- The Chiefs are -6 point favorites vs the Bengals
- Total (Over/Under): 47.5 points
- Watch this game on CBS
The Cincinnati Bengals (0-1-0) visit GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium to take on the Kansas City Chiefs (1-0-0) on Sep. 15. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.
The Chiefs are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -6 (-110).
The Bengals vs. Chiefs Over/Under is 47.5 total points for the game.
Bet now on Chiefs vs Bengals & all NFL games with BetMGM
Bengals vs. Chiefs Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Bengals | +6 -110 | 47.5 -110 | +200 |
| Chiefs | -6 -110 | 47.5 -110 | -250 |
Bengals vs. Chiefs Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Chiefs will win this game with 68.3% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Bengals vs Chiefs Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Bengals will cover the spread with 53.9% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Chiefs vs Bengals and all NFL games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Bengals players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Bengals Player Prop Bets Today
- Mike Gesicki has hit the Longest Reception Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.75 Units / 62% ROI)
- Zack Moss has hit the Longest Rush Under in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 78% ROI)
- Zack Moss has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 77% ROI)
- Trenton Irwin has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.85 Units / 61% ROI)
- Jake Browning has hit the TD Passes Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+4.25 Units / 45% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Chiefs players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Chiefs Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Rashee Rice has hit the Receptions Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+8.55 Units / 35% ROI)
- Skyy Moore has hit the Receptions Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.25 Units / 58% ROI)
- Isiah Pacheco has hit the Carries Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.75 Units / 35% ROI)
- JuJu Smith-Schuster has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.30 Units / 42% ROI)
- Rashee Rice has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+6.05 Units / 28% ROI)
Bengals Best Bets:
- The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 away games (+4.75 Units / 61% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.70 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Bengals have scored first in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.90 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 2H Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 away games (+3.45 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 18 games (+2.35 Units / 11% ROI)
Chiefs Best Bets:
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 22 games (+4.25 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have covered the 3Q Spread in their last 3 games (+3.15 Units / 82% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 2 of their last 3 games (+1.35 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the Team Total Over in 2 of their last 3 games (+1.10 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 1 of their last 3 games (+1.00 Units / 30% ROI)
Bengals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Bengals went 0-1 (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).
- Bengals are 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.8 Units / -100% ROI
- Bengals are 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
- Bengals are 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / ROI
Chiefs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Chiefs went 1-0 (+1 Units / 95.24% ROI).
- Chiefs are 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 68.97% ROI
- Chiefs are 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Chiefs are 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
Cincinnati Bengals: Keys to the Game vs. the Kansas City Chiefs
The Bengals were 6-2 (.750) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season — T-6th-best in NFL; League Avg: .586.
The Bengals were 6-3 (.667) at home last season — T-8th-best in NFL; League Avg: .558.
The Bengals were 3-4 (.429) vs top 10 pass defenses last season — 10th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .488.
The Bengals were 2-4 (.333) vs top 10 defenses last season — T-8th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .476.
Kansas City Chiefs: Keys to the Game vs. the Cincinnati Bengals
The Chiefs were 7-1 (.875) when passing for 250 or more yards last season — 4th-best in NFL. The Bengals allowed 248.2 passing yards per game last season — 5th-worst in NFL.
The Chiefs are 18-3 (.857) when passing for 250 or more yards since the 2022 season — best in NFL. The Bengals have allowed 235.4 passing yards per game since the 2022 season — 5th-worst in NFL.
The Chiefs were 8-4 (.667) when rushing less than 25 times last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .281.
The Chiefs are 5-3 (.625) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .263.
Additional Matchup Notes for Cincinnati Bengals vs. Kansas City Chiefs
The Chiefs ran successful plays on 56.9% of pass attempts on play action passes last season — 4th-best in NFL. The Bengals allowed successful plays on 57.0% of pass attempts on play action passes last season — 2nd-worst in NFL.
The Chiefs were successful on 52.1% of plays they have run against a stacked front last season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Bengals allowed their opponents to be successful on 50.5% of plays with a stacked front last season — 3rd-worst in NFL.
Chiefs TEs had 77.4 receiving yards per game last season — 3rd-best in NFL. The Bengals allowed an average of 63.5 receiving yards per game to TEs last season — 3rd-worst in NFL.
The Bengals allowed opponents to pressure their QB on 10.3% of pass attempts last week — 5th-best in NFL. The Chiefs had pressured opposing QBs on just 4.9% of passing plays last week — 2nd-worst in NFL.
The Bengals threw the ball 10 yards or less 74.1% of pass attempts last season — 3rd-highest in NFL. The Chiefs allowed just 5.6 yards per dropback on pass attempts between 1 and 10 yards last season — T-5th-best in NFL.
Bengals WRs have 27 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2022 season — 4th-most in NFL. The Chiefs have allowed 44 receiving touchdowns when defending in the red zone since the 2022 season — 3rd-most in NFL.
Cincinnati Bengals Offense: Important Stats
The Bengals averaged -0.85 epa per play against tight coverage last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.52.
The Bengals threw the ball 36% of the time (10 Pass Attempts/28 plays) in close and late situations last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 55%.
The Bengals ran successful plays on 78% of rush attempts in the 2nd half in Week 1 — best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
The Bengals committed 5 turnovers in the red zone last season — T-2nd-most in NFL.
Kansas City Chiefs Offense: Important Stats
The Chiefs averaged 0.27 epa per play against a stacked front last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 0.01.
The Chiefs ran successful plays on 67% of plays against a heavy rush last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 41%.
The Chiefs have a third down conversion rate of 32% on third and 10+ yards to go since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 18%.
The Chiefs have averaged 0.20 epa per play against a stacked front since the 2022 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 0.02.
Cincinnati Bengals Defense: Important Stats
The Bengals defense allowed 8.1 yards from scrimmage per touch (6,619 yards / 818 touches) last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 7.2.
The Bengals defense allowed 8 TDs on first drive of the game last season — most in NFL.
The Bengals defense allowed a passer rating of just 24.8 when they pressured the QB (91 Pass Attempts) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 53.6.
The Bengals defense allowed successful plays on 56% of rush attempts in the 1st quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
Kansas City Chiefs Defense: Important Stats
The Chiefs defense allowed just 3.6 yards per dropback (256 yards/72 attempts) on 3rd and long last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 6.2.
The Chiefs defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 3% on third and 10+ yards to go last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 17%.
The Chiefs defense allowed successful plays on 40% of pass attempts with a base front last season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
The Chiefs defense allowed 4 TDs that were 20+ yards last season — T-fewest in NFL.
Looking to place a bet on this game with a First Bet Offer up to $1,500? Bet now on Chiefs vs Bengals and all NFL games with BetMGM
More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
More NFL Odds at BetMGM
Take your football entertainment to the next level with NFL betting at the online sportsbook.
From futures like Chiefs AFC West odds, Lions odds to win the Super Bowl, or Titans playoff odds, to weekly odds like spreads, moneylines, and over/under totals, there’s something for everyone.
And with the best sportsbook promotions, you could land a welcome offer, sports betting Odds Boost, or a Parlay Boost! You can also check out NFL picks and predictions and updated Super Bowl predictions throughout the year.
Log in to your BetMGM account today — or sign up for a new account via the online sportsbook or BetMGM iOS app or BetMGM Android app — to start betting!
