Northwest Division Predictions, Odds: Projected Standings 2024-25

Chet Holmgren #7 of the Oklahoma City Thunder looks to back down Jamal Murray #27 of the Denver Nuggets during the second half at Paycom Center on January 31, 2024 in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma.
Joshua Gateley/Getty Images
  • The Thunder are -130 favorites to win the Northwest Division.
  • Oklahoma City won this division in 2023-24.

The Northwest Division should be one of the more competitive divisions in the NBA this year after three teams were in the mix until the end of last season.

The Oklahoma City Thunder ultimately won their first division crown since 2015-16, besting the Denver Nuggets via a tiebreaker. The Minnesota Timberwolves finished one game behind both teams.

Who will win this division in 2024-25? Hereโ€™s a look at the latest NBA betting lines and my best bet for the Northwest Division:

Northwest Division Winner Odds 2024-25

  • Oklahoma City Thunder -130
  • Minnesota Timberwolves +250
  • Denver Nuggets +325
  • Utah Jazz +30000
  • Portland Trail Blazers +30000

Northwest Division Win Totals & Projected Standings

TeamWin TotalOverUnder
Thunder57.5-110-110
Timberwolves52.5+105-125
Nuggets51.5+110-130
Jazz28.5+100-120
Trail Blazers21.5-105-115

Northwest Division Betting Prediction

Prediction: Thunder/Timberwolves Dual Forecast (+160)

Note: This line has moved to -130 and is no longer a valuable bet.

I recommend playing the dual forecast in the Northwest Division market, especially if you are willing to fade one of the top three teams.

In this case, Iโ€™m fading the Nuggets because they are the only team with nothing to play for in the regular season.

Denver pushed for the No. 1 seed last year, ultimately costing this team a chance at repeating as NBA champions. The Nuggets collapsed in Game 7 of the Western Conference semifinals.

The Nuggets, older than the Thunder and Timberwolves, will not make the same mistake again. Thatโ€™s why their under is one of my favorite NBA win total predictions this season.

Itโ€™s also possible that Oklahoma City and Minnesota are just better, particularly in the regular season.ย 

The Thunder were the best team in the West last season, while the Timberwolves led the league in defensive rating on their way to claiming the No. 3 seed.ย 

And that might only be the beginning for both of these teams.

Northwest Division Team Previews & Predictions

Nuggets 2024-25 Betting Preview: Prediction, Roster Projection

Denver Nuggets

The regular season doesn’t matter for the Nuggets, which is why there is value in fading their win total in 2024-25.

Timberwolves 2024-25 Betting Preview: Prediction, Roster Projection

Minnesota Timberwolves

The Timberwolves have their highest preseason win total since 2004 after last year’s Western Conference finals run.

Thunder 2024-25 Betting Preview: Prediction, Roster Projection

Oklahoma City Thunder

The Thunder enter the year as Western Conference favorites after claiming the No. 1 seed last year.

Trail Blazers 2024-25 Betting Preview: Prediction, Roster Projection

Portland Trail Blazers

The Trail Blazers have their lowest preseason win total ever entering 2024-25.

Jazz 2024-25 Betting Preview: Prediction, Roster Projection

Utah Jazz

The Jazz are focused on a rebuild following last year’s 31-51 campaign.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.