Denver Nuggets vs Sacramento Kings Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Dec. 28

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 28, 2022, 4:30 PM
  • The Nuggets (22-11) are -2.5 favorites vs. the Kings (17-15)
  • Total (Over/Under): 236.5 points
  • Wednesday, December 28, 2022 at 10:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on NBCS-CA & ALT

The Denver Nuggets visit Golden 1 Center to take on the Sacramento Kings on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Sacramento.

The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Nuggets vs Kings Over/Under is 235.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Nuggets are 15-18 against the spread, while the Kings are 19-13 against the spread.


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Nuggets vs. Kings Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Denver Nuggets-1.5 -110O 235.5 -115-125
Sacramento Kings +1.5 -110U 235.5 -115+105

Kings vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Wednesday‘s game with 59.9% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 53.4% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Nuggets and Kings, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 44 away games (+13.45 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 47 of their last 78 games (+12.10 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have covered the 1Q Spread in 23 of their last 37 away games (+8.95 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 46 of their last 81 games (+8.60 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 47 of their last 85 games (+8.45 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 34 games at home (+14.57 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 47 of their last 79 games (+10.63 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have covered the 1H Spread in 21 of their last 32 games at home (+9.00 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.40 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 33 games at home (+7.80 Units / 21% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 15-18 (-4.8 Units / -13.22% ROI).

  • 22-11 against the Moneyline (+4.45 Units / 5.26% ROI)
  • 15-18 against the Over for game total points (-4.8 Units / -13.22% ROI)
  • 18-15 against the Under for game total points (+1.5 Units / 4.13% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 19-13 (+4.7 Units / 13.35% ROI).

  • 17-15 against the Moneyline (-1.4 Units / -2.69% ROI)
  • 14-18 against the Over for game total points (-5.8 Units / -16.48% ROI)
  • 18-14 against the Under for game total points (+2.6 Units / 7.39% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 69 games (-21.34 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 74 games (-21.23 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 79 games (-21.09 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 75 games (-20.25 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 1Q Spread in 30 of their last 75 games (-18.50 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 42 of their last 88 games (-27.46 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 84 games (-23.74 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 41 of their last 88 games (-18.17 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 36 of their last 87 games (-17.00 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 3Q Spread in 29 of their last 71 games (-16.84 Units / -22% ROI)

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Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings

The Nuggets are 51-19 (.729) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .568

The Nuggets are 33-11 (.750) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .548

The Nuggets are 28-15 (.651) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Nuggets are 17-6 (.739) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .510

Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Kings are 11-55 (.167) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .206

The Kings are 6-20 (.231) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .311

The Kings are 3-15 (.167) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .542

The Kings are 19-38 (.333) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .451

Injury Report: Kings vs. NuggetsWednesday‘s Game, Dec. 28

  • Domantas Sabonis (Kings): Sabonis did not play in Tuesday’s (Dec. 27) game against Denver.
  • Jeff Green (Nuggets): Green is dealing with fractured left hand and sprained finger and will be re-evaluated in a month, according to Adrian Wojnarowski of ESPN.
  • Collin Gillespie (Nuggets): The Nuggets announced that Gillespie is out indefinitely after undergoing surgery to repair a lower left leg fracture.
  • Aaron Gordon (Nuggets): Gordon did not play in Tuesday’s (Dec. 27) game against Sacramento.

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets are shooting 51% (2,136/4,216) in the first half since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Nuggets are shooting 51% (3,791/7,476) in the first half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Nuggets are shooting 44% from three (61/138) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Nuggets are shooting 42% from three (171/404) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends

The Kings have averaged 7.6 offensive rebounds per game (91 rebounds/12 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 10.7

The Kings have averaged 1.46 points per shot (308 points/211 shots) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.29

The Kings are shooting 37% from three (172/463) this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Kings have a 28% free throw rate (293 free throw attempts/1,038 field goal attempts) this season — tied for 7th highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 26%

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 3.5 blocks per game (158 blocks/45 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Nuggets have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (348 blocks/86 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Nuggets have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (196 blocks/50 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6

The Nuggets have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (329 blocks/81 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends

The Kings have averaged 3.4 blocks per game (41 blocks/12 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Kings have averaged 4.6 blocks per game (215 blocks/47 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Kings have averaged 32.7 defensive rebounds per game (5,436 rebounds/166 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.1

The Kings have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (196 blocks/47 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.