Los Angeles Lakers vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Dec. 25

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 25, 2022, 4:30 PM
  • The Mavericks (17-16) are -7.5 favorites vs. the Lakers (13-19)
  • Total (Over/Under): 232.5 points
  • Sunday, December 25, 2022 at 2:30pm EST
  • Watch the game on ABC & ABC

The Los Angeles Lakers visit American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Mavericks on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 2:30pm EST in Dallas.

The Mavericks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).

The Lakers vs Mavericks Over/Under is 231.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Lakers are 12-19 against the spread, while the Mavericks are 11-20 against the spread.


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Lakers vs. Mavericks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Los Angeles Lakers+7.5 -110O 231.5 -110+240
Dallas Mavericks -7.5 -110U 231.5 -110-300

Mavericks vs Lakers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Mavericks will win Sunday‘s game with 68.9% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Lakers will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 51.7% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Lakers and Mavericks, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 49 of their last 75 games (+19.93 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 31 games (+15.42 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Game Total Over in 49 of their last 81 games (+13.80 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 37 away games (+12.78 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have covered the 2Q Spread in 21 of their last 29 games (+11.84 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 67 of their last 100 games (+31.48 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 50 games at home (+16.56 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+10.10 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 33 of their last 50 games at home (+9.85 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 2Q Spread in 15 of their last 21 games at home (+8.67 Units / 38% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Lakers have gone 12-19 (-8.95 Units / -25.39% ROI).

  • 13-19 against the Moneyline (-5.25 Units / -12.87% ROI)
  • 19-13 against the Over for game total points (+4.7 Units / 13.35% ROI)
  • 13-19 against the Under for game total points (-7.9 Units / -22.44% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 11-20 (-11 Units / -30.3% ROI).

  • 17-16 against the Moneyline (-17.5 Units / -23.96% ROI)
  • 18-15 against the Over for game total points (+1.5 Units / 4.13% ROI)
  • 15-18 against the Under for game total points (-4.8 Units / -13.22% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 100 games (-43.33 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 43 of their last 90 games (-21.08 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 38 games (-21.05 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Game Total Over in 45 of their last 100 games (-15.50 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 39 of their last 86 games (-14.61 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 75 games (-30.37 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 74 games (-26.20 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 81 games (-21.90 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 81 games (-20.37 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 76 games (-19.10 Units / -22% ROI)

Jump to:

Los Angeles Lakers: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Lakers are 11-25 (.306) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .555

The Lakers are 3-12 (.200) when allowing fewer than 8 offense rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .481

The Lakers are 5-8 (.385) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .479

The Lakers are 27-36 (.429) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .550

Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Lakers

The Mavericks are 25-12 (.676) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .461

The Mavericks are 22-6 (.786) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .506

The Mavericks are 35-19 (.648) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Mavericks are 46-21 (.687) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2020-21 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544

Injury Report: Mavericks vs. LakersSunday‘s Game, Dec. 25

  • Maxi Kleber (Mavericks): The Mavericks announced that Kleber underwent surgery for a right hamstring tear and there’s no timetable for his return.
  • Josh Green (Mavericks): The Mavericks have listed Green as OUT for Sunday’s game (Dec. 25) against the Lakers.
  • Jaden Hardy (Mavericks): The Mavericks have listed Hardy as QUESTIONABLE for Sunday’s game (Dec. 25) against the Lakers.
  • Dorian Finney-Smith (Mavericks): The Mavericks have listed Finney-Smith as OUT for Sunday’s game (Dec. 25) against the Lakers.
  • Kemba Walker (Mavericks): The Mavericks have listed Walker as OUT for Sunday’s game (Dec. 25) against the Lakers.
  • Juan Toscano-Anderson (Lakers): The Lakers announced that Toscano-Anderson will miss about two weeks.
  • Anthony Davis (Lakers): The Lakers announced that Davis is dealing with a stress injury in his right foot. The team announced that there is no timetable for his return.
  • LeBron James (Lakers): James is probable for Sunday’s (Dec. 25) game against Dallas.

Los Angeles Lakers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers are shooting 31% from three (124/404) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Lakers are shooting 32% from three (67/208) in the first half this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Lakers have made 9.5 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.2

The Lakers have averaged 55.5 points in the paint per game (722 points/13 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.9

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have averaged 7.9 assists per game (95 assists/12 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 11.8

The Mavericks have averaged 49.9 points per game (599 points/12 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54.7

The Mavericks have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.1 (95 assists/ 88 TOs) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Mavericks have a 32% free throw rate (321 free throw attempts/991 field goal attempts) this season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 26%

Los Angeles Lakers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers have averaged 5.8 blocks per game (284 blocks/49 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Lakers have blocked 867 shots since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th most among NBA teams

The Lakers have averaged 34.6 defensive rebounds per game (450 rebounds/13 games) this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.1

The Lakers have averaged 8.1 steals per game (396 steals/49 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have averaged 6.7 steals per game (1,106 steals/166 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Mavericks have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (327 blocks/84 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Mavericks have averaged 31.1 defensive rebounds per game (373 rebounds/12 games) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.2

The Mavericks have averaged 6.7 steals per game (552 steals/82 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.