Dallas Mavericks vs Detroit Pistons Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Dec. 1

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 01, 2022, 4:30 PM
  • The Mavericks (10-10) are -7.5 favorites vs. the Pistons (5-18)
  • Total (Over/Under): 221.5 points
  • Thursday, December 1, 2022 at 7:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on BSDET & BSSW

The Dallas Mavericks visit Little Caesars Arena to take on the Detroit Pistons on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Detroit.

The Mavericks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-115).

The Mavericks vs Pistons Over/Under is 220.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Mavericks are 5-14 against the spread, while the Pistons are 11-10 against the spread.


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Mavericks vs. Pistons Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dallas Mavericks-7.5 -115O 220.5 -115-300
Detroit Pistons +7.5 -105U 220.5 -115+240

Pistons vs Mavericks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Mavericks will win Thursday‘s game with 67.9% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Mavericks will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 54.8% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Mavericks and Pistons, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 67 of their last 98 games (+33.72 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 1Q Spread in 53 of their last 90 games (+12.25 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 25 of their last 42 games (+9.95 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Under in 57 of their last 100 games (+9.70 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 11 games (+8.96 Units / 71% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 45 games (+21.40 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 52 of their last 80 games (+20.36 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 51 games (+16.76 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have covered the 2Q Spread in 46 of their last 72 games (+16.70 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 72 games (+15.60 Units / 20% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 5-14 (-10.4 Units / -47.27% ROI).

  • 10-10 against the Moneyline (-15.05 Units / -30.01% ROI)
  • 12-8 against the Over for game total points (+3.2 Units / 14.55% ROI)
  • 8-12 against the Under for game total points (-5.2 Units / -23.64% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pistons have gone 11-10 (+0 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 5-18 against the Moneyline (-3.95 Units / -16.67% ROI)
  • 13-10 against the Over for game total points (+2 Units / 7.91% ROI)
  • 10-13 against the Under for game total points (-4.3 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 80 games (-29.62 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 80 games (-25.15 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 84 games (-22.19 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only covered the 1Q Spread in 33 of their last 80 games (-18.84 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 40 games at home (-16.99 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 100 games (-45.78 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 48 of their last 100 games (-21.27 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Game Total Over in 43 of their last 100 games (-19.70 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 25 games (-18.60 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 78 games (-17.38 Units / -20% ROI)

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Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Pistons

The Mavericks are 25-12 (.676) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .461

The Mavericks are 22-6 (.786) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .506

The Mavericks are 35-19 (.648) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Mavericks are 46-21 (.687) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2020-21 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544

Detroit Pistons: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Pistons are 18-63 (.222) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .455

The Pistons are 2-25 (.074) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .317

The Pistons are 1-14 (.067) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .312

The Pistons are 3-14 (.167) when allowing fewer than 8 offense rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .480

Injury Report: Pistons vs. MavericksThursday‘s Game, Dec. 1

  • Jaden Ivey (Pistons): Ivey is questionable for Thursday’s (Dec. 1) game against Dallas.
  • Cade Cunningham (Pistons): The Pistons announced that Cunningham will miss at least the next three games due to left shin soreness.
  • Dallas Mavericks – No Injuries Reported

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have averaged 7.9 assists per game (95 assists/12 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 11.8

The Mavericks have averaged 49.9 points per game (599 points/12 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54.7

The Mavericks have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.1 (95 assists/ 88 TOs) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Mavericks have a 32% free throw rate (321 free throw attempts/991 field goal attempts) this season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 26%

Detroit Pistons Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons are shooting 43% (526/1,232) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Pistons have an eFG% of 49% since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

The Pistons have a TS% of 47% since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50%

The Pistons are shooting 33% from three (1,035/3,150) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have averaged 6.7 steals per game (1,106 steals/166 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Mavericks have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (327 blocks/84 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Mavericks have averaged 31.1 defensive rebounds per game (373 rebounds/12 games) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.2

The Mavericks have averaged 6.7 steals per game (552 steals/82 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

Detroit Pistons Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons have averaged 32.1 defensive rebounds per game (5,300 rebounds/165 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.1

The Pistons have averaged 31.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,943 rebounds/93 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.8

The Pistons have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (56 blocks/14 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Pistons have averaged 6.2 steals per game (87 steals/14 games) this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.