- The 49ers are –2 point favorites vs the Chiefs in Super Bowl 58
- Super Bowl Total (Over/Under): 47.5 points
- Watch Super Bowl LVIII on CBS
The San Francisco 49ers visit Allegiant Stadium to take on the Kansas City Chiefs on Feb. 11 in the Super Bowl. Kickoff is scheduled for 6:30pm EST in Paradise, NV.
The 49ers are betting favorites in this Super Bowl matchup, with the spread sitting at -2 (-110).
The 49ers vs. Chiefs Over/Under is 47.5 total points for the game.
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Super Bowl: 49ers vs. Chiefs Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| 49ers | -2 -110 | 47.5 -110 | -130 |
| Chiefs | +2 -110 | 47.5 -110 | +110 |
49ers vs. Chiefs Prediction, Super Bowl:
The winning team model predicts the Chiefs will win the Super Bowl with 52.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
49ers vs Chiefs Spread Prediction, Super Bowl:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Chiefs will cover the spread with 53.0% confidence.
Bet now on Chiefs vs 49ers and all NFL games with BetMGM
Best 49ers Player Prop Bets Super Bowl
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for 49ers players in the Super Bowl, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Christian McCaffrey has hit the Longest Rush Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+8.10 Units / 36% ROI)
- Christian McCaffrey has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+8.05 Units / 36% ROI)
- George Kittle has hit the Longest Reception Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+6.30 Units / 29% ROI)
- George Kittle has hit the Receptions Under in 8 of his last 10 away games (+5.75 Units / 42% ROI)
- Brock Purdy has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 8 of his last 10 away games (+5.35 Units / 40% ROI)
Best Chiefs Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Chiefs players in the Super Bowl, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Skyy Moore has hit the Receptions Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.25 Units / 58% ROI)
- Patrick Mahomes has hit the Passing Yards Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+6.70 Units / 26% ROI)
- Rashee Rice has hit the Receptions Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.50 Units / 30% ROI)
- Kadarius Toney has hit the Longest Reception Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.40 Units / 43% ROI)
- Isiah Pacheco has hit the Receptions Over in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+5.75 Units / 55% ROI)
First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Chiefs vs 49ers
| Player Name | 1st TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Christian McCaffrey | +350 |
| Isiah Pacheco | +550 |
| Travis Kelce | +600 |
| Rashee Rice | +850 |
| George Kittle | +900 |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Chiefs vs 49ers
| Player Name | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Christian McCaffrey | -225 |
| Isiah Pacheco | -130 |
| Travis Kelce | -115 |
| Rashee Rice | +130 |
| Deebo Samuel | +140 |
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Chiefs vs 49ers
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Isiah Pacheco | 17.5 -115 | 17.5 -115 |
| Travis Kelce | 70.5 -125 | 70.5 -105 |
| George Kittle | 49.5 -115 | 49.5 -115 |
| Christian Mccaffrey | 33.5 -130 | 33.5 -105 |
| Marquez Valdes-Scantling | 19.5 -115 | 19.5 -115 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Chiefs vs 49ers
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Isiah Pacheco | 67.5 -130 | 67.5 +100 |
| Patrick Mahomes | 25.5 -125 | 25.5 -105 |
| Christian Mccaffrey | 89.5 -120 | 89.5 -110 |
| Deebo Samuel | 16.5 -120 | 16.5 -115 |
| Brock Purdy | 12.5 -120 | 12.5 -110 |
Super Bowl 49ers Best Bets:
- The San Francisco 49ers have covered the 4Q Spread in 14 of their last 20 games (+6.55 Units / 28% ROI)
- The San Francisco 49ers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 20 games (+6.05 Units / 16% ROI)
- The San Francisco 49ers have covered the 2H Spread in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.55 Units / 26% ROI)
- The San Francisco 49ers have covered the 3Q Spread in 7 of their last 10 away games (+3.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- The San Francisco 49ers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 20 games (+3.10 Units / 14% ROI)
Super Bowl Chiefs Best Bets:
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 19 of their last 21 games (+16.70 Units / 68% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have covered the 2Q Spread in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+3.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 10 games at home (+3.00 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 10 games at home (+2.75 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 11 games at home (+2.50 Units / 21% ROI)
49ers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the 49ers went 9-9 (-0.8 Units / -3.86% ROI).
