Rockets vs Thunder Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 15

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 15, 2023, 4:30 PM
  • The Thunder (27-29) are -9.5 favorites vs. the Rockets (13-44)
  • Total (Over/Under): 235.5 points
  • Wednesday, February 15, 2023 at 8:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on BSOK & SportsNet SW

The Houston Rockets visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Oklahoma City.

The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-105).

The Rockets vs Thunder Over/Under is 233.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Rockets are 22-32 against the spread, while the Thunder are 35-21 against the spread.


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Rockets vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Houston Rockets+10.5 -115O 233.5 -115+375
Oklahoma City Thunder -10.5 -105U 233.5 -115-500

Thunder vs Rockets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Wednesday‘s game with 70.9% confidence.

Thunder vs Rockets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Thunder will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51.5% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Rockets and Thunder, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 23 away games (+12.45 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the 1H Spread in 31 of their last 50 games (+11.25 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 48 of their last 83 games (+9.61 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 28 games (+8.63 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 43 games (+7.55 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 2H Moneyline in 47 of their last 77 games (+36.00 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 61 games (+22.50 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 38 games at home (+18.45 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 44 of their last 70 games (+15.50 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 33 games at home (+15.07 Units / 39% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 22-32 (-13.2 Units / -21.05% ROI).

  • 13-44 against the Moneyline (-15.7 Units / -26.93% ROI)
  • 29-28 against the Over for game total points (-1.8 Units / -2.87% ROI)
  • 28-29 against the Under for game total points (-3.9 Units / -6.22% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 35-21 (+12 Units / 19.5% ROI).

  • 27-29 against the Moneyline (+16.7 Units / 24.7% ROI)
  • 32-23 against the Over for game total points (+6.7 Units / 10.88% ROI)
  • 23-32 against the Under for game total points (-12.2 Units / -19.81% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 81 games (-28.40 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 81 games (-22.90 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 81 games (-21.85 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 80 games (-18.75 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 59 games (-17.64 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 83 games (-26.35 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 83 games (-20.96 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 59 games (-20.75 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Team Total Over in 35 of their last 81 games (-18.35 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 29 of their last 71 games (-17.95 Units / -23% ROI)

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Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Houston Rockets are 3-15 (.167) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — tied for second-worst among NBA teams. The Sacramento Kings has shot 37% from three (714/1,941) this season — 10th-best among NBA teams.

The Rockets are 8-37 (.178) when grabbing fewer than 8 offense rebounds since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .511

The Rockets are 21-72 (.223) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .540

The Rockets are 17-54 (.239) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .539

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets

The Thunder are 1-36 (.027) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .154

The Thunder are 1-21 (.045) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .156

The Thunder are 15-23 (.395) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .548

The Thunder are 22-13 (.629) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .541

Injury Report: Thunder vs. RocketsWednesday‘s Game, Feb. 15

  • Chet Holmgren (Thunder): Holmgren will miss the 2022-23 season with Lisfranc injury to his right foot, according to Adrian Wojnarowsk of ESPN.
  • Aleksej Pokusevski (Thunder): Thunder announced Pokusevski suffered a non-displaced tibial plateau fracture in his left leg and will be reevaluated in 6-8 weeks.
  • Kevin Porter Jr. (Rockets): Porter Jr. said there’s still no timetable for his return, according to Michael Shapiro of SI.com.

Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (2,377 assists/ 1,560 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (4,842 assists/ 3,177 TOs) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (1,214 assists/ 871 TOs) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Rockets have averaged 15.8 turnovers per game (2,155 turnovers/136 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.3

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (4,715 assists/ 2,890 TOs) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Thunder have averaged 1.18 points per shot (10,921 points/9,236 shots) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.26

The Thunder have averaged 1.20 points per shot (22,282 points/18,565 shots) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.27

The Thunder have averaged 1.20 points per shot (14,722 points/12,227 shots) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.27

Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets have averaged 33.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,812 rebounds/54 games) this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.0

The Rockets have averaged 33.0 defensive rebounds per game (6,866 rebounds/208 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9

The Rockets have averaged 32.9 defensive rebounds per game (4,472 rebounds/136 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.7

The Rockets have averaged 4.8 blocks per game (498 blocks/104 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 5.0 blocks per game (266 blocks/53 games) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Thunder have averaged 7.8 steals per game (1,057 steals/135 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Thunder have averaged 8.2 steals per game (435 steals/53 games) this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Thunder have 435 steals this season — 8th most among NBA teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.