Dallas Mavericks vs Boston Celtics Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Nov. 23

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 23, 2022, 4:30 PM
  • The Celtics (13-4) are -4.5 favorites vs. the Mavericks (9-7)
  • Total (Over/Under): 218.5 points
  • Wednesday, November 23, 2022 at 7:30pm EST
  • Watch the game on NBCS-BOS & BSSW

The Dallas Mavericks visit TD Garden to take on the Boston Celtics on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Boston.

The Celtics are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The Mavericks vs Celtics Over/Under is 218.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Mavericks are 4-11 against the spread, while the Celtics are 9-8 against the spread.


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Mavericks vs. Celtics Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dallas Mavericks+4.5 -110O 218.5 -110+150
Boston Celtics -4.5 -110U 218.5 -110-185

Celtics vs Mavericks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Celtics will win Wednesday‘s game with 61.6% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Celtics will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51.4% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Mavericks and Celtics, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 63 of their last 94 games (+29.72 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 1Q Spread in 57 of their last 97 games (+13.00 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 38 games (+12.20 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 96 games (+12.00 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 55 of their last 91 games (+11.36 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 53 of their last 82 games (+19.79 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 1H Spread in 36 of their last 55 games (+14.90 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 1Q Spread in 59 of their last 100 games (+14.43 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 60 of their last 92 games (+14.20 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 1H Moneyline in 61 of their last 92 games (+12.25 Units / 7% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 4-11 (-8.1 Units / -46.02% ROI).

  • 9-7 against the Moneyline (-12.65 Units / -27.74% ROI)
  • 9-7 against the Over for game total points (+1.3 Units / 7.39% ROI)
  • 7-9 against the Under for game total points (-2.9 Units / -16.48% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Celtics have gone 9-8 (+0.2 Units / 1.07% ROI).

  • 13-4 against the Moneyline (+4.65 Units / 9.69% ROI)
  • 9-8 against the Over for game total points (+0.2 Units / 1.07% ROI)
  • 8-9 against the Under for game total points (-1.9 Units / -10.16% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 97 games (-30.95 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 49 of their last 94 games (-22.26 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 43 of their last 99 games (-20.34 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 54 games (-19.05 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 47 of their last 89 games (-17.57 Units / -13% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 100 games (-41.39 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 46 of their last 99 games (-26.01 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Game Total Over in 41 of their last 98 games (-21.70 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 46 of their last 100 games (-16.49 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 44 away games (-16.43 Units / -34% ROI)

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Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Boston Celtics

The Mavericks are 25-12 (.676) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .461

The Mavericks are 22-6 (.786) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .506

The Mavericks are 35-19 (.648) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Mavericks are 46-21 (.687) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2020-21 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544

Boston Celtics: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Celtics are 20-10 (.667) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .461

The Celtics are 21-11 (.656) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .553

The Celtics are 40-7 (.851) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .767

The Celtics are 22-4 (.846) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .744

Injury Report: Celtics vs. MavericksWednesday‘s Game, Nov. 23

  • Danilo Gallinari (Celtics): The Celtics announced that Gallinari tore his ACL in his left knee. There is no timetable for his return.
  • Robert Williams III (Celtics): Williams III underwent a procedure and will need 4-6 weeks to recover, according to Adrian Wojnarowski of ESPN.
  • Jayson Tatum (Celtics): Tatum is QUESTIONABLE for Wednesday’s (Nov. 23) game against Dallas.
  • Maxi Kleber (Mavericks): Kleber is doubtful for Wednesday’s (Nov. 23) game against Boston.
  • Spencer Dinwiddie (Mavericks): Dinwiddie is questionable for Wednesday’s (Nov. 23) game against Boston.

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have averaged 7.9 assists per game (95 assists/12 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 11.8

The Mavericks have averaged 49.9 points per game (599 points/12 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54.7

The Mavericks have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.1 (95 assists/ 88 TOs) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Mavericks have a 32% free throw rate (321 free throw attempts/991 field goal attempts) this season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 26%

Boston Celtics Offensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have averaged 1.38 points per shot (1,554 points/1,124 shots) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.27

The Celtics have averaged 1.42 points per shot (812 points/570 shots) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.27

The Celtics have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (342 assists/ 159 TOs) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Celtics have a TS% of 57% in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have averaged 6.7 steals per game (1,106 steals/166 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Mavericks have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (327 blocks/84 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Mavericks have averaged 31.1 defensive rebounds per game (373 rebounds/12 games) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.2

The Mavericks have averaged 6.7 steals per game (552 steals/82 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

Boston Celtics Defensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have averaged 5.9 blocks per game (283 blocks/48 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6

The Celtics have averaged 5.3 steals per game (69 steals/13 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Celtics have averaged 5.5 blocks per game (71 blocks/13 games) this season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Celtics have averaged 6.7 steals per game (562 steals/84 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.