- 49ers are 14-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.05 Units / -1.22% ROI
- 49ers are 10-8 when betting the Over for +1.2 Units / 5.74% ROI
- 49ers are 8-10 when betting the Under for -3 Units / ROI
Chiefs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Chiefs went 11-7 (+3.3 Units / 15.64% ROI).
- Chiefs are 13-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.8 Units / -3.19% ROI
- Chiefs are 6-13 when betting the Over for -8.3 Units / -39.71% ROI
- Chiefs are 13-6 when betting the Under for +6.4 Units / 30.62% ROI
San Francisco 49ers: Keys to the Game vs. the Kansas City Chiefs
The 49ers are 10-1 (.909) when not throwing an interception this season — 3rd-best in NFL. The Chiefs have intercepted 8 passes this season — T-3rd-fewest in NFL.
The 49ers are winless (0-3) when within 7 points at the two minute warning this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The 49ers are winless (0-5) when scoring less than 22 points this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .253.
The 49ers are undefeated (4-0) vs bottom 10 pass offenses this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .641.
Kansas City Chiefs: Keys to the Game vs. the San Francisco 49ers
The Chiefs are 15-6 (.714) when rushing less than 25 times since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .295.
The Chiefs are 8-4 (.667) when rushing less than 25 times this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .276.
The Chiefs are 8-1 (.889) vs bottom 10 run offenses this season — 5th-best in NFL; League Avg: .576.
The Chiefs are 10-3 (.769) when allowing less than 3 sacks this season — 8th-best in NFL; League Avg: .637.
Additional Matchup Notes for San Francisco 49ers vs. Kansas City Chiefs
The Chiefs have a third down conversion rate of 24.1% on 3rd and 10+ YTG this season — 3rd-best in NFL. The 49ers defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 23.2% on 3rd and 10+ YTG this season — 5th-worst in NFL.
The Chiefs have scored on 26.4% of their drives in the fourth quarter this season — T-5th-worst in NFL. The 49ers defense has allowed scores on 19.6% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter this season — best in NFL.
Chiefs RBs have rushed for 10 or more yards on just 8.0% of 653 carries since the 2022 season — 4th-worst in NFL. The 49ers have allowed 10+ yards on just 6.6% of carries to RBs since the 2022 season — T-best in NFL.
The 49ers have run successful plays on 50.3% of rush attempts this season — 2nd-best in NFL. Chiefs have allowed successful plays on 46.3% of rush attempts this season — 2nd-worst in NFL.
The 49ers have thrown the ball just 47.9% of the time this season — 3rd-lowest in NFL. The Chiefs have allowed just 5.4 yards per dropback this season — 3rd-best in NFL.
The 49ers are 10-1 (.909) when not throwing an interception this season — 3rd-best in NFL. The Chiefs have intercepted 8 passes this season — T-3rd-fewest in NFL.
San Francisco 49ers Offense: Important Stats
The 49ers have averaged 9.3 yards per attempt (4,577 yards/491 attempts) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 7.0.
The 49ers had 6 TDs that were 20+ yards in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — most in NFL.
The 49ers ran successful plays on 75% of pass attempts in Week 18 — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The 49ers have run successful plays on 55% of pass attempts this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 45%.
Kansas City Chiefs Offense: Important Stats
The Chiefs have a third down conversion rate of 32% on third and 10+ yards to go since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 18%.
The Chiefs had a third down conversion rate of 47% on third and 10+ yards to go in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 19%.
The Chiefs have gone three and out on 14% of their drives this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 22%.
The Chiefs are averaging 13.2 drives per TD in the 4th quarter this season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.2.
San Francisco 49ers Defense: Important Stats
The 49ers defense has allowed successful plays on 32% of rush attempts in the 1st quarter since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
Only 40% of the plays run against the 49ers have been in their own territory since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The 49ers defense has allowed successful plays on 36% of plays in the 1st quarter since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The 49ers defense allowed scores on 26% of opponent drives in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 36%.
Kansas City Chiefs Defense: Important Stats
The Chiefs defense has allowed just 4.4 yards per dropback (675 yards/152 attempts) when targeted at a depth of 1-5 yards this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 5.5.
The Chiefs defense sacked opponents 6 times in Week 18 — 2nd-most in NFL.
The Chiefs defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 3% on third and 10+ yards to go this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 17%.
The Chiefs defense pressured opposing QBs on 56% of pass attempts in Week 18 — best in NFL; League Avg: 24%.
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