- The Vikings are -7 point favorites vs the Bears
- Total (Over/Under): 43.5 points
- Watch this game on ABC | ESPN+
The Chicago Bears (4-9-0) visit U.S. Bank Stadium to take on the Minnesota Vikings (11-2-0) on Dec. 16. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Minneapolis, MN.
The Vikings are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -7 (-105).
The Bears vs. Vikings Over/Under is 43.5 total points for the game.
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Bears vs. Vikings Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Bears | +7 -115 | 43.5 -110 | +260 |
| Vikings | -7 -105 | 43.5 -110 | -350 |
Bears vs. Vikings Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Vikings will win this game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Bears vs Vikings Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Vikings will cover the spread with 55.2% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Bears players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Bears Player Prop Bets Today
- Caleb Williams has hit the Interceptions Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.30 Units / 75% ROI)
- Roschon Johnson has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.65 Units / 49% ROI)
- Caleb Williams has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.70 Units / 45% ROI)
- Cole Kmet has hit the Receptions Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+4.65 Units / 29% ROI)
- Rome Odunze has hit the Receptions Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.45 Units / 43% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Vikings players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Vikings Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Sam Darnold has hit the TD Passes Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+7.45 Units / 48% ROI)
- Justin Jefferson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.10 Units / 30% ROI)
- Josh Oliver has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.75 Units / 50% ROI)
- Sam Darnold has hit the Carries Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.40 Units / 39% ROI)
- Aaron Jones has hit the Carries Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+5.30 Units / 26% ROI)
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Vikings vs Bears
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Cole Kmet (CHI) | 27.5 -110 | 27.5 -120 |
| Justin Jefferson (MIN) | 81.5 -120 | 81.5 -115 |
| Keenan Allen (CHI) | 49.5 -115 | 49.5 -115 |
| Aaron Jones (MIN) | 14.5 -110 | 14.5 -120 |
| Jordan Addison (MIN) | 50.5 -115 | 50.5 -115 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Vikings vs Bears
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| D’Andre Swift (CHI) | 54.5 -110 | 54.5 -120 |
| Aaron Jones (MIN) | 61.5 -110 | 61.5 -120 |
Bears Best Bets:
- The Chicago Bears have covered the Spread in 12 of their last 21 games (+4.45 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.59 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 17 games (+3.10 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 17 games (+2.30 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 10 away games (+1.55 Units / 11% ROI)
Vikings Best Bets:
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games (+10.80 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 games (+9.20 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.70 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 20 games (+4.84 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have covered the 1Q Spread in 12 of their last 20 games (+3.80 Units / 15% ROI)
Bears Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Bears art 6-5 (+0.5 Units / 3.48% ROI).
- Bears are 4-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.85 Units / -38.7% ROI
- Bears are 5-8 when betting the Over for -3.8 Units / -26.57% ROI
- Bears are 8-5 when betting the Under for +2.5 Units / ROI
Vikings Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Vikings are 8-4 (+3.6 Units / 25.17% ROI).
- Vikings are 11-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.35 Units / 41.46% ROI
- Vikings are 5-8 when betting the Over for -3.8 Units / -26.57% ROI
- Vikings are 8-5 when betting the Under for +2.5 Units / 17.48% ROI
Chicago Bears: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Vikings
The Bears are 1-11 (.083) when rushing for less than 100 yards since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .321.
The Bears are 1-8 (.111) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Bears were 1-8 (.111) when throwing at least 1 interception last season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .371.
The Bears are winless (0-5) vs top 10 offenses this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .362.
Minnesota Vikings: Keys to the Game vs. the Chicago Bears
The Vikings are undefeated (7-0) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .599.
The Vikings are 3-1 (.750) when sacking the QB less than 3 times this season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .373.
The Vikings were 6-2 (.750) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season — 7th-best in NFL; League Avg: .629.
The Vikings are 8-1 (.889) when making 7 or more explosive plays this season — 4th-best in NFL; League Avg: .610.
Additional Matchup Notes for Chicago Bears vs. Minnesota Vikings
The Vikings ran 28.3% offensive plays in the red zone last week — 2nd-best in NFL. The Bears allowed their opponent to run 23.3% of plays in the red zone last week — 5th-worst in NFL.
The Vikings have thrown for 8.6 yards per attempt this season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Bears have allowed 7.4 yards per dropback this season — T-2nd-worst in NFL.
The Vikings have turned the ball over 54 times since the 2023 season — 2nd-most in NFL. The Bears have forced 50 turnovers since the 2023 season — 3rd-most in NFL.
The Bears have scored on 12.9% of their drives in the first quarter this season — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Vikings defense has allowed scores on 17.9% of opponent drives in the first quarter this season — T-3rd-best in NFL.
The Bears have averaged just -0.06 epa per play on play action passes since the 2023 season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Vikings have allowed just -0.01 epa per play on play action passes since the 2023 season — T-3rd-best in NFL.
The Bears are averaging just 3.6 yards per carry this season — T-worst in NFL. The Vikings have allowed just 4.0 yards per carry this season — 4th-best in NFL.
Chicago Bears Offense: Important Stats
The Bears averaged -0.76 epa per play against a light rush last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.04.
The Bears were sacked on 23% of pass attempts (7/31) in Week 14 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 6%.
The Bears have averaged -0.47 epa per play against a light rush since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.02.
The Bears ran successful plays on 17% of plays against a light rush last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 39%.
Minnesota Vikings Offense: Important Stats
The Vikings ran 58% of their plays in the red zone in the 4th quarter in Week 14 — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 17%.
The Vikings have run successful plays on 30% of rush attempts in the red zone since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.
The Vikings threw for 5 TDs in Week 14 — most in NFL.
26% of the Vikings offense’s first downs (79 of 299) came on the ground last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 37%.
Chicago Bears Defense: Important Stats
The Bears defense averaged a sack every 21.6 pass attempts (647 Pass Attempts/30 Sacks) last season — worst attempts per sack rate in NFL; League Avg: 14.0.
The Bears defense has allowed 47.5 receiving yards per game (1,425/30) to RBs since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 32.4.
The Bears defense allowed 8 receptions for 20+ yards in Week 14 — most in NFL.
The Bears defense sacked opposing QBs on just 5% of pass attempts (30/647) last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 7%.
Minnesota Vikings Defense: Important Stats
The Vikings defense allowed successful plays on 29% of rush attempts with a base rush last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 57%.
The Vikings defense has blitzed on 31% of plays this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 15%.
The Vikings defense has blitzed on 29% of plays since the 2023 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 15%.
The Vikings defense has allowed 8.8 yards per dropback (1,241 yards/141 attempts) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 6.3.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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