Rockets vs Warriors Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 24

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 24, 2023, 4:30 PM
  • The Warriors (29-30) are -10.5 favorites vs. the Rockets (13-45)
  • Total (Over/Under): 230.5 points
  • Friday, February 24, 2023 at 10:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on NBCS-BA & SportsNet SW

The Houston Rockets visit Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in San Francisco.

The Warriors are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-110).

The Rockets vs Warriors Over/Under is 230.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Rockets are 22-33 against the spread, while the Warriors are 26-32 against the spread.


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Rockets vs. Warriors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Houston Rockets+10.5 -110O 230.5 -115+375
Golden State Warriors -10.5 -110U 230.5 -115-500

Warriors vs Rockets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Warriors will win Friday‘s game with 69.4% confidence.

Warriors vs Rockets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Rockets will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Rockets and Warriors, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 24 away games (+11.30 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 39 of their last 65 games (+10.42 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the 1H Spread in 31 of their last 51 games (+10.20 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 29 games (+7.57 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the Team Total Under in 43 of their last 74 games (+7.55 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 41 of their last 65 games (+15.50 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 18 games (+15.30 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the Spread in 32 of their last 49 games at home (+14.40 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 57 of their last 97 games (+12.88 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the 1H Spread in 27 of their last 41 games (+12.50 Units / 27% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 22-33 (-14.3 Units / -22.41% ROI).

  • 13-45 against the Moneyline (-16.7 Units / -28.16% ROI)
  • 29-29 against the Over for game total points (-2.9 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 29-29 against the Under for game total points (-2.9 Units / -4.55% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 26-32 (-9.2 Units / -14.18% ROI).

  • 29-30 against the Moneyline (-27.2 Units / -20.22% ROI)
  • 35-23 against the Over for game total points (+9.7 Units / 14.95% ROI)
  • 23-35 against the Under for game total points (-15.5 Units / -23.88% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 58 games (-28.20 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 40 of their last 99 games (-26.00 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 41 of their last 99 games (-24.60 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 23 of their last 65 games (-22.10 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 45 of their last 100 games (-21.65 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 74 games (-26.35 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 67 games (-20.02 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Team Total Over in 35 of their last 82 games (-19.55 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 60 games (-19.51 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 17 of their last 60 games (-18.36 Units / -30% ROI)

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Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Rockets are 21-73 (.221) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .541

The Rockets are 8-37 (.178) when grabbing fewer than 8 offense rebounds since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .510

The Rockets are 18-82 (.180) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .455

The Houston Rockets are 9-47 (.161) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2021-22 season — third-worst among NBA teams. The Golden State Warriors made 15.3 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — highest among NBA teams.

Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets

The Golden State Warriors are 34-17 (.667) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for seventh-best among NBA teams. The Los Angeles Lakers have averaged 13.7 turnovers per game (1,896 turnovers/138 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for ninth-highest among NBA teams.

The Warriors are 16-3 (.842) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .751

The Warriors are 56-29 (.651) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .567

The Warriors are 38-20 (.655) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .559

Injury Report: Warriors vs. RocketsFriday‘s Game, Feb. 24

  • Andrew Wiggins (Warriors): Wiggins is out for Thursday’s (Feb.23) game against Los Angeles.
  • Ryan Rollins (Warriors): The Warriors announced that Rollins has a Jones fracture in his right foot and will undergo surgery.
  • Gary Payton II (Warriors): Warriors GM Bob Myers said Payton II will be re-evaluated in a month.
  • Stephen Curry (Warriors): The Warriors announced that Curry suffered multiple injuries to his left leg and will be re-evaluated after the All-Star Break.
  • Andre Iguodala (Warriors): Iguodala has only played in three games this season and hasn’t played since Jan. 13. It’s unclear when he’ll return to the lineup.
  • Kevin Porter Jr. (Rockets): Porter Jr. said there’s still no timetable for his return, according to Michael Shapiro of SI.com.
  • Jalen Green (Rockets): Green is out for Friday’s (Feb.24) game against Golden State.

Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (2,390 assists/ 1,573 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (1,239 assists/ 890 TOs) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (4,867 assists/ 3,196 TOs) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Rockets have averaged 15.9 turnovers per game (2,174 turnovers/137 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.3

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have made 16.7 three-pointers per game this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Warriors have averaged 30.9 assists per game (835 assists/27 games) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.4

The Warriors have averaged 14.0 assists per game (771 assists/55 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 11.9

The Warriors have made 15.8 three-pointers per game at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.6

Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets have averaged 5.0 blocks per game (275 blocks/55 games) this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Rockets have averaged 33.0 defensive rebounds per game (6,895 rebounds/209 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9

The Rockets have averaged 4.8 blocks per game (498 blocks/104 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Rockets have averaged 33.5 defensive rebounds per game (1,841 rebounds/55 games) this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.0

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 34.9 defensive rebounds per game (7,293 rebounds/209 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9

The Warriors have averaged 34.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,873 rebounds/55 games) this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.0

The Warriors have averaged 8.1 steals per game (1,686 steals/209 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Warriors have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (209 blocks/55 games) this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.