New Orleans Pelicans vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Dec. 2

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 02, 2022, 4:30 PM
  • The Pelicans (12-8) are -7.5 favorites vs. the Spurs (6-15)
  • Total (Over/Under): 232.5 points
  • Friday, December 2, 2022 at 8:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on CW35 & BSNO

The New Orleans Pelicans visit AT&T Center to take on the San Antonio Spurs on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in San Antonio.

The Pelicans are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-105).

The Pelicans vs Spurs Over/Under is 231.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pelicans are 11-10 against the spread, while the Spurs are 9-13 against the spread.


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Pelicans vs. Spurs Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
New Orleans Pelicans-7.5 -105O 231.5 -115-275
San Antonio Spurs +7.5 -115U 231.5 -115+230

Spurs vs Pelicans Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Pelicans will win Friday‘s game with 68.3% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pelicans will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 56.0% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Pelicans and Spurs, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 58 of their last 83 games (+30.51 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 38 away games (+19.30 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 44 of their last 71 games (+15.46 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 29 of their last 42 away games (+14.65 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 51 of their last 86 games (+12.33 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 51 of their last 80 games (+18.43 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 33 games at home (+11.30 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 51 games (+10.30 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 4Q Spread in 26 of their last 42 games at home (+8.74 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 42 of their last 72 games (+8.42 Units / 10% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 11-10 (+0 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 13-8 against the Moneyline (-0.75 Units / -1.65% ROI)
  • 12-9 against the Over for game total points (+2.1 Units / 9.09% ROI)
  • 9-12 against the Under for game total points (-4.2 Units / -18.18% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 9-13 (-5.3 Units / -21.9% ROI).

  • 6-16 against the Moneyline (-1.45 Units / -6.46% ROI)
  • 10-11 against the Over for game total points (-2.1 Units / -8.68% ROI)
  • 11-10 against the Under for game total points (+0 Units / 0% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 23 of their last 72 games (-29.17 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 80 games (-28.96 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 78 games (-23.62 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 47 games (-20.41 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 76 games (-17.57 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 83 games (-40.03 Units / -43% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 87 games (-24.25 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 83 games (-24.25 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 86 games (-21.88 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 37 of their last 87 games (-20.10 Units / -18% ROI)

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New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs

The Pelicans are 6-14 (.300) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .425

The Pelicans are 11-22 (.333) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .461

The Pelicans are 29-53 (.354) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .432

The Pelicans are 18-36 (.333) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .451

San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The San Antonio Spurs are 10-42 (.192) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — eighth-worst among NBA teams. The Golden State Warriors have averaged 44.9 rebounds per game (4,263 rebounds/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for eighth-highest among NBA teams.

The Spurs are 3-33 (.083) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .256

The Spurs are 9-33 (.214) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .317

The Spurs are 5-20 (.200) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .312

Injury Report: Spurs vs. PelicansFriday‘s Game, Dec. 2

  • Jakob Poeltl (Spurs): Poeltl is OUT for Friday’s (Dec. 2) game against New Orleans.
  • Romeo Langford (Spurs): Langford is PROBABLE for Friday’s (Dec. 2) game against New Orleans.
  • Jeremy Sochan (Spurs): Sochan is OUT for Friday’s (Dec. 2) game against New Orleans.
  • Josh Richardson (Spurs): Richardson is DOUBTFUL for Friday’s (Dec. 2) game against New Orleans.
  • Blake Wesley (Spurs): Wesley is expected to miss 6-8 weeks, according to Tom Orsborn of the San Antonio Express-News.
  • Doug McDermott (Spurs): McDermott is DOUBTFUL for Friday’s (Dec. 2) game against New Orleans.
  • Herbert Jones (Pelicans): Jones is OUT for Friday’s (Dec. 2) game against San Antonio.
  • E.J. Liddell (Pelicans): The Pelicans announced that E.J. Liddell tore his right ACL and will miss most of the season.
  • Brandon Ingram (Pelicans): Ingram is OUT for Friday’s (Dec. 2) game against San Antonio.
  • CJ McCollum (Pelicans): McCollum is PROBABLE for Friday’s (Dec. 2) game against San Antonio.
  • Naji Marshall (Pelicans): Marshall is PROBABLE for Friday’s (Dec. 2) game against San Antonio.

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have 24.5 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.9

The Pelicans have averaged 11.9 offensive rebounds per game (1,987 rebounds/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 10.1

The Pelicans have made 10.2 three-pointers per game this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.1

The Pelicans are shooting 32% from three (496/1,534) in the first half since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.3 (2,185 assists/ 964 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Spurs have averaged 28.6 assists per game (1,314 assists/46 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.2

The Spurs have averaged 52.9 points in the paint per game (5,026 points/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47.2

The Spurs have averaged 16.9 turnovers per game (220 turnovers/13 games) this season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have averaged 33.1 defensive rebounds per game (3,149 rebounds/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.8

The Pelicans have averaged 8.5 steals per game (111 steals/13 games) this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Pelicans have averaged 8.5 steals per game (417 steals/49 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Pelicans have averaged 8.3 steals per game (789 steals/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs have averaged 4.9 blocks per game (465 blocks/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Spurs have averaged 5.0 blocks per game (831 blocks/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Spurs have averaged 4.8 blocks per game (220 blocks/46 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6

The Spurs have averaged 5.1 blocks per game (430 blocks/85 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9


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