- The Colts are -1 point favorites vs the Bears
- Total (Over/Under): 43.5 points
- Watch this game on CBS
The Chicago Bears (1-1-0) visit Lucas Oil Stadium to take on the Indianapolis Colts (0-2-0) on Sep. 22. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Indianapolis, IN.
The Colts are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -1 (-110).
The Bears vs. Colts Over/Under is 43.5 total points for the game.
Bet now on Colts vs Bears & all NFL games with BetMGM
Bears vs. Colts Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Bears | +1 -110 | 43.5 -110 | +100 |
| Colts | -1 -110 | 43.5 -110 | -120 |
Bears vs. Colts Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Bears will win this game with 51.2% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Bears vs Colts Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Bears will cover the spread with 51.5% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Colts vs Bears and all NFL games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Bears players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Bears Player Prop Bets Today
- Cairo Santos has hit the Field Goals Over in 11 of his last 17 games (+6.00 Units / 34% ROI)
- Roschon Johnson has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.55 Units / 44% ROI)
- Roschon Johnson has hit the Receptions Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+5.50 Units / 85% ROI)
- Cole Kmet has hit the Receptions Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+5.10 Units / 29% ROI)
- Roschon Johnson has hit the Longest Rush Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 81% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Colts players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Colts Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Kylen Granson has hit the Receptions Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.10 Units / 34% ROI)
- Joe Flacco has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 6 games (+6.05 Units / 90% ROI)
- Joe Flacco has hit the Interceptions Over in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 68% ROI)
- Matt Gay has hit the Field Goals Over in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 78% ROI)
- Jonathan Taylor has hit the Longest Reception Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 74% ROI)
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Colts vs Bears
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| D.J. Moore (CHI) | 61.5 -120 | 61.5 -115 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Colts vs Bears
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Taylor (IND) | 75.5 -115 | 75.5 -115 |
| D’Andre Swift (CHI) | 52.5 -115 | 52.5 -115 |
Bears Best Bets:
- The Chicago Bears have scored first in 10 of their last 13 games (+8.20 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 21 games (+7.65 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 11 away games (+6.65 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 21 games (+5.50 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.10 Units / 23% ROI)
Colts Best Bets:
- The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.90 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Indianapolis Colts have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.65 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Indianapolis Colts have hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.60 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games at home (+3.50 Units / 26% ROI)
Bears Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Bears art 1-0 (+1 Units / 45.45% ROI).
- Bears are 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- Bears are 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
- Bears are 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / ROI
Colts Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Colts are 1-1 (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Colts are 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.35 Units / -100% ROI
- Colts are 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Colts are 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
Chicago Bears: Keys to the Game vs. the Indianapolis Colts
The Bears were winless (0-6) when trailing at the end of the third quarter last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .148.
The Bears are winless (0-7) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2022 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .218.
The Bears are 4-13 (.235) when within 7 points at the two minute warning since the 2022 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .496.
The Bears were 1-7 (.125) when losing at least one fumble last season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .382.
Indianapolis Colts: Keys to the Game vs. the Chicago Bears
The Colts are 3-5-1 (.333) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .730.
The Colts are 2-8 (.200) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season — T-8th-worst in NFL. The Bears have intercepted 24 passes since the 2023 season — T-most in NFL.
The Colts are winless (0-9) when trailing at the end of the third quarter since the 2022 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .146.
The Colts were 2-4 (.333) when rushing less than 25 times last season — T-8th-best in NFL; League Avg: .276.
Additional Matchup Notes for Chicago Bears vs. Indianapolis Colts
The Colts have been successful on just 37.0% of plays they have ran against a stacked front since the 2023 season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Bears have allowed their opponents to be successful on just 38.0% of plays with a stacked front since the 2023 season — 4th-best in NFL.
The Colts have run successful plays on just 21.4% of pass attempts with motion this season — 3rd-worst in NFL. The Bears have allowed successful plays on just 20.7% of pass attempts against motion this season — best in NFL.
The Colts ran successful plays on just 32.1% of pass attempts against a base rush last week — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Bears allowed successful plays on just 32.3% of pass attempts with a base rush last week — 3rd-best in NFL.
The Bears have rushed for 2,573 yards since the 2023 season — 5th-most in NFL. The Colts have allowed 2,590 yards rushing since the 2023 season — 4th-most in NFL.
The Bears have thrown the ball 66.7% of the time in the red zone this season — T-2nd-highest in NFL. The Colts have allowed 3 receiving touchdowns when defending in the red zone this season — T-2nd-most in NFL.
Chicago Bears Offense: Important Stats
The Bears averaged -0.76 epa per play against a light rush last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.04.
The Bears have averaged -0.73 epa per play against a light rush since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.03.
The Bears have averaged -0.37 epa per play against a base front this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.02.
The Bears have run none of their plays in the red zone in the 2nd half this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 15%.
Indianapolis Colts Offense: Important Stats
The Colts have thrown 49% of their pass attempts 1 to 10 yards downfield this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 71%.
The Colts converted first downs on just 61 of 279 plays (22%) in the 4th quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 26%.
The Colts have run successful plays on 33% of rush attempts against a stacked front since the 2022 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Colts turned the ball over on downs 6 times in the red zone last season — most in NFL.
Chicago Bears Defense: Important Stats
The Bears defense has allowed successful plays on 21% of pass attempts on motion plays this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 45%.
The Bears defense has allowed successful plays on 20% of pass attempts with a base front this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Bears defense has allowed a passer rating of 113.4 on 3rd and long (168 Pass Attempts) since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 80.3.
The Bears defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 76% on 3rd and short last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 59%.
Indianapolis Colts Defense: Important Stats
The Colts defense has allowed a passer rating of 146.7 with a base front (20 Pass Attempts) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 89.0.
Offenses facing the Colts have thrown the ball 32% of the time (46 Pass Attempts/143 plays) this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 50%.
The Colts defense allowed successful plays on 88% of pass attempts with a stacked front last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 50%.
The Colts defense allowed -1.03 epa per play with a stacked front in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL; League Avg: -0.01.
Looking to place a bet on this game with a First Bet Offer up to $1,500? Bet now on Colts vs Bears and all NFL games with BetMGM
More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
More NFL Odds at BetMGM
Take your football entertainment to the next level with NFL betting at the online sportsbook.
From futures like Chiefs Super Bowl odds, Lions odds to win the division, or Ravens playoff odds, to weekly odds like spreads, moneylines, and over/under totals, there’s something for everyone.
And with the best sportsbook promotions, you could land a welcome offer, sports betting Odds Boost, or a Parlay Boost! You can also check out NFL picks and predictions and updated Super Bowl predictions throughout the year.
Log in to your BetMGM account today — or sign up for a new account via the online sportsbook or BetMGM iOS app or BetMGM Android app — to start betting!
