ACC Basketball Tournament: Schedule, Odds, Predictions

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Duke head coach Jon Scheyer reacts from the sideline against North Carolina State during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game in Raleigh, N.C., Monday, March 4, 2024.
(AP Photo/Karl B DeBlaker)
Chase Kiddy @chaseakiddy Mar 11, 2024, 6:34 PM
  • The ACC basketball tournament will run March 12-16 in Washington, D.C.
  • No. 2 seed Duke (+190) is the favorite.
  • North Carolina hasn’t won the ACC Tournament since 2016.

When the calendar flips to March, and NCAA conference basketball tournaments get started, few American locations feel as energized and frenzied as ACC country. 

This week’s ACC Tournament features a classic conference scenario. Duke and North Carolina are atop the conference, with other traditional regional powers like Virginia and Pittsburgh looking to play spoiler from the middle of the table. 

The BetMGM online sportsbook has college basketball odds governing tournament futures and single-game matchups. 

ACC Tournament Schedule

The ACC basketball tournament runs March 12-16 at Capital One Arena in Washington, D.C. 

  • Game 1: No. 12 Notre Dame vs. No. 13 Georgia Tech (March 12)
  • Game 2: No. 10 N.C. State vs. No. 15 Louisville (March 12)
  • Game 3: No. 11 Boston College vs. No. 14 Miami (March 12)
  • Game 4: No. 8 Virginia Tech vs. No. 9 Florida State (March 13)
  • Game 5: No. 5 Wake Forest vs. Game 1 Winner (March 13)
  • Game 6: No. 7 Syracuse vs. Game 2 Winner (March 13)
  • Game 7: No. 6 Clemson vs. Game 3 Winner (March 13)
  • Game 8: No. 1 North Carolina vs. Game 4 Winner (March 14)
  • Game 9: No. 4 Pittsburgh vs. Game 5 Winner (March 14)
  • Game 10: No. 2 Duke vs. Game 6 Winner (March 14)
  • Game 11: No. 3 Virginia vs. Game 7 Winner (March 14)
  • Game 12: Game 8 Winner vs. Game 9 Winner (March 15)
  • Game 13: Game 10 Winner vs. Game 11 Winner (March 15)
  • Game 14: Game 12 Winner vs. Game 13 Winner (March 16)

ACC Tournament Odds

North Carolina+200
Wake Forest +900
Virginia Tech+2500
N.C. State+5000
Florida State +8000
Miami (FL)+10000
Notre Dame+25000
Georgia Tech+25000

ACC Tournament Prediction

Duke (+190) will win the ACC basketball tournament and earn the automatic bid to the NCAA Tournament.

Duke won this tournament last year, and I think it’s interesting that the Blue Devils are a nominal favorite over UNC despite the fact that the Tar Heels swept Duke during the regular season. The second game of the series was just played on Saturday.

You would think such a scenario would mark UNC – the regular-season champion and clear head-to-head winner over No. 2 Duke – as the favorite. The fact that it hasn’t is telling. 

Here are a couple of other notes to keep in mind:

Tobacco Row or GTFO

In recent years, as Duke and North Carolina have had more variable seasons from year to year, college basketball fans have seen other ACC programs jump up and grab the automatic bid during ACC Tournament week. 

In 2021, it was No. 4 seed Georgia Tech. A year later, it was No. 7 seed Virginia Tech.

I don’t see that happening this year. The ACC is enduring a very top-heavy year where Duke and North Carolina are top 10 squads and no one else in the conference looks anywhere near their level.

The 2024 ACC is probably not a market to get crazy with your championship bets. Pick a side: Tar Heels or Blue Devils. It’s probably going to be one of them holding the trophy in the end.

Can Virginia Hold Its Ground?

The Cavaliers’ offense has been brutal over the final few weeks of the season, and Virginia’s tournament resume has suffered as a result. 

After a long winning streak that stretched for nearly a month from mid-January to mid-February, the Cavs went 3-4 down the stretch with only one win over a top 80 KenPom opponent. 

Virginia is likely to end up on the right side of the bubble at this point, but its performance in the ACC Tournament this week could heavily influence where it ends up in the field of 68. Maybe it’ll be a No. 10 seed with a manageable path; maybe it’ll need to summon enough offense to beat a tough mid-major in the First Four. 

Wake Forest, Pittsburgh Have Work To Do

In my recent March Madness predictions piece, I wrote about how I think the ACC will be limited to four teams in the NCAA Tournament field, but that won’t necessarily be a bad thing for its overall conference performance.

