- The 49ers are -3.5 against the Jets in Week 1.
- Both San Francisco and New York enter the season projected to win 10 or more games.
- I predict the game total under is the best bet for Week 1 MNF.
To kick off the 2024-25 Monday Night Football schedule, Aaron Rodgers and the Jets travel to face the San Francisco 49ers.
The 49ers, the defending NFC champions, begin the season second in the Super Bowl odds board. However, they finished 2-4 SU against the AFC last year.
As for the Jets, they’ll hope to end a long playoff drought with a full season behind Aaron Rodgers. Last year, New York finished 7-10 despite losing Rodgers for the season.
Let’s take a look at the NFL betting lines for the Week 1 game along with my prediction.
49ers vs. Jets Odds
- San Francisco 49ers Moneyline: -200
- New York Jets Moneyline: +165
- Game Spread: 49ers -3.5
- Game Over/Under: 43.5 Points
49ers vs. Jets Prediction, MNF
Based on New York’s unknown offensive strategy and their strong defense, I predict this game will stay Under 45.5 Points (-110).
The Jets offense is the biggest unknown in this game, as bettors don’t have a sample of Aaron Rodgers games to consider.
However, the Jets defense is a known quantity, and bettors should expect New York to contain San Francisco’s potent offense.
Last season, New York ranked third in defensive EPA per play, including fourth in dropback defensive EPA per play, per rbsdm.com.
They also rated out as a top defense away from home. Irrespective of opponent, they only surrendered 22.4 points per game on the road, good for 13th-best in the NFL.
At the same time, San Francisco ranked 10th in defensive EPA per play last season.
This game also matches two historically profitable betting systems.
Since the 2019-20 season, primetime games on Sunday and Monday are 63.8% to the under.
Additionally, outdoor Week 1 games featuring a road team that failed to make the postseason are 83-49-1 to the under since 2005-06. When the total closes between 40 and 47.5, the under is 60-26.
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