Washington Wizards vs Miami Heat Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Nov. 25

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 25, 2022, 4:30 PM
  • The Heat (7-11) are -3.5 favorites vs. the Wizards (10-7)
  • Total (Over/Under): 211.5 points
  • Friday, November 25, 2022 at 8:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on BSSUN & NBCS-DC

The Washington Wizards visit FTX Arena to take on the Miami Heat on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Miami.

The Heat are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Wizards vs Heat Over/Under is 212.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Wizards are 9-9 against the spread, while the Heat are 6-13 against the spread.


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Wizards vs. Heat Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Washington Wizards+3.5 -110O 212.5 -110+125
Miami Heat -3.5 -110U 212.5 -110-155

Heat vs Wizards Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Heat will win Friday‘s game with 58.8% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Wizards will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 51.1% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Wizards and Heat, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Washington Wizards have covered the 4Q Spread in 40 of their last 62 games (+15.75 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 2H Moneyline in 45 of their last 79 games (+15.67 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 47 of their last 79 games (+14.66 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 43 of their last 70 games (+12.85 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 22 away games (+11.64 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 58 of their last 91 games (+21.85 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 58 of their last 98 games (+13.31 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 47 games (+12.52 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 55 of their last 97 games (+12.15 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the Moneyline in 58 of their last 94 games (+10.75 Units / 5% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Wizards have gone 9-9 (-0.95 Units / -4.79% ROI).

  • 10-8 against the Moneyline (+1.85 Units / 7.2% ROI)
  • 8-10 against the Over for game total points (-3 Units / -15.15% ROI)
  • 10-8 against the Under for game total points (+1.2 Units / 6.06% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 6-13 (-8.3 Units / -39.71% ROI).

  • 8-11 against the Moneyline (-7.95 Units / -23.14% ROI)
  • 9-9 against the Over for game total points (-0.9 Units / -4.31% ROI)
  • 9-9 against the Under for game total points (-0.9 Units / -4.31% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 42 of their last 98 games (-27.70 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 40 of their last 98 games (-24.37 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 46 of their last 100 games (-23.15 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 40 of their last 99 games (-21.55 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 49 games (-18.61 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only covered the 1H Spread in 29 of their last 82 games (-24.05 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 79 games (-23.76 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only covered the Spread in 31 of their last 82 games (-21.75 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 72 games (-20.55 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 28 of their last 79 games (-20.35 Units / -21% ROI)

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Washington Wizards: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat

The Wizards are 27-38 (.415) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .457

The Wizards are 33-48 (.407) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .455

The Wizards are 17-31 (.354) when allowing fewer than 8 offense rebounds since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .494

The Wizards are 11-22 (.333) when allowing fewer than 8 offense rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .480

Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Wizards

The Heat are 45-18 (.714) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .564

The Heat are 16-12 (.571) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .461

The Heat are 29-3 (.906) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .744

The Heat are 13-8 (.619) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .510

Injury Report: Heat vs. WizardsFriday‘s Game, Nov. 25

  • Gabe Vincent (Heat): The Heat have listed Vincent as QUESTIONABLE for Friday’s game (Nov. 25) against the Wizards.
  • Jimmy Butler (Heat): The Heat have listed Butler as OUT for Friday’s game (Nov. 25) against the Wizards.
  • Victor Oladipo (Heat): Oladipo has not played this season and is not believed to be closed to returning to action, according to Brian Windhorst of ESPN.
  • Bam Adebayo (Heat): The Heat have listed Adebayo as PROBABLE for Friday’s game (Nov. 25) against the Wizards.
  • Max Strus (Heat): The Heat have listed Strus as DOUBTFUL for Friday’s game (Nov. 25) against the Wizards.
  • Haywood Highsmith (Heat): The Heat have listed Highsmith as PROBABLE for Friday’s game (Nov. 25) against the Wizards.
  • Omer Yurtseven (Heat): The Heat announced that Yurtseven underwent surgery and will be re-evaluated at a later date.
  • Dewayne Dedmon (Heat): The Heat have listed Dedmon as QUESTIONABLE for Friday’s game (Nov. 25) against the Wizards.
  • Duncan Robinson (Heat): The Heat have listed Robinson as DOUBTFUL for Friday’s game (Nov. 25) against the Wizards.
  • Tyler Herro (Heat): The Heat have listed Herro as QUESTIONABLE for Friday’s game (Nov. 25) against the Wizards.
  • Monte Morris (Wizards): The Wizards have listed Morris as QUESTIONABLE for Friday’s game (Nov. 25) against the Heat.
  • Delon Wright (Wizards): The Wizards announced that Wright will be re-evaluated in three weeks.
  • Rui Hachimura (Wizards): The Wizards have listed Hachimura as QUESTIONABLE for Friday’s game (Nov. 25) against the Heat.
  • Johnny Davis (Wizards): The Wizards have listed Davis as QUESTIONABLE for Friday’s game (Nov. 25) against the Heat.
  • Bradley Beal (Wizards): The Wizards have listed Beal as QUESTIONABLE for Friday’s game (Nov. 25) against the Heat.

Washington Wizards Offensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards have made 9.9 three-pointers per game on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Wizards have made 10.4 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Wizards are shooting 28% from three (48/172) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Wizards have 21.5 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.4

Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 41.0 points in the paint per game (1,802 points/44 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46.7

The Heat have averaged 45.5 points in the paint per game (592 points/13 games) this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.0

The Heat are shooting 87% from the free throw line (260/300) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

The Heat have averaged 12.9 turnovers per game (168 turnovers/13 games) this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3

Washington Wizards Defensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards have averaged 5.9 steals per game (82 steals/14 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Wizards have averaged 35.7 defensive rebounds per game (500 rebounds/14 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.2

The Wizards have blocked 486 shots since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th most among NBA teams

The Wizards have averaged 6.4 steals per game (313 steals/49 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 2.9 blocks per game (38 blocks/13 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (298 blocks/94 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Heat have averaged 3.0 blocks per game (152 blocks/50 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Heat have averaged 3.5 blocks per game (281 blocks/80 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.