Warriors vs Grizzlies Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 9

min read
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 09, 2023, 4:30 PM
  • The Warriors (34-32) are -2.5 favorites vs. the Grizzlies (38-26)
  • Total (Over/Under): 235.5 points
  • Thursday, March 9, 2023 at 7:30pm EST
  • Watch the game on TNT & TNT

The Golden State Warriors visit FedExForum to take on the Memphis Grizzlies on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Memphis.

The Warriors are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Warriors vs Grizzlies Over/Under is 235.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Warriors are 31-34 against the spread, while the Grizzlies are 30-32 against the spread.


Bet now on Grizzlies vs Warriors and all NBA games with BetMGM


Warriors vs. Grizzlies Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Golden State Warriors-2.5 -110O 235.5 -110-140
Memphis Grizzlies +2.5 -110U 235.5 -110+115

Grizzlies vs Warriors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Warriors will win Thursday‘s game with 56.1% confidence.

Grizzlies vs Warriors Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Warriors will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 54.0% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Warriors and Grizzlies, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


Bet now on Grizzlies vs Warriors and all NBA games with BetMGM


  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 43 away games (+15.70 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 44 of their last 71 games (+13.37 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 43 of their last 72 games (+12.10 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the 2Q Spread in 23 of their last 33 games (+11.92 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 25 games (+9.75 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 45 games at home (+26.30 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 53 of their last 80 games (+22.65 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 1H Moneyline in 36 of their last 45 games at home (+21.60 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1H Spread in 54 of their last 87 games (+19.15 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the Spread in 29 of their last 44 games at home (+13.60 Units / 28% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 31-34 (-6.4 Units / -8.82% ROI).

  • 34-32 against the Moneyline (-25.6 Units / -17.28% ROI)
  • 36-29 against the Over for game total points (+4.1 Units / 5.65% ROI)
  • 29-36 against the Under for game total points (-10.6 Units / -14.6% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 30-32 (-5.2 Units / -7.39% ROI).

  • 38-26 against the Moneyline (-3.9 Units / -2.44% ROI)
  • 26-35 against the Over for game total points (-12.5 Units / -17.76% ROI)
  • 35-26 against the Under for game total points (+6.4 Units / 9.09% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 90 games (-39.94 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 84 games (-33.43 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only covered the 4Q Spread in 21 of their last 68 games (-30.91 Units / -41% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 11 of their last 33 games (-24.07 Units / -43% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 39 of their last 91 games (-19.56 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 48 away games (-31.00 Units / -39% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 15 of their last 48 away games (-24.28 Units / -39% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 84 games (-23.65 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the Spread in 16 of their last 50 away games (-21.45 Units / -39% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1Q Spread in 42 of their last 100 games (-20.95 Units / -19% ROI)

Jump to:

Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies

The Warriors are 1-17 (.056) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .247

The Warriors are 37-20 (.649) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .542

The Warriors are 4-26 (.133) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .221

The Warriors are 9-28 (.243) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .273

Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Memphis Grizzlies are 3-12 (.200) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — tied for seventh-worst among NBA teams. The Denver Nuggets has shot 39% from three (742/1,882) this season — best among NBA teams.

The Memphis Grizzlies are 24-7 (.774) when they win the turnover margin this season — third-best among NBA teams. The Denver Nuggets have averaged 14.3 turnovers per game (856 turnovers/60 games) this season — tied for sixth-highest among NBA teams.

The Memphis Grizzlies are 59-23 (.720) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — third-best among NBA teams. The Denver Nuggets have averaged 14.0 turnovers per game (1,991 turnovers/142 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for fourth-highest among NBA teams.

The Grizzlies are 40-21 (.656) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .461

Injury Report: Grizzlies vs. WarriorsThursday‘s Game, Mar. 9

  • Vince Williams Jr. (Grizzlies): Williams Jr. did not play in Tuesday’s (Mar. 7) game against the Lakers.
  • Vince Williams Jr. (Grizzlies): Williams Jr. is out for Thursday’s (Mar.9) game against Golden State.
  • Steven Adams (Grizzlies): The Grizzlies announced that Adams continues to recover and will be re-evaluated in about four weeks.
  • Brandon Clarke (Grizzlies): Clarke will miss the rest of the season with a left Achilles tear, according to Adrian Wojnarowski of ESPN.
  • Jake LaRavia (Grizzlies): LaRavia is questionable for Thursday’s (Mar.9) game against Golden State.
  • Andre Iguodala (Warriors): Iguodala is probable for Thursday’s (Mar.9) game against Memphis.
  • Andrew Wiggins (Warriors): Wiggins remains without a timetable to return to the Warriors, according to Anthony Slater of The Athletic.
  • Ryan Rollins (Warriors): The Warriors announced that Rollins has a Jones fracture in his right foot and will undergo surgery.
  • Jonathan Kuminga (Warriors): Kuminga is probable for Thursday’s (Mar.9) game against Memphis.
  • Kevon Looney (Warriors): Looney is probable for Thursday’s (Mar.9) game against Memphis.
  • Gary Payton II (Warriors): Warriors GM Bob Myers said Payton II will be re-evaluated in a month.

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have 20.2 free throw attempts per game this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.7

The Warriors have averaged 14.2 assists per game (849 assists/60 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 11.9

The Warriors have averaged 30.5 assists per game (944 assists/31 games) at home this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.4

The Warriors have made 16.6 three-pointers per game this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies have a TS% of 43% in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%

The Grizzlies have averaged 28.3 points in the paint per game (6,006 points/212 games) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.2

The Grizzlies have averaged 17.0 second chance points per game (1,798 points/106 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.4

The Grizzlies have averaged 60.0 points in the paint per game (4,200 points/70 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.9

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 34.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,063 rebounds/60 games) this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.1

The Warriors have averaged 35.2 defensive rebounds per game (4,993 rebounds/142 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.7

The Warriors have averaged 8.1 steals per game (1,724 steals/214 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Warriors have 1,143 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th most among NBA teams

Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies have averaged 9.4 steals per game (655 steals/70 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Grizzlies have averaged 9.1 steals per game (1,939 steals/212 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Grizzlies have averaged 9.2 steals per game (1,284 steals/140 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Grizzlies have averaged 6.8 blocks per game (479 blocks/70 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8


Bet now on Grizzlies vs Warriors and all NBA games with BetMGM


Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NBA betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.