New Orleans Pelicans vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Nov. 25

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 25, 2022, 4:30 PM
  • The Grizzlies (10-7) are -2.5 favorites vs. the Pelicans (10-7)
  • Total (Over/Under): 228.5 points
  • Friday, November 25, 2022 at 8:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on BSSE & BSNO

The New Orleans Pelicans visit FedExForum to take on the Memphis Grizzlies on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Memphis.

The Grizzlies are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Pelicans vs Grizzlies Over/Under is 227.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pelicans are 10-8 against the spread, while the Grizzlies are 6-11 against the spread.


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Pelicans vs. Grizzlies Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
New Orleans Pelicans+2.5 -110O 227.5 -110+115
Memphis Grizzlies -2.5 -110U 227.5 -110-140

Grizzlies vs Pelicans Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Grizzlies will win Friday‘s game with 55.7% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Grizzlies will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 51.4% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Pelicans and Grizzlies, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 55 of their last 80 games (+27.51 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 37 away games (+20.30 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 43 of their last 68 games (+16.48 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Team Total Over in 54 of their last 87 games (+15.95 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 29 of their last 41 away games (+15.75 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 1H Moneyline in 66 of their last 93 games (+36.20 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 64 of their last 93 games (+29.70 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1H Spread in 62 of their last 93 games (+28.15 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1Q Spread in 62 of their last 93 games (+27.95 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Moneyline in 63 of their last 93 games (+19.10 Units / 8% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 10-8 (+1.2 Units / 6.06% ROI).

  • 11-7 against the Moneyline (-1.95 Units / -4.74% ROI)
  • 10-8 against the Over for game total points (+1.2 Units / 6.06% ROI)
  • 8-10 against the Under for game total points (-3 Units / -15.15% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 6-11 (-6.1 Units / -30.81% ROI).

  • 10-8 against the Moneyline (+0.5 Units / 1.42% ROI)
  • 8-9 against the Over for game total points (-1.9 Units / -9.6% ROI)
  • 9-8 against the Under for game total points (+0.2 Units / 1.01% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 68 games (-26.02 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 23 of their last 66 games (-22.85 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 39 of their last 93 games (-21.82 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Team Total Under in 36 of their last 85 games (-20.65 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 80 games (-20.30 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 80 games (-36.76 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 87 games (-28.55 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 80 games (-27.25 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 88 games (-22.55 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 41 away games (-20.00 Units / -44% ROI)

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New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies

The Pelicans are 6-14 (.300) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .425

The Pelicans are 11-22 (.333) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .461

The Pelicans are 29-53 (.354) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .432

The Pelicans are 18-36 (.333) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .451

Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Memphis Grizzlies are 4-16 (.200) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — ninth-worst among NBA teams. The New Orleans Pelicans have averaged 45.2 rebounds per game (4,291 rebounds/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — sixth-highest among NBA teams.

The Grizzlies are 64-34 (.653) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .567

The Grizzlies are 54-10 (.844) when scoring 110 or more points since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .704

The Grizzlies are 37-21 (.638) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

Injury Report: Grizzlies vs. PelicansFriday‘s Game, Nov. 25

  • Desmond Bane (Grizzlies): The Grizzlies announced that Bane has a Grade 2 sprain and will be re-evaluated in 2-3 weeks.
  • Danny Green (Grizzlies): The 76ers announced that Green has a torn ACL and LCL in his left knee.
  • Ziaire Williams (Grizzlies): The Grizzlies announced that Williams is expected to return in 4-6 weeks.
  • E.J. Liddell (Pelicans): The Pelicans announced that E.J. Liddell tore his right ACL and will miss most of the season.
  • Trey Murphy III (Pelicans): Murphy III did not play in Wednesday’s game (Nov. 23).
  • Kira Lewis Jr. (Pelicans): The Pelicans announced that Lewis Jr. suffered a torn ACL and a grade 2 MCL sprain.

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have 24.5 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.9

The Pelicans have averaged 11.9 offensive rebounds per game (1,987 rebounds/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 10.1

The Pelicans have made 10.2 three-pointers per game this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.1

The Pelicans are shooting 32% from three (496/1,534) in the first half since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies have averaged 27.9 points in the paint per game (4,632 points/166 games) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 22.9

The Grizzlies have averaged 56.5 points in the paint per game (5,372 points/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47.3

The Grizzlies have averaged 57.1 points in the paint per game (2,686 points/47 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47.8

The Grizzlies have averaged 56.7 points in the paint per game (4,760 points/84 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47.1

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have averaged 33.1 defensive rebounds per game (3,149 rebounds/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.8

The Pelicans have averaged 8.5 steals per game (111 steals/13 games) this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Pelicans have averaged 8.5 steals per game (417 steals/49 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Pelicans have averaged 8.3 steals per game (789 steals/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies have averaged 9.2 steals per game (1,535 steals/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Grizzlies have averaged 6.1 blocks per game (294 blocks/48 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6

The Grizzlies have averaged 9.3 steals per game (880 steals/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Grizzlies have averaged 9.1 steals per game (428 steals/47 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6


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