QUESTIONABLE for Wednesday’s (Nov. 30) game against Boston.
Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 41.0 points in the paint per game (1,802 points/44 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46.7
The Heat have averaged 45.5 points in the paint per game (592 points/13 games) this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.0
The Heat are shooting 87% from the free throw line (260/300) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%
The Heat have averaged 12.9 turnovers per game (168 turnovers/13 games) this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3
Boston Celtics Offensive Stats & Trends
The Celtics have averaged 1.38 points per shot (1,554 points/1,124 shots) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.27
The Celtics have averaged 1.42 points per shot (812 points/570 shots) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.27
The Celtics have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (342 assists/ 159 TOs) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7
The Celtics have a TS% of 57% in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%
Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 2.9 blocks per game (38 blocks/13 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (298 blocks/94 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Heat have averaged 3.0 blocks per game (152 blocks/50 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Heat have averaged 3.5 blocks per game (281 blocks/80 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
Boston Celtics Defensive Stats & Trends
The Celtics have averaged 5.9 blocks per game (283 blocks/48 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6
The Celtics have averaged 5.3 steals per game (69 steals/13 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4
The Celtics have averaged 5.5 blocks per game (71 blocks/13 games) this season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Celtics have averaged 6.7 steals per game (562 steals/84 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6
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