That prediction essentially relies on both Wake Forest and Pittsburgh being left out of the field. They’re currently projected on the wrong side of the bubble. (For more on this, you can read my Wake Forest tournament resume here and my Pittsburgh tournament profile here.)

To say the obvious, nothing is a fixed result just yet, and both teams could play their way into the field with a deep run this week. 

That said, it seems unlikely that both get in, and Wake Forest finished the season on a lousy 1-3 streak with losses to sub-100 Notre Dame and sub-100 Georgia Tech. I guess I’d bet on Pittsburgh to do it if I had to pick one, but I don’t like either team’s chances – especially once bid steals start squeezing the bubble even more than it already is.

  • 2023-24 ACC Standings
    Team Conf. Wins Conf. Losses Win Pct.
    N. Carolina 17 3 .850
    Duke 15 5 .750
    Virginia 13 7 .650
    Pittsburgh 12 8 .600
    Clemson 11 9 .550
    Syracuse 11 9 .550
    Wake Forest 11 9 .550
    Va. Tech 10 10 .500
    Florida St. 10 10 .500
    NC State 9 11 .450
    Boston College 8 12 .400
    Ga. Tech 7 13 .350
    Notre Dame 7 13 .350
    Miami 6 14 .300
    Louisville 3 17 .150
  • ACC Tournament Champions
    Year Champion Runner-Up
    1954 NC State Wake Forest
    1955 NC State Duke
    1956 NC State Wake Forest
    1957 North Carolina South Carolina
    1958 Maryland North Carolina
    1959 NC State North Carolina
    1960 Duke Wake Forest
    1961 Wake Forest Duke
    1962 Wake Forest Clemson
    1963 Duke Wake Forest
    1964 Duke Wake Forest
    1965 NC State Duke
    1966 Duke NC State
    1967 North Carolina Duke
    1968 North Carolina NC State
    1969 North Carolina Duke
    1970 NC State South Carolina
    1971 South Carolina North Carolina
    1972 North Carolina Maryland
    1973 NC State Maryland
    1974 NC State Maryland
    1975 North Carolina NC State
    1976 Virginia North Carolina
    1977 North Carolina Virginia
    1978 Duke Wake Forest
    1979 North Carolina Duke
    1980 Duke Maryland
    1981 North Carolina Maryland
    1982 North Carolina Virginia
    1983 NC State Virginia
    1984 Maryland Duke
    1985 Georgia Tech North Carolina
    1986 Duke Georgia Tech
    1987 NC State North Carolina
    1988 Duke North Carolina
    1989 North Carolina Duke
    1990 Georgia Tech Virginia
    1991 North Carolina Duke
    1992 Duke North Carolina
    1993 Georgia Tech North Carolina
    1994 North Carolina Virginia
    1995 Wake Forest North Carolina
    1996 Wake Forest Georgia Tech
    1997 North Carolina NC State
    1998 North Carolina Duke
    1999 Duke North Carolina
    2000 Duke Maryland
    2001 Duke North Carolina
    2002 Duke NC State
    2003 Duke NC State
    2004 Maryland Duke
    2005 Duke Georgia Tech
    2006 Duke Boston College
    2007 North Carolina NC State
    2008 North Carolina Clemson
    2009 Duke Florida State
    2010 Duke Georgia Tech
    2011 Duke North Carolina
    2012 Florida State North Carolina
    2013 Miami North Carolina
    2014 Virginia Duke
    2015 Notre Dame North Carolina
    2016 North Carolina Virginia
    2017 Duke Notre Dame
    2018 Virginia North Carolina
    2019 Duke Florida State
    2021 Georgia Tech Florida State
    2022 Virginia Tech Duke
    2023 Duke Virginia
  • Most ACC Tournament Championships
    Team Championships
    Duke 22
    North Carolina 18
    NC State 10
    Wake Forest 4
    Georgia Tech 4
    Virginia 3
    Maryland 3
    South Carolina 1
    Florida State 1
    Miami 1
    Virginia Tech 1
    Notre Dame 1

Conference Tournament Previews & Predictions

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About the Author

Chase Kiddy

Read More @chaseakiddy

Chase Kiddy is a writer for BetMGM and co-host of The Lion's Edge, an NFL and college football podcast available on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, and everywhere else. He has also written for a number of print and online outlets, including the Richmond Times-Dispatch, Washington Post, Daily News-Record, and HERO Sports. His first novel, Cave Paintings, is in development.

Chase Kiddy is a writer for BetMGM and co-host of The Lion's Edge, an NFL and college football podcast available on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, and everywhere else. He has also written for a number of print and online outlets, including the Richmond Times-Dispatch, Washington Post, Daily News-Record, and HERO Sports. His first novel, Cave Paintings, is in development.