Bengals vs. Commanders Prediction, Odds, Pick: Week 3, MNF

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Cincinnati Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow throws during the first half of an NFL football game against the Baltimore Ravens Sunday, Sept. 17, 2023, in Cincinnati.
(Jeff Dean/AP Photo)
Nick Hennion @nickhennion Sep 19, 2024, 10:58 AM
  • The Bengals are predicted to be -7.5-point favorites against the Commanders.
  • Joe Burrow has started 0-2 three straight years, but is 3-0-1 in his last four Week 3 games.
  • My prediction for Monday's game is Jaโ€™Marr Chaseโ€™s receiving yards prop.

Seeking an end to their two-game losing streak, the Bengals welcome the Commanders to Cincinnati for Monday Night Football.ย 

Joe Burrow led the Bengals into Kansas City for Week 2. While Cincinnati controlled the game, a late Chiefs field goal doomed the Bengals to their third consecutive 0-2 start.ย 

Washington avenged their Week 1 loss in Tampa Bay with a 21-18 win over the Giants in Week 2. That came despite Washington failing to score an offensive touchdown.ย 

Hereโ€™s a look at the NFL betting lines and my Bengals vs. Commanders prediction.ย 

Bengals vs. Commanders Odds

  • Cincinnati Bengals Moneyline: -375
  • Washington Commanders Moneyline: +280
  • Game Spread: Cincinnati Bengals -7.5 (-110)
  • Game Over/Under: 47 Points

Bengals vs. Commanders Prediction, MNF

My prediction for Bengals vs. Commanders on MNF is Jaโ€™Marr Chase Over 77.5 Receiving Yards (-115).ย 

This has to be the spot where the Bengals get Chase the ball at a higher rate.ย 

Through two weeks, the LSU product has only 10 catches for 97 yards.ย 

But this matchup presents a clear-cut opportunity for Chase. Washington is 32nd in PFFโ€™s coverage grades through two weeks.ย 

Cincinnati is also their hardest opponent to date. The Bengals are eighth in PFFโ€™s passing grades, with Tampa Bay and New York sitting 12th and 19th, respectively.ย 

Last season, Chase played only two games against teams with a bottom-five PFF coverage grade. Those games resulted in Chase amassing 141 and 192 yards.ย 

In 2022, there were seven teams with a PFF coverage grade south of 60.ย 

Chase played two of those teams and cleared 80 yards both times, with a third 100-yard performance.ย 

Tee Higgins remains out for Cincinnati, so itโ€™s easy to see a scenario where targets funnel to Chase. Take him to clear his receiving yards prop.

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About the Author

Nick Hennion

Read More @nickhennion

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.