Alabama vs Duke Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 29

Duke head coach Jon Scheyer watches from the sideline against North Carolina State during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game in Raleigh, N.C., Wednesday, Jan. 4, 2023.
(AP Photo/Karl B DeBlaker)
  • Duke is a -7.5 point favorite vs Alabama
  • Total (Over/Under): 174.5 points
  • Alabama / Duke TV channel: TBS

The Alabama Crimson Tide visit Prudential Center to take on the Duke Blue Devils on Mar. 29. Tip off is scheduled for 8:49pm EDT in Newark, NJ.

Duke is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-102).

The Alabama vs. Duke Over/Under is 174.5 total points.

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Alabama vs. Duke Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Alabama+7.5 -118O 174.5 -110+240
Duke -7.5 -102U 174.5 -110-300

Alabama vs Duke Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Duke will win this college basketball game with 72.3% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Alabama vs Duke Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Alabama will cover the spread with 53.6% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Alabama have covered the 1H Spread in 24 of their last 38 games (+8.70 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 38 games (+5.69 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 38 games (+2.45 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 38 games (+2.30 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Alabama have covered the Spread in 21 of their last 38 games (+2.15 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Duke has hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 39 games (+25.70 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Duke have covered the Spread in 25 of their last 39 games (+9.60 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Duke have covered the 1H Spread in 25 of their last 39 games (+8.85 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Duke has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 23 of their last 39 games (+4.50 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Duke has hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 39 games (+0.50 Units / 1% ROI)

Alabama Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Alabama has a 20-16 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.25 Units / 5.66% ROI).

  • 26-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.45 Units / 0.57% ROI
  • 20-16 when betting the Over for +2.4 Units / 6.06% ROI
  • 16-20 when betting the Under for -6 Units / -15.15% ROI

Duke Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Duke has a 24-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (+9.7 Units / 23.83% ROI).

  • 34-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +26.95 Units / 1.4% ROI
  • 20-17 when betting the Over for +1.3 Units / 3.19% ROI
  • 17-20 when betting the Under for -5 Units / -12.29% ROI

Alabama Offensive Stats & Trends:

Alabama has averaged 89.9 points per game (6,205 points/69 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 75.9

Alabama has averaged 90.8 points per game (3,177 points/35 games) this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 76.1

Alabama made 11.1 three-pointers per game last season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 7.7

Alabama averaged 89.1 points per game (3,028 points/34 games) last season — tied for best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 75.6

Duke Offensive Stats & Trends:

Duke has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (607 assists/ 334 TOs) this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Duke has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (607 assists/ 334 TOs) this season — tied for 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Duke has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (322 assists/ 168 TOs) in the first half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Duke has an eFG% of 58% this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 52%

Alabama Defensive Stats & Trends:

Alabama has averaged 30.5 defensive rebounds per game (1,067 rebounds/35 games) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.2

Alabama has averaged 30.5 defensive rebounds per game (1,067 rebounds/35 games) this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.1

Alabama has averaged 28.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,994 rebounds/69 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Alabama has averaged 6.0 steals per game (211 steals/35 games) this season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Duke Defensive Stats & Trends:

Duke has allowed an average of 1.06 points per shot (2,220 points/2,094 shots) this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.24

Duke has allowed an average of 1.06 points per shot (2,220 points/2,094 shots) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.24

Duke has allowed an average of 1.08 points per shot (2,969 points/2,741 shots) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.19

Duke has averaged 27.7 defensive rebounds per game (997 rebounds/36 games) this season — tied for 13th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.2


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