- The Kings (37-26) are -5.5 favorites vs. the Pelicans (31-33)
- Total (Over/Under): 236.5 points
- Monday, March 6, 2023 at 10:00pm EST
- Watch the game on NBCS-CA & BSNO
The New Orleans Pelicans visit Golden 1 Center to take on the Sacramento Kings on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Sacramento.
The Kings are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).
The Pelicans vs Kings Over/Under is 237.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Pelicans are 29-34 against the spread, while the Kings are 34-29 against the spread.
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Pelicans vs. Kings Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
New Orleans Pelicans | +5.5 -110 | O 237.5 -110 | +185 |
Sacramento Kings | -5.5 -110 | U 237.5 -110 | -225 |
Kings vs Pelicans Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Kings will win Monday‘s game with 62.8% confidence.
Kings vs Pelicans Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pelicans will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.
These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Pelicans and Kings, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.
Bet now on Kings vs Pelicans and all NBA games with BetMGM
Pelicans Best Bets for Tonight:
- The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 39 of their last 56 games (+20.09 Units / 32% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 24 games (+17.81 Units / 63% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 30 of their last 45 away games (+14.60 Units / 30% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 43 away games (+14.54 Units / 30% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 24 games (+11.60 Units / 45% ROI)
Kings Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 22 of their last 30 games at home (+13.20 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the 2H Moneyline in 35 of their last 53 games (+13.13 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 44 games (+12.89 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 42 games (+12.21 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 29 games at home (+12.20 Units / 38% ROI)
New Orleans Pelicans Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 29-34 (-8.4 Units / -11.94% ROI).
- 31-33 against the Moneyline (-10.2 Units / -9.62% ROI)
- 33-31 against the Over for game total points (-1.1 Units / -1.56% ROI)
- 31-33 against the Under for game total points (-5.3 Units / -7.53% ROI)
Sacramento Kings Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 34-29 (+2.1 Units / 3.03% ROI).
- 37-26 against the Moneyline (+3.15 Units / 2.75% ROI)
- 32-31 against the Over for game total points (-2.1 Units / -3.03% ROI)
- 31-32 against the Under for game total points (-4.2 Units / -6.06% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Kings:
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 79 games (-24.83 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 78 games (-22.00 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 70 games (-20.20 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 61 games (-19.42 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 44 games (-19.22 Units / -38% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pelicans:
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 58 games (-27.58 Units / -42% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 34 of their last 85 games (-21.15 Units / -23% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 83 games (-20.62 Units / -22% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 80 games (-20.20 Units / -22% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 22 of their last 55 games (-19.82 Units / -28% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the New Orleans Pelicans
- Keys to Winning for the Sacramento Kings
- Player Injuries for New Orleans Pelicans vs. Sacramento Kings
- New Orleans Pelicans Offensive stats
- Sacramento Kings Offensive stats
- New Orleans Pelicans Defensive stats
- Sacramento Kings Defensive stats
New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings
The New Orleans Pelicans are 7-30 (.189) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2021-22 season — sixth-worst among NBA teams. The Golden State Warriors made 15.3 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — highest among NBA teams.
The New Orleans Pelicans are 4-19 (.174) when losing the rebounding margin this season — fourth-worst among NBA teams. The Golden State Warriors have averaged 44.6 rebounds per game (2,676 rebounds/60 games) this season — ninth-highest among NBA teams.
The New Orleans Pelicans are 10-40 (.200) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for fifth-worst among NBA teams. The Golden State Warriors have averaged 45.1 rebounds per game (6,406 rebounds/142 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — sixth-highest among NBA teams.
The Pelicans are 7-30 (.189) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .307
Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans
The Kings are 3-34 (.081) when their eFG is 50% or worse since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .231
The Kings are 34-11 (.756) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .644
The Kings are 27-3 (.900) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .753
The Kings are 19-8 (.704) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .562
Injury Report: Kings vs. Pelicans – Monday‘s Game, Mar. 6
- Richaun Holmes (Kings): Holmes is questionable for Monday’s (Mar. 6) game against New Orleans.
- De’Aaron Fox (Kings): Fox is questionable for Monday’s (Mar. 6) game against New Orleans.
- E.J. Liddell (Pelicans): Liddell is doing some light shooting and is making progress from a torn right ACL, according to Cody Taylor of The USA Today. He’s expected to miss most of the season.
- Larry Nance Jr. (Pelicans): Nance Jr. will be re-evaluated in two weeks, according to Chris Mannix of Sports Illustrated.
- Jonas Valanciunas (Pelicans): Valanciunas is questionable for Monday’s (Mar. 6) game against Sacramento.
- Zion Williamson (Pelicans): Williamson suffered a setback and will be sidelined several more weeks, according to Christian Clark of NOLA.com.
- Jose Alvarado (Pelicans): Alvarado will be re-evaluated in three weeks after being diagnosed with a stress reaction in his right tibia, per Rotowire.
- Josh Richardson (Pelicans): Richardson is out for Monday’s (Mar. 6) game against Sacramento.
New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends
The Pelicans have averaged 14.9 fast break points per game (895 points/60 games) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9
The Pelicans have a 28% free throw rate (2,688 free throw attempts/9,484 field goal attempts) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25%
The Pelicans have averaged 14.8 second chance points per game (887 points/60 games) this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.7
The Pelicans have averaged 25.4 points in the paint per game (5,436 points/214 games) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.2
Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends
The Kings have averaged 120.8 points per game (7,009 points/58 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.3
The Kings have a TS% of 52% in close and late situations this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%
The Kings are shooting 51% (390/767) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 45%
The Kings have an eFG% of 57% in close and late situations this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%
New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends
The Pelicans have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (886 blocks/214 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
The Pelicans have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (430 blocks/107 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Pelicans have averaged 8.6 steals per game (513 steals/60 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3
The Pelicans have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (243 blocks/60 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends
The Kings have averaged 3.3 blocks per game (194 blocks/58 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Kings have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (563 blocks/140 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Kings have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (289 blocks/69 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
The Kings have averaged 7.1 steals per game (999 steals/140 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
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