Denver Nuggets vs Boston Celtics Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Nov. 11

min read
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 11, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Celtics (4-2) are -4.5 favorites vs. the Nuggets (4-3)
  • Total (Over/Under): 230.5 points
  • Friday, November 11, 2022 at 7:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on NBCS-BOS & ALT

The Denver Nuggets visit TD Garden to take on the Boston Celtics on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Boston.

The Celtics are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The Nuggets vs Celtics Over/Under is 230.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Nuggets are 5-6 against the spread, while the Celtics are 5-6 against the spread.


Bet now on Celtics vs Nuggets and all NBA games with BetMGM


Nuggets vs. Celtics Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Denver Nuggets+4.5 -110O 230.5 -110155
Boston Celtics -4.5 -110U 230.5 -110-190

Celtics vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Celtics will win Friday‘s game with 61.4% confidence.

Celtics vs Nuggets Spread Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Celtics will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Nuggets and Celtics, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 54 of their last 86 games (+19.90 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 49 of their last 79 games (+18.85 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 51 of their last 86 games (+16.75 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 34 away games (+11.65 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 56 games (+11.54 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 1H Moneyline in 58 of their last 86 games (+16.80 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 1H Spread in 33 of their last 49 games (+15.35 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 62 of their last 97 games (+14.85 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 1Q Spread in 56 of their last 94 games (+14.73 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 47 of their last 76 games (+13.79 Units / 16% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 5-6 (-1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI).

  • 8-3 against the Moneyline (+2.6 Units / 8.77% ROI)
  • 6-5 against the Over for game total points (+0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI)
  • 5-6 against the Under for game total points (-1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Celtics have gone 5-6 (-1.6 Units / -13.28% ROI).

  • 8-3 against the Moneyline (+1.85 Units / 5.96% ROI)
  • 7-4 against the Over for game total points (+2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI)
  • 4-7 against the Under for game total points (-3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 39 of their last 95 games (-24.60 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 38 of their last 93 games (-24.16 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 49 of their last 96 games (-23.52 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 23 of their last 61 games (-16.35 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 48 games (-16.35 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 32 of their last 85 games (-43.51 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 86 games (-28.40 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 31 of their last 86 games (-25.15 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 34 of their last 82 games (-24.75 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 39 of their last 86 games (-21.67 Units / -18% ROI)

Jump to:

Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Boston Celtics

The Denver Nuggets were 20-5 (.800) when they win the turnover margin last season — best among NBA teams. The Indiana Pacers averaged 13.6 turnovers per game (1,114 turnovers/82 games) last season — ninth-highest among NBA teams.

The Nuggets were 38-9 (.809) when scoring 110 or more points last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .707

The Nuggets are 77-22 (.778) when scoring 110 or more points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .692

The Nuggets are 29-11 (.725) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .547

Boston Celtics: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Boston Celtics were 37-11 (.771) when winning the rebounding margin last season — 10th-best among NBA teams. The Detroit Pistons averaged 42.3 rebounds per game (3,340 rebounds/79 games) last season — fourth-lowest among NBA teams.

The Celtics were 17-9 (.654) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .550

The Celtics were 37-6 (.860) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .772

The Celtics were 37-11 (.771) when winning the rebounding margin last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .693

Injury Report: Celtics vs. NuggetsFriday‘s Game, Nov. 11

  • Danilo Gallinari (Celtics): The Celtics announced that Gallinari tore his ACL in his left knee. There is no timetable for his return.
  • Robert Williams III (Celtics): Williams III underwent a procedure and will need 4-6 weeks to recover, according to Adrian Wojnarowski of ESPN.
  • Ish Smith (Nuggets): Smith is out for Friday’s (Nov. 11) game against Boston.
  • Collin Gillespie (Nuggets): The Nuggets announced that Gillespie is out indefinitely after undergoing surgery to repair a lower left leg fracture.

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets shot 51% (1,834/3,634) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Nuggets have an eFG% of 58% in the first half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Nuggets are shooting 51% (3,489/6,894) in the first half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Nuggets are shooting 51% (1,834/3,634) in the first half since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

Boston Celtics Offensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics had a TS% of 52% last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50%

The Celtics shot 38% from three (972/2,594) in the 2020-21 season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Celtics averaged 23.4 points in the paint per game (1,896 points/81 games) in the second half last season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 22.7

The Celtics averaged 5.8 fast break points per game (479 points/82 games) in the first half last season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets averaged 3.7 blocks per game (305 blocks/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Nuggets have averaged 3.5 blocks per game (143 blocks/41 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Nuggets averaged 34.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,864 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9

The Nuggets have averaged 3.7 blocks per game (305 blocks/82 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

Boston Celtics Defensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics averaged 5.7 blocks per game (470 blocks/82 games) last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Celtics averaged 35.1 defensive rebounds per game (2,882 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9

The Celtics have averaged 6.8 steals per game (527 steals/77 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Celtics have averaged 35.1 defensive rebounds per game (2,882 rebounds/82 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9


Bet now on Celtics vs Nuggets and all NBA games with BetMGM


Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NBA betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.