- The Mavericks (33-32) are -8.5 favorites vs. the Jazz (31-34)
- Total (Over/Under): 236.5 points
- Tuesday, March 7, 2023 at 8:30pm EST
- Watch the game on BSSW & SportsNet RM
The Utah Jazz visit American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Mavericks on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in Dallas.
The Mavericks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).
The Jazz vs Mavericks Over/Under is 237.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Jazz are 34-31 against the spread, while the Mavericks are 23-39 against the spread.
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Jazz vs. Mavericks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Utah Jazz | +9.5 -110 | O 237.5 -115 | +340 |
Dallas Mavericks | -9.5 -110 | U 237.5 -115 | -450 |
Mavericks vs Jazz Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Mavericks will win Tuesday‘s game with 68.0% confidence.
Mavericks vs Jazz Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Jazz will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 51.9% confidence.
These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Jazz and Mavericks, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.
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Jazz Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Utah Jazz have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 51 of their last 85 games (+13.55 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Utah Jazz have hit the 2H Moneyline in 28 of their last 42 games (+11.97 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Utah Jazz have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 48 of their last 80 games (+11.90 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Utah Jazz have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 25 away games (+10.30 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Utah Jazz have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 25 away games (+8.05 Units / 29% ROI)
Mavericks Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 58 of their last 100 games (+11.92 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 25 games at home (+10.26 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 60 games (+9.50 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 67 games (+8.20 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 46 games at home (+7.60 Units / 14% ROI)
Utah Jazz Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Jazz have gone 34-31 (-0.1 Units / -0.14% ROI).
- 31-34 against the Moneyline (-15.25 Units / -13.6% ROI)
- 35-29 against the Over for game total points (+3.1 Units / 4.34% ROI)
- 29-35 against the Under for game total points (-9.5 Units / -13.29% ROI)
Dallas Mavericks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 23-39 (-19.85 Units / -27.78% ROI).
- 33-32 against the Moneyline (-19.8 Units / -14.13% ROI)
- 37-28 against the Over for game total points (+6.2 Units / 8.67% ROI)
- 28-37 against the Under for game total points (-12.7 Units / -17.76% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Mavericks:
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 41 of their last 100 games (-25.16 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 56 games (-25.12 Units / -31% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 80 games (-23.44 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 70 games (-23.35 Units / -16% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the Spread in 24 of their last 70 games (-23.25 Units / -30% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Jazz:
- The Utah Jazz have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 54 games (-31.60 Units / -44% ROI)
- The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 47 games (-29.90 Units / -42% ROI)
- The Utah Jazz have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 35 of their last 89 games (-29.65 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Utah Jazz have only hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 52 games (-28.65 Units / -30% ROI)
- The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 73 games (-24.85 Units / -25% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Utah Jazz
- Keys to Winning for the Dallas Mavericks
- Player Injuries for Utah Jazz vs. Dallas Mavericks
- Utah Jazz Offensive stats
- Dallas Mavericks Offensive stats
- Utah Jazz Defensive stats
- Dallas Mavericks Defensive stats
Utah Jazz: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks
The Jazz are winless (0-12) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .143
The Jazz are 45-24 (.652) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2020-21 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .504
The Jazz are 70-34 (.673) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .542
The Jazz are 51-27 (.654) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2021-22 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .548
Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Utah Jazz
The Mavericks are 36-19 (.655) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .550
The Mavericks are 20-5 (.800) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566
The Mavericks are 43-38 (.531) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .457
The Mavericks are 44-22 (.667) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .539
Injury Report: Mavericks vs. Jazz – Tuesday‘s Game, Mar. 7
- Maxi Kleber (Mavericks): Kleber is questionable for Tuesday’s (Mar. 7) game against Utah.
- Collin Sexton (Jazz): The Jazz have ruled out Sexton for another week, according to Tony Jones of The Athletic.
Utah Jazz Offensive Stats & Trends
The Jazz have made 15.2 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.5
The Jazz have made 15.4 three-pointers per game at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.7
The Jazz have averaged 117.1 points per game (6,910 points/59 games) this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.3
The Jazz averaged 116.4 points per game (8,382 points/72 games) in the 2020-21 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 111.8
Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks have averaged 39.7 points in the paint per game (1,232 points/31 games) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7
The Mavericks have averaged 12.3 turnovers per game (1,333 turnovers/108 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9
The Mavericks have averaged 11.9 turnovers per game (883 turnovers/74 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9
The Mavericks have averaged 9.2 fast break points per game (286 points/31 games) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.5
Utah Jazz Defensive Stats & Trends
The Jazz have averaged 35.5 defensive rebounds per game (7,572 rebounds/213 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9
The Jazz have averaged 6.6 steals per game (492 steals/74 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Jazz have averaged 6.8 steals per game (1,452 steals/213 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Jazz have averaged 6.9 steals per game (978 steals/141 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks have averaged 3.7 blocks per game (272 blocks/74 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
The Mavericks have averaged 6.6 steals per game (970 steals/146 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Mavericks have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (563 blocks/146 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Mavericks have averaged 6.5 steals per game (418 steals/64 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3
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