- The Raiders are -2.5 point favorites vs the Broncos
- Total (Over/Under): 38 points
- Watch the game on FOX
The Denver Broncos (6-9) visit Allegiant Stadium to take on the Las Vegas Raiders (9-6) on Jan. 7. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25pm EST in Paradise, NV.
The Raiders are betting favorites in this Week 18 matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).
The Broncos vs. Raiders Over/Under is 38 total points for the game.
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Broncos vs. Raiders Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Broncos | +2.5 -105 | 38 -110 | +120 |
| Raiders | -2.5 -115 | 38 -110 | -145 |
Broncos vs. Raiders Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Raiders will win this Week 18 game with 57.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Broncos vs Raiders Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Broncos will cover the spread with 73.1% confidence.
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Best Broncos Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Broncos players this Week 18 game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Courtland Sutton has hit the Longest Reception Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 81% ROI)
- Jerry Jeudy has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.70 Units / 56% ROI)
- Russell Wilson has hit the TD Passes Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+7.70 Units / 32% ROI)
- Jerry Jeudy has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.00 Units / 68% ROI)
- Russell Wilson has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 41% ROI)
Best Raiders Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Raiders players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Josh Jacobs has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.00 Units / 30% ROI)
- Josh Jacobs has hit the Carries Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.65 Units / 47% ROI)
- Davante Adams has hit the Longest Reception Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.90 Units / 48% ROI)
- Hunter Renfrow has hit the Longest Reception Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.60 Units / 46% ROI)
- Josh Jacobs has hit the Longest Reception Over in 10 of his last 16 games (+3.45 Units / 19% ROI)
Broncos Best Bets:
- The Denver Broncos have covered the 1Q Spread in 14 of their last 18 games (+10.75 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games (+8.90 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games (+8.70 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.45 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.40 Units / 23% ROI)
Raiders Best Bets:
- The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.55 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 20 games (+4.45 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Las Vegas Raiders have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+3.70 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Las Vegas Raiders have covered the 3Q Spread in 10 of their last 17 games (+3.05 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 19 games (+2.95 Units / 13% ROI)
Broncos Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Broncos went 6-9 (-3.9 Units / -22.03% ROI).
- Broncos are 8-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.05 Units / -0.22% ROI
- Broncos are 7-9 when betting the Over for -2.9 Units / -16.48% ROI
- Broncos are 9-7 when betting the Under for +1.3 Units / ROI
Raiders Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Raiders went 9-6 (+2.35 Units / 13.35% ROI).
- Raiders are 7-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.9 Units / 4.86% ROI
- Raiders are 5-11 when betting the Over for -7.1 Units / -40.34% ROI
- Raiders are 11-5 when betting the Under for +5.5 Units / 31.25% ROI
Denver Broncos: Keys to the Game vs. the Las Vegas Raiders
The Broncos are 4-2 (.667) when playing in cold weather this season — T-2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Broncos are 1-6 (.143) when not forcing a fumble this season — 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .421.
The Broncos are winless (0-6) when committing 2 or more turnovers this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .286.
The Broncos are winless (0-3) when allowing more than 50% of third down conversions opportunities since the 2022 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .253.
Las Vegas Raiders: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Broncos
The Raiders are 4-1 (.800) when rushing for 120 or more yards this season — 9th-best in NFL. The Broncos have allowed an average of 138.2 rushing yards per game this season — 2nd-worst in NFL.
The Raiders are winless (0-4) vs top 10 run offenses this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .406.
The Raiders are winless (0-6) vs top 10 run offenses since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .419.
The Raiders are winless (0-5) when tied at the end of quarter 1 since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
Additional Matchup Notes for Denver Broncos vs. Las Vegas Raiders
Raiders RBs have averaged 1.9 yards after contact per carry since the 2022 season — T-2nd-best in NFL. The Broncos have allowed 1.8 yards after contact per carry since the 2022 season — T-4th-worst in NFL.
The Raiders are 4-1 (.800) when rushing for 120 or more yards this season — 9th-best in NFL. The Broncos have allowed an average of 138.2 rushing yards per game this season — 2nd-worst in NFL.
The Raiders have gone three and out on 32.6% of their drives since Week 14 — 5th-worst in NFL. Broncos have forced three and outs on 31.1% of opponent drives since Week 14 — T-best in NFL.
Broncos RBs have averaged just 0.9 yards after contact per carry since Week 14 — 5th-worst in NFL. The Raiders have allowed just 1.0 yards after contact per carry to RBs since Week 14 — T-4th-best in NFL.
Broncos RBs have 47.3 receiving yards per game since the 2022 season — best in NFL. The Raiders have averaged 39.6 receiving yards per game allowed to RBs since the 2022 season — 4th-worst in NFL.
Broncos RBs have gained 1,829 yards after catch since the 2022 season — most in NFL. The Raiders have allowed 4,257 yards after catch since the 2022 season — 2nd-most in NFL.
Denver Broncos Offense: Important Stats
The Broncos have targeted RBs 29% of the time (137 Pass Attempts/479 plays) this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 17%.
The Broncos have started 39 drives inside their own 20 yard line in the 1st quarter since the 2022 season — most in NFL.
The Broncos have started 18 drives inside their own 20 yard line in the 1st quarter this season — most in NFL.
The Broncos had a third down conversion rate of 29% in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 39%.
Las Vegas Raiders Offense: Important Stats
The Raiders are averaging 20.0 drives per TD in the 3rd quarter this season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.8.
The Raiders have started 28 drives inside their own 20 yard line this season — fewest in NFL.
The Raiders have completed passes for 20+ yards on just 31 of their 524 total passing attempts (6%) this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 9%.
The Raiders are averaging 9.1 drives per TD in the 2nd half this season — 2nd-worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.0.
Denver Broncos Defense: Important Stats
The Broncos defense allowed no passing TDs (38 pass attempts) in Week 17 — T-best Pass Attempts Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 23.2.
The Broncos defense has allowed first downs on just 32% of plays on 3rd down this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 39%.
The Broncos defense has allowed scores on 19% of opponent drives in the 1st quarter this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 29%.
The Broncos defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 20% in the 4th quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 36%.
Las Vegas Raiders Defense: Important Stats
The Raiders defense has allowed 9 TD passes when the opposing QB has scrambled since the 2022 season — most in NFL.
The Raiders defense allowed first downs on 48% of rush attempts in the red zone in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 32%.
The Raiders defense has allowed first downs on 42% of rush attempts in the red zone since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 31%.
The Raiders defense allowed 4.2 touchdowns per interception (25 TDs allowed, and 6 INT) in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 1.8.
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