Nuggets vs Raptors Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 14

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 14, 2023, 5:30 PM
  • The Raptors (32-36) are -1.5 favorites vs. the Nuggets (46-22)
  • Total (Over/Under): 226.5 points
  • Tuesday, March 14, 2023 at 7:30pm EDT
  • Watch the game on NBA TV & ALT

The Denver Nuggets visit Scotiabank Arena to take on the Toronto Raptors on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in Toronto.

The Raptors are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -0.5 (-110).

The Nuggets vs Raptors Over/Under is 227.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Nuggets are 36-31 against the spread, while the Raptors are 33-35 against the spread.


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Nuggets vs. Raptors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Denver Nuggets+0.5 -110O 227.5 -105-110
Toronto Raptors -0.5 -110U 227.5 -105-110

Raptors vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Tuesday‘s game with 55.2% confidence.

Raptors vs Nuggets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 55.2% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Nuggets and Raptors, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 45 of their last 64 games (+23.57 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 24 games (+9.15 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 41 of their last 65 games (+9.15 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have covered the Spread in 24 of their last 39 games (+8.60 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 50 of their last 87 games (+7.97 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 42 games (+11.90 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have covered the 4Q Spread in 45 of their last 78 games (+8.38 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 41 games (+7.40 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 19 of their last 30 games at home (+6.99 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.72 Units / 28% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 36-31 (+1.9 Units / 2.54% ROI).

  • 46-22 against the Moneyline (+4.1 Units / 2.21% ROI)
  • 35-33 against the Over for game total points (-1.3 Units / -1.74% ROI)
  • 33-35 against the Under for game total points (-5.5 Units / -7.35% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Raptors have gone 33-35 (-5.5 Units / -7.35% ROI).

  • 32-36 against the Moneyline (-19.15 Units / -15.08% ROI)
  • 37-30 against the Over for game total points (+4 Units / 5.35% ROI)
  • 30-37 against the Under for game total points (-10.7 Units / -14.3% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 42 games (-28.54 Units / -51% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 37 of their last 82 games (-24.45 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 56 games (-20.95 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only covered the 2Q Spread in 12 of their last 42 games (-20.65 Units / -45% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 39 of their last 89 games (-18.14 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 64 games (-31.52 Units / -44% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 37 of their last 86 games (-24.50 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 44 of their last 86 games (-21.24 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 87 games (-19.77 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 37 of their last 86 games (-17.49 Units / -18% ROI)

Jump to:

Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Toronto Raptors

The Nuggets are 45-16 (.738) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .541

The Nuggets are 29-9 (.763) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566

The Nuggets are 16-5 (.762) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .531

The Nuggets are 13-9 (.591) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .468

Toronto Raptors: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Raptors are 28-7 (.800) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .723

The Raptors are 17-27 (.386) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .453

The Raptors are 15-18 (.455) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .531

The Raptors are 10-3 (.769) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .696

Injury Report: Raptors vs. NuggetsTuesday‘s Game, Mar. 14

  • Dalano Banton (Raptors): Banton is doubtful for Tuesday’s (Mar 14) game against Denver.
  • Otto Porter Jr. (Raptors): The Raptors announced that Porter Jr. underwent season-ending surgery on his left foot.
  • Reggie Jackson (Nuggets): Jackson is probable for Tuesday’s (Mar 14) game against Toronto.
  • Collin Gillespie (Nuggets): Gillespie has not played this season and no timetable has been announced for his return.
  • Zeke Nnaji (Nuggets): Nnaji has not played since Feb. 5 and no timetable has been announced for his return.
  • Jamal Murray (Nuggets): Murray is questionable for Tuesday’s (Mar 14) game against Toronto.

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets are shooting 51% (5,068/9,911) in the first half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Nuggets are shooting 51% (3,413/6,651) in the first half since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Nuggets are shooting 52% (1,623/3,125) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Nuggets have an eFG% of 58% in the first half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

Toronto Raptors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors have averaged 6.2 turnovers per game (1,366 turnovers/222 games) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

The Raptors have averaged 12.0 turnovers per game (813 turnovers/68 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.2

The Raptors have averaged 6.0 turnovers per game (894 turnovers/150 games) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

The Raptors have averaged 5.7 turnovers per game (390 turnovers/68 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (928 blocks/222 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Nuggets have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (308 blocks/77 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Nuggets have 513 steals this season — 10th most among NBA teams

The Nuggets have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (605 blocks/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

Toronto Raptors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors have averaged 33.0 defensive rebounds per game (4,951 rebounds/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.8

The Raptors have averaged 9.1 steals per game (1,372 steals/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Raptors have averaged 9.0 steals per game (1,987 steals/222 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Raptors have averaged 33.4 defensive rebounds per game (7,416 rebounds/222 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36.0


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.