- The Bengals are -7.5 point favorites vs the Browns
- Total (Over/Under): 47.5 points
- Watch this game on CBS
The Cleveland Browns (3-11-0) visit Paycor Stadium to take on the Cincinnati Bengals (6-8-0) on Dec. 22. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Cincinnati, OH.
The Bengals are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-105).
The Browns vs. Bengals Over/Under is 47.5 total points for the game.
Bet now on Bengals vs Browns & all NFL games with BetMGM
Browns vs. Bengals Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Browns | +7.5 -115 | 47.5 -120 | +310 |
| Bengals | -7.5 -105 | 47.5 -110 | -400 |
Browns vs. Bengals Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Bengals will win this game with 77.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Browns vs Bengals Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Bengals will cover the spread with 60.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Bengals vs Browns and all NFL games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Browns players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Browns Player Prop Bets Today
- Jerome Ford has hit the Carries Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.55 Units / 46% ROI)
- Deshaun Watson has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- David Njoku has hit the Receptions Over in 6 of his last 7 away games (+5.05 Units / 57% ROI)
- Deshaun Watson has hit the Interceptions Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.40 Units / 70% ROI)
- Dustin Hopkins has hit the Field Goals Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+4.10 Units / 22% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Bengals players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Bengals Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Joe Burrow has hit the Carries Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+8.20 Units / 58% ROI)
- Joe Burrow has hit the TD Passes Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+7.75 Units / 36% ROI)
- Joe Burrow has hit the Completions Over in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 84% ROI)
- Zack Moss has hit the Carries Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.70 Units / 56% ROI)
- Andrei Iosivas has hit the Receptions Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.10 Units / 27% ROI)
Browns Best Bets:
- The Cleveland Browns have covered the 4Q Spread in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.40 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 18 games (+4.25 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 21 games (+2.75 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 away games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 away games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
Bengals Best Bets:
- The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.40 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.50 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.25 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 20 games (+3.25 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.90 Units / 37% ROI)
Browns Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Browns art 4-10 (-7.05 Units / -45.34% ROI).
- Browns are 3-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.85 Units / -46.73% ROI
- Browns are 6-8 when betting the Over for -2.8 Units / -18.18% ROI
- Browns are 8-6 when betting the Under for +1.4 Units / ROI
Bengals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Bengals are 8-6 (+1.6 Units / 10.53% ROI).
- Bengals are 6-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.3 Units / -27.95% ROI
- Bengals are 10-4 when betting the Over for +5.55 Units / 35.92% ROI
- Bengals are 4-10 when betting the Under for -7 Units / -45.6% ROI
Cleveland Browns: Keys to the Game vs. the Cincinnati Bengals
The Browns are 3-0 (1.000) when allowing less than 3 sacks this season — T-best in NFL. The Bengals have averaged just 1.8 sacks per game over that time span — 2nd-worst in NFL.
The Browns were 3-1 (.750) when not forcing a turnover last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .265.
The Browns are 1-9 (.100) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game this season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .420.
The Browns are 3-4 (.429) when sacking the QB 3 or more times this season — 6th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .662.
Cincinnati Bengals: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Browns
The Bengals were undefeated (5-0) when allowing less than 100 rushing yards last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .664.
The Bengals are winless (0-5) when trailing at the end of the third quarter this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .163.
The Bengals were 8-3 (.727) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season — T-7th-best in NFL; League Avg: .579.
The Bengals were 2-6 (.250) when converting less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season — T-5th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .464.
Additional Matchup Notes for Cleveland Browns vs. Cincinnati Bengals
The Bengals have thrown the ball 60.9% of the time in the red zone this season — 2nd-highest in NFL. The Browns have allowed a completion rate of 68.3% when defending in the red zone this season — 2nd-worst in NFL.
The Bengals have thrown for 9.8 yards per attempt on passes up the middle since the 2023 season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Browns have allowed 9.9 yards per dropback when defending passes up the middle since the 2023 season — worst in NFL.
The Browns have run successful plays on just 31.2% of pass attempts against a light front this season — worst in NFL. The Bengals have allowed successful plays on just 37.0% of pass attempts with a light front this season — 5th-best in NFL.
The Browns have been successful on just 29.4% of plays they have run against a light front this season — worst in NFL. The Bengals have allowed their opponents to be successful on just 33.9% of plays with a light front this season — 5th-best in NFL.
Browns TEs have averaged 9.6 targets per game this season — T-4th-highest in NFL. The Bengals have allowed 6.5 receptions per game to TEs this season — worst in NFL.
Cleveland Browns Offense: Important Stats
The Browns have averaged -0.32 epa per play on motion plays this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.00.
The Browns have averaged -0.25 epa per play on motion plays since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.00.
The Browns ran successful plays on 36% of pass attempts on motion plays last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
The Browns have averaged -0.32 epa per play against a light front since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.03.
Cincinnati Bengals Offense: Important Stats
The Bengals have run successful plays on 47% of pass attempts on passes when their QB has been pressured this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 32%.
The Bengals have averaged -0.73 epa per play against tight coverage since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.48.
The Bengals have thrown for 36 TDs this season — most in NFL.
The Bengals have converted first downs on 24 of 59 plays (41%) when their QB has scrambled this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 22%.
Cleveland Browns Defense: Important Stats
The Browns defense allowed successful plays on 11% of plays on contested throws last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 33%.
The Browns defense has allowed successful plays on 36% of plays with a base front since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Browns defense forced three and outs on 33% of opponent drives last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 22%.
The Browns defense allowed successful plays on 34% of pass attempts from their own territory last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
Cincinnati Bengals Defense: Important Stats
The Bengals defense has allowed 13 TDs on first drive of the game since the 2023 season — most in NFL.
The Bengals defense has allowed successful plays on 55% of plays in the 1st quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Bengals defense has allowed successful plays on 55% of rush attempts in the 1st quarter since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Bengals defense has allowed successful plays on 49% of plays in the 1st half since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
Looking to place a bet on this game with a First Bet Offer up to $1,500? Bet now on Bengals vs Browns and all NFL games with BetMGM
More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
More NFL Odds at BetMGM
Take your football entertainment to the next level with NFL betting at the online sportsbook.
From futures like Chiefs Super Bowl odds, Lions odds to win the division, or Ravens playoff odds, to weekly odds like spreads, moneylines, and over/under totals, there’s something for everyone.
And with the best sportsbook promotions, you could land a welcome offer, sports betting Odds Boost, or a Parlay Boost! You can also check out NFL picks and predictions and updated Super Bowl predictions throughout the year.
Log in to your BetMGM account today — or sign up for a new account via the online sportsbook or BetMGM iOS app or BetMGM Android app — to start betting!
