Spurs vs Celtics Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 26

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 26, 2023, 5:30 PM
  • The Celtics (51-23) are -16.5 favorites vs. the Spurs (19-55)
  • Total (Over/Under): 231.5 points
  • Sunday, March 26, 2023 at 6:00pm EDT
  • Watch the game on NBCS-BOS & BSSW

The San Antonio Spurs visit TD Garden to take on the Boston Celtics on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 6:00pm EDT in Boston.

The Celtics are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -15.5 (-110).

The Spurs vs Celtics Over/Under is 231.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Spurs are 30-44 against the spread, while the Celtics are 39-34 against the spread.


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Spurs vs. Celtics Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
San Antonio Spurs+15.5 -110O 231.5 -115+800
Boston Celtics -15.5 -110U 231.5 -115-1400

Celtics vs Spurs Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Celtics will win Sunday‘s game with 78.3% confidence.

Celtics vs Spurs Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Celtics will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 53.3% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Spurs and Celtics, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 43 of their last 66 games (+16.87 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 49 games (+14.40 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 44 of their last 74 games (+12.10 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 13 games (+8.60 Units / 66% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 3Q Spread in 30 of their last 50 games (+7.91 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 57 of their last 79 games (+32.45 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 2Q Spread in 30 of their last 45 games at home (+14.39 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 1H Spread in 57 of their last 96 games (+14.15 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 49 of their last 82 games (+12.46 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 32 of their last 51 games (+12.40 Units / 22% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 30-44 (-18.4 Units / -22.6% ROI).

  • 19-55 against the Moneyline (-6.85 Units / -9.17% ROI)
  • 42-30 against the Over for game total points (+9 Units / 11.06% ROI)
  • 30-42 against the Under for game total points (-16.2 Units / -19.9% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Celtics have gone 39-34 (+1.6 Units / 1.97% ROI).

  • 51-23 against the Moneyline (-22.35 Units / -9.15% ROI)
  • 38-36 against the Over for game total points (-1.6 Units / -1.97% ROI)
  • 36-38 against the Under for game total points (-5.8 Units / -7.13% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 24 of their last 83 games (-42.68 Units / -45% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 48 games (-32.45 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 48 of their last 95 games (-25.62 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 41 of their last 100 games (-24.37 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 40 of their last 86 games (-21.17 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 74 games (-33.18 Units / -44% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only covered the 4Q Spread in 25 of their last 74 games (-28.80 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 24 of their last 68 games (-25.59 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only covered the Spread in 25 of their last 67 games (-21.20 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 83 games (-19.40 Units / -21% ROI)

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San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the Boston Celtics

The Spurs are winless (0-30) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .302

The Spurs are 3-57 (.050) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .276

The Spurs are 1-27 (.036) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .240

The Spurs are 4-56 (.067) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .229

Boston Celtics: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs

The Boston Celtics are 46-21 (.687) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — third-best among NBA teams. The Portland Trail Blazers have averaged 14.5 turnovers per game (2,191 turnovers/151 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for eighth-highest among NBA teams.

The Boston Celtics are 57-15 (.792) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — third-best among NBA teams. The Portland Trail Blazers have averaged 49.8 rebounds per game (7,518 rebounds/151 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — fourth-lowest among NBA teams.

The Celtics are 18-1 (.947) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .734

The Celtics are 76-19 (.800) when scoring 110 or more points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .674

Injury Report: Celtics vs. SpursSunday‘s Game, Mar. 26

  • Jayson Tatum (Celtics): Tatum is questionable for Sunday’s (Mar. 26) game against San Antonio.
  • Payton Pritchard (Celtics): Pritchard is questionable for Sunday’s (Mar. 26) game against San Antonio.
  • Danilo Gallinari (Celtics): Gallinari is hoping to return and play at the end of the season, according to Adam Himmelsbach of The Boston Globe.
  • Jeremy Sochan (Spurs): Sochan is out for Sunday’s (Mar. 26) game against Boston.
  • Keldon Johnson (Spurs): Johnson is questionable for Sunday’s (Mar. 26) game against Boston.
  • Khem Birch (Spurs): Birch hasn’t played since Dec. 29 against Memphis and remains without a timetable to return.
  • Romeo Langford (Spurs): Langford is questionable for Sunday’s (Mar. 26) game against Boston.
  • Malaki Branham (Spurs): Branham is questionable for Sunday’s (Mar. 26) game against Boston.
  • Charles Bassey (Spurs): Bassey is likely out for the rest of the season with a non-displaced fracture of his left patella, according to Tom Osborn of the San Antonio Express-News.

San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs have 21.0 free throw attempts per game this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.7

The Spurs have averaged 1.11 points per shot (302 points/271 shots) in the second half in the last two weeks — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.32

The Spurs have averaged 54.5 points in the paint per game (8,120 points/149 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.6

The Spurs have made 10.6 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.5

Boston Celtics Offensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have made 15.8 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Celtics have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.0 (1,835 assists/ 941 TOs) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Celtics have a TS% of 52% since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Celtics have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (980 assists/ 446 TOs) in the first half this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (262 blocks/67 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Spurs have averaged 33.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,236 rebounds/67 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Spurs have averaged 35.0 defensive rebounds per game (5,214 rebounds/149 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.8

The Spurs have averaged 7.7 steals per game (571 steals/74 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

Boston Celtics Defensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have averaged 37.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,648 rebounds/70 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Celtics have averaged 37.7 defensive rebounds per game (5,733 rebounds/152 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.7

The Celtics have averaged 6.8 steals per game (1,035 steals/152 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Celtics have averaged 6.3 steals per game (444 steals/70 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3


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