- The Thunder (37-39) are -11.5 favorites vs. the Pistons (16-59)
- Total (Over/Under): 231.5 points
- Wednesday, March 29, 2023 at 8:00pm EDT
- Watch the game on BSOK & BSDET
The Detroit Pistons visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Oklahoma City.
The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).
The Pistons vs Thunder Over/Under is 228.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Pistons are 31-41 against the spread, while the Thunder are 45-30 against the spread.
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Pistons vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Detroit Pistons | +9.5 -110 | O 228.5 -110 | +360 |
Oklahoma City Thunder | -9.5 -110 | U 228.5 -110 | -500 |
Thunder vs Pistons Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Wednesday‘s game with 75.1% confidence.
Thunder vs Pistons Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pistons will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 52.9% confidence.
These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Pistons and Thunder, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.
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Pistons Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Detroit Pistons have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 51 of their last 79 games (+18.79 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Detroit Pistons have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 46 of their last 76 games (+12.62 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Detroit Pistons have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 38 of their last 82 games (+11.16 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Detroit Pistons have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 30 games (+11.10 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Detroit Pistons have covered the 2Q Spread in 35 of their last 58 games (+9.61 Units / 15% ROI)
Thunder Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 37 games at home (+21.70 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 40 games at home (+20.40 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 2H Moneyline in 28 of their last 42 games at home (+16.54 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 49 of their last 79 games (+14.67 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 47 games (+13.70 Units / 22% ROI)
Detroit Pistons Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Pistons have gone 31-41 (-14.15 Units / -17.15% ROI).
- 16-59 against the Moneyline (-25.6 Units / -32.67% ROI)
- 36-39 against the Over for game total points (-6.9 Units / -8.36% ROI)
- 39-36 against the Under for game total points (-0.6 Units / -0.73% ROI)
Oklahoma City Thunder Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 45-30 (+12.1 Units / 14.48% ROI).
- 37-39 against the Moneyline (+14.6 Units / 14.39% ROI)
- 43-32 against the Over for game total points (+7.8 Units / 9.33% ROI)
- 32-43 against the Under for game total points (-15.3 Units / -18.3% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Thunder:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 37 games at home (-27.50 Units / -65% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 79 games (-25.92 Units / -29% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 79 games (-25.22 Units / -30% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 83 games (-19.77 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only covered the 4Q Spread in 33 of their last 79 games (-17.82 Units / -21% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pistons:
- The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 79 games (-30.33 Units / -34% ROI)
- The Detroit Pistons have only hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 78 games (-28.60 Units / -35% ROI)
- The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 80 games (-26.26 Units / -32% ROI)
- The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 34 games (-25.25 Units / -71% ROI)
- The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 76 games (-22.09 Units / -26% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Detroit Pistons
- Keys to Winning for the Oklahoma City Thunder
- Player Injuries for Detroit Pistons vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
- Detroit Pistons Offensive stats
- Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive stats
- Detroit Pistons Defensive stats
- Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive stats
Detroit Pistons: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder
The Pistons are 23-83 (.217) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .454
The Pistons are 10-61 (.141) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .451
The Pistons are 5-25 (.167) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .457
The Pistons are 8-39 (.170) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .435
Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Pistons
The Oklahoma City Thunder are 6-32 (.158) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — fifth-worst among NBA teams. The Brooklyn Nets has shot 37% from three (1,811/4,864) since the start of the 2021-22 season — fourth-best among NBA teams.
The Thunder are 1-33 (.029) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .240
The Thunder are 14-86 (.140) when their eFG is 50% or worse since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .225
The Thunder are 4-39 (.093) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .161
Injury Report: Thunder vs. Pistons – Wednesday‘s Game, Mar. 29
- Chet Holmgren (Thunder): Holmgren is moving around is shooting again, according to Quenton Albertie of Clutch Points. He’s not expected to play this season as he recovers from a Lisfranc injury.
- Lindy Waters III (Thunder): Waters III did not play in Tuesday’s (Mar. 28) game against Charlotte.
- Kenrich Williams (Thunder): The Thunder announced that Williams suffered a ligament rupture in his left wrist.
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder): Gilgeous-Alexander did not play in Tuesday’s (Mar. 28) game against Charlotte.
- Isaiah Stewart (Pistons): The Pistons announced that Stewart has a left shoulder impingement and will re-evaluated in 3-4 weeks.
- Cade Cunningham (Pistons): Cunningham had season-ending surgery on his shin. He plans on on being ready for next season, according to James Edwards III of The Athletic.
- Alec Burks (Pistons): Burks hasn’t played since Mar. 6 against Portland and remains without a timetable to return.
- Hamidou Diallo (Pistons): The Pistons announced that Diallo has a grade 2 right ankle sprain and will be re-evaluated in 3-4 weeks.
- Rodney McGruder (Pistons): McGruder is out for Wednesday’s (Mar. 29) game against Oklahoma City.
- Bojan Bogdanovic (Pistons): Bogdanovic hasn’t played since Mar. 1 against Chicago and remains without a timetable to return.
Detroit Pistons Offensive Stats & Trends
The Pistons are shooting 44% (5,879/13,306) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
The Pistons have a TS% of 48% since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%
The Pistons have a TS% of 48% at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%
The Pistons have an eFG% of 50% in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%
Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder are shooting 43% (4,298/9,883) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%
The Thunder have a TS% of 48% on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50%
The Thunder have averaged 1.19 points per shot (11,739 points/9,883 shots) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.26
The Thunder are shooting 33% from three (879/2,666) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%
Detroit Pistons Defensive Stats & Trends
The Pistons have averaged 34.2 defensive rebounds per game (7,627 rebounds/223 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36.0
The Pistons have averaged 33.9 defensive rebounds per game (5,125 rebounds/151 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.8
The Pistons have averaged 33.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,342 rebounds/69 games) this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Pistons have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (269 blocks/69 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder have averaged 36.5 defensive rebounds per game (8,103 rebounds/222 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36.0
The Thunder have 76 steals in the last two weeks — most among NBA teams
The Thunder have averaged 8.4 steals per game (571 steals/68 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3
The Thunder have 1,193 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th most among NBA teams
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