Detroit Pistons vs Boston Celtics Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Nov. 9

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 09, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Celtics (4-2) are -12.5 favorites vs. the Pistons (2-5)
  • Total (Over/Under): 226.5 points
  • Wednesday, November 9, 2022 at 7:30pm EST
  • Watch the game on NBCS-BOS & BSDET

The Detroit Pistons visit TD Garden to take on the Boston Celtics on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Boston.

The Celtics are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-115).

The Pistons vs Celtics Over/Under is 226.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pistons are 5-6 against the spread, while the Celtics are 4-6 against the spread.


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Pistons vs. Celtics Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Detroit Pistons+12.5 -105O 226.5 -110550
Boston Celtics -12.5 -115U 226.5 -110-800

Celtics vs Pistons Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Celtics will win Wednesday‘s game with 74.7% confidence.

Celtics vs Pistons Spread Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Celtics will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Pistons and Celtics, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 60 games (+16.05 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have covered the 2Q Spread in 39 of their last 60 games (+15.36 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 39 games (+15.02 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have covered the 1H Spread in 25 of their last 37 games (+11.95 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 20 away games (+11.50 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 1H Moneyline in 57 of their last 85 games (+15.80 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 1H Spread in 32 of their last 48 games (+14.35 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 44 games at home (+14.12 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 61 of their last 96 games (+13.85 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 1Q Spread in 55 of their last 93 games (+13.73 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Against the spread this NBA season, the Pistons have gone 5-6 (-1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI).

    • 3-8 against the Moneyline (-3.5 Units / -29.91% ROI)
    • 6-5 against the Over for game total points (+0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI)
    • 5-6 against the Under for game total points (-1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI)

    Against the spread this NBA season, the Celtics have gone 4-6 (-2.6 Units / -23.74% ROI).

    • 7-3 against the Moneyline (+0.85 Units / 3.7% ROI)
    • 6-4 against the Over for game total points (+1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI)
    • 4-6 against the Under for game total points (-2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 92 games (-25.16 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 51 of their last 100 games (-24.80 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 39 of their last 94 games (-23.47 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 60 games (-17.35 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 47 games (-15.25 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 83 games (-27.05 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only covered the 1Q Spread in 32 of their last 83 games (-24.64 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 72 games (-18.77 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 68 games (-18.62 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 42 away games (-15.08 Units / -32% ROI)
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    Detroit Pistons: Keys to the Game vs. the Boston Celtics

    The Pistons are 18-58 (.237) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .452

    The Pistons are 6-60 (.091) when their eFG is 50% or worse since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .221

    The Pistons are 1-10 (.091) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .321

    The Pistons are 7-35 (.167) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .420

    Boston Celtics: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Pistons

    The Boston Celtics were 37-11 (.771) when winning the rebounding margin last season — 10th-best among NBA teams. The Detroit Pistons averaged 42.3 rebounds per game (3,340 rebounds/79 games) last season — fourth-lowest among NBA teams.

    The Celtics were 17-9 (.654) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .550

    The Celtics were 37-6 (.860) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .772

    The Celtics were 37-11 (.771) when winning the rebounding margin last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .693

    Injury Report: Celtics vs. PistonsWednesday‘s Game, Nov. 9

  • Danilo Gallinari (Celtics): The Celtics announced that Gallinari tore his ACL in his left knee. There is no timetable for his return.
  • Robert Williams III (Celtics): Williams III underwent a procedure and will need 4-6 weeks to recover, according to Adrian Wojnarowski of ESPN.
  • Luke Kornet (Celtics): Kornet did not play in Monday’s (Nov. 7) game against Memphis.
  • Alec Burks (Pistons): Burks is questionable for Wednesday’s (Nov. 9) game against Boston.
  • Marvin Bagley III (Pistons): Bagley III is doubtful for Wednesday’s (Nov. 9) game against Boston.
  • Detroit Pistons Offensive Stats & Trends

    The Pistons have an eFG% of 49% at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

    The Pistons have an eFG% of 49% since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

    The Pistons had an eFG% of 49% at home last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

    The Pistons shot 44% (1,543/3,537) in the first half last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

    Boston Celtics Offensive Stats & Trends

    The Celtics had a TS% of 52% last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50%

    The Celtics shot 38% from three (972/2,594) in the 2020-21 season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

    The Celtics averaged 23.4 points in the paint per game (1,896 points/81 games) in the second half last season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 22.7

    The Celtics averaged 5.8 fast break points per game (479 points/82 games) in the first half last season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7

    Detroit Pistons Defensive Stats & Trends

    The Pistons averaged 31.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,486 rebounds/79 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9

    The Pistons have averaged 31.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,486 rebounds/79 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9

    The Pistons have averaged 32.1 defensive rebounds per game (4,843 rebounds/151 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.1

    The Pistons averaged 7.7 steals per game (606 steals/79 games) last season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

    Boston Celtics Defensive Stats & Trends

    The Celtics averaged 5.7 blocks per game (470 blocks/82 games) last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

    The Celtics averaged 35.1 defensive rebounds per game (2,882 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9

    The Celtics have averaged 6.8 steals per game (527 steals/77 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

    The Celtics have averaged 35.1 defensive rebounds per game (2,882 rebounds/82 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9


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