Thunder vs Jazz Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 23

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 23, 2023, 4:30 PM
  • The Jazz (29-31) are -1.5 favorites vs. the Thunder (28-29)
  • Total (Over/Under): 240.5 points
  • Thursday, February 23, 2023 at 9:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on SportsNet RM & BSOK

The Oklahoma City Thunder visit Vivint Arena to take on the Utah Jazz on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Salt Lake City.

The Jazz are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (+100).

The Thunder vs Jazz Over/Under is 239.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Thunder are 36-21 against the spread, while the Jazz are 33-27 against the spread.


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Thunder vs. Jazz Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Oklahoma City Thunder+1.5 -120O 239.5 -115-110
Utah Jazz -1.5 +100U 239.5 -115-110

Jazz vs Thunder Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Jazz will win Thursday‘s game with 55.5% confidence.

Jazz vs Thunder Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Jazz will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Thunder and Jazz, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 2H Moneyline in 48 of their last 78 games (+37.00 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 62 games (+23.50 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Over in 49 of their last 76 games (+17.45 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 45 of their last 71 games (+16.50 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 41 of their last 78 games (+13.22 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 46 of their last 75 games (+13.32 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 48 of their last 80 games (+12.80 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the 2H Moneyline in 25 of their last 37 games (+11.76 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games (+10.60 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 49 games (+8.10 Units / 15% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 36-21 (+13 Units / 20.75% ROI).

  • 28-29 against the Moneyline (+17.7 Units / 24.58% ROI)
  • 32-24 against the Over for game total points (+5.6 Units / 8.93% ROI)
  • 24-32 against the Under for game total points (-11.2 Units / -17.86% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Jazz have gone 33-27 (+3.3 Units / 5% ROI).

  • 29-31 against the Moneyline (-10.85 Units / -10.91% ROI)
  • 33-26 against the Over for game total points (+4.4 Units / 6.67% ROI)
  • 26-33 against the Under for game total points (-10.3 Units / -15.61% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 89 games (-35.41 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only covered the 4Q Spread in 35 of their last 89 games (-24.87 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 49 games (-24.33 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 47 games (-24.25 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 79 games (-23.75 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 80 games (-29.35 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 81 games (-20.80 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 78 games (-20.75 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 81 games (-19.85 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 60 games (-19.16 Units / -30% ROI)

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Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Utah Jazz

The Oklahoma City Thunder are 8-40 (.167) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2021-22 season — fourth-worst among NBA teams. The Utah Jazz made 14.5 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — second-highest among NBA teams.

The Oklahoma City Thunder are 19-64 (.229) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — ninth-worst among NBA teams. The Utah Jazz have averaged 45.6 rebounds per game (6,288 rebounds/138 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for fourth-highest among NBA teams.

The Thunder are 11-12 (.478) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .529

The Thunder are 13-30 (.302) when allowing fewer than 8 offense rebounds since the start of the 2020-21 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .488

Utah Jazz: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Jazz are 65-34 (.657) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2020-21 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .559

The Jazz are 69-33 (.676) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .542

The Jazz are 55-7 (.887) when shooting 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .780

The Jazz are 49-26 (.653) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .546

Injury Report: Jazz vs. ThunderThursday‘s Game, Feb. 23

  • Collin Sexton (Jazz): Sexton is out for Thursday’s (Feb.23) game against Oklahoma City.
  • Chet Holmgren (Thunder): Holmgren is moving around is shooting again, according to Quenton Albertie of Clutch Points. He’s not expected to play this season as he recovers from a Lisfranc injury.
  • Aleksej Pokusevski (Thunder): Pokusevski is starting to shoot again, according to Andrew Schlecht of The Athletic. No timetable has been announced for his return to action.

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (2,296 assists/ 1,439 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Thunder have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (4,747 assists/ 2,902 TOs) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Thunder have averaged 1.18 points per shot (11,054 points/9,330 shots) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.26

The Thunder have averaged 1.18 points per shot (7,357 points/6,230 shots) in the first half since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.26

Utah Jazz Offensive Stats & Trends

The Jazz averaged 116.4 points per game (8,382 points/72 games) in the 2020-21 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 111.8

The Jazz have made 15.6 three-pointers per game at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.6

The Jazz have made 15.2 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.5

The Jazz have made 14.8 three-pointers per game at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.6

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 8.3 steals per game (447 steals/54 games) this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Thunder have averaged 7.9 steals per game (1,069 steals/136 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Thunder have averaged 5.0 blocks per game (268 blocks/54 games) this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Thunder have 1,069 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 9th most among NBA teams

Utah Jazz Defensive Stats & Trends

The Jazz have averaged 35.5 defensive rebounds per game (7,452 rebounds/210 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9

The Jazz have averaged 6.9 steals per game (957 steals/138 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Jazz have averaged 34.4 defensive rebounds per game (4,743 rebounds/138 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.7

The Jazz have averaged 4.8 blocks per game (492 blocks/103 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.