Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Jan. 2

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 02, 2023, 4:30 PM
  • The Mavericks (21-16) are -7.5 favorites vs. the Rockets (10-26)
  • Total (Over/Under): 227.5 points
  • Monday, January 2, 2023 at 8:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on SportsNet SW & BSSW

The Dallas Mavericks visit Toyota Center to take on the Houston Rockets on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Houston.

The Mavericks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).

The Mavericks vs Rockets Over/Under is 226.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Mavericks are 13-22 against the spread, while the Rockets are 15-18 against the spread.


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Mavericks vs. Rockets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dallas Mavericks-7.5 -110O 226.5 -110-300
Houston Rockets +7.5 -110U 226.5 -110+230

Rockets vs Mavericks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Mavericks will win Monday‘s game with 69.3% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Mavericks will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 55.4% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Mavericks and Rockets, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 65 of their last 100 games (+26.96 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 19 games (+10.40 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.85 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 39 games (+7.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Team Total Over in 37 of their last 63 games (+7.40 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 28 games (+11.20 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 47 of their last 81 games (+10.60 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 20 of their last 29 games (+9.61 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 17 games at home (+8.95 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the Team Total Under in 42 of their last 72 games (+7.90 Units / 10% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 13-22 (-11.2 Units / -27.52% ROI).

  • 21-16 against the Moneyline (-13.5 Units / -15.8% ROI)
  • 22-15 against the Over for game total points (+5.5 Units / 13.51% ROI)
  • 15-22 against the Under for game total points (-9.2 Units / -22.6% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 15-18 (-4.8 Units / -12.12% ROI).

  • 10-26 against the Moneyline (-3.4 Units / -9.12% ROI)
  • 18-18 against the Over for game total points (-1.8 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 18-18 against the Under for game total points (-1.8 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 72 games (-21.40 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 81 games (-19.94 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 72 games (-18.85 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 80 games (-17.89 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 30 of their last 72 games (-17.16 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 100 games (-39.30 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 46 of their last 94 games (-19.88 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Team Total Under in 39 of their last 89 games (-17.85 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 24 away games (-17.10 Units / -46% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 73 games (-17.01 Units / -19% ROI)

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Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets

The Mavericks are 25-12 (.676) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .461

The Mavericks are 22-6 (.786) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .506

The Mavericks are 35-19 (.648) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Mavericks are 46-21 (.687) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2020-21 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544

Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Rockets are 14-56 (.197) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Rockets are 10-38 (.208) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .553

The Rockets are 5-64 (.072) when their eFG is 50% or worse since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .224

The Rockets are 2-19 (.095) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .542

Injury Report: Rockets vs. MavericksMonday‘s Game, Jan. 2

  • Alperen Sengun (Rockets): Sengun is questionable for Monday’s (Jan. 2) game against Dallas.
  • Jae’Sean Tate (Rockets): Tate remains without a timetable to return, according to Adam Spolane of Sports Radio 610 Houston.
  • Maxi Kleber (Mavericks): The Mavericks announced that Kleber underwent surgery for a right hamstring tear and there’s no timetable for his return.
  • Josh Green (Mavericks): Green hasn’t played since Dec. 9 against Milwaukee. A timetable for his return hasn’t been announced.
  • Dorian Finney-Smith (Mavericks): Mavericks coach Jason Kidd said Finney-Smith will miss at least another couple weeks, according to NBA writer Marc Stein.

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have averaged 7.9 assists per game (95 assists/12 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 11.8

The Mavericks have averaged 49.9 points per game (599 points/12 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54.7

The Mavericks have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.1 (95 assists/ 88 TOs) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Mavericks have a 32% free throw rate (321 free throw attempts/991 field goal attempts) this season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 26%

Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (285 assists/ 221 TOs) this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (3,913 assists/ 2,527 TOs) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Rockets have averaged 15.8 turnovers per game (1,373 turnovers/87 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.2

The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.1 (52 assists/ 48 TOs) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have averaged 6.7 steals per game (1,106 steals/166 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Mavericks have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (327 blocks/84 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Mavericks have averaged 31.1 defensive rebounds per game (373 rebounds/12 games) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.2

The Mavericks have averaged 6.7 steals per game (552 steals/82 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets have averaged 32.3 defensive rebounds per game (3,071 rebounds/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.8

The Rockets have averaged 32.7 defensive rebounds per game (5,465 rebounds/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.1

The Rockets have averaged 4.7 blocks per game (61 blocks/13 games) this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Rockets have averaged 31.5 defensive rebounds per game (410 rebounds/13 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.