- The Eagles are -8.5 point favorites vs the Browns
- Total (Over/Under): 42.5 points
- Watch this game on FOX
The Cleveland Browns (1-4-0) visit Lincoln Financial Field to take on the Philadelphia Eagles (2-2-0) on Oct. 13. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Philadelphia, PA.
The Eagles are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).
The Browns vs. Eagles Over/Under is 43 total points for the game.
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Browns vs. Eagles Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Browns | +9.5 -110 | 43 -115 | +375 |
| Eagles | -9.5 -110 | 43 -105 | -500 |
Browns vs. Eagles Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Eagles will win this game with 81.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Browns vs Eagles Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Eagles will cover the spread with 52.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Browns players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Browns Player Prop Bets Today
- David Njoku has hit the Receptions Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.45 Units / 49% ROI)
- David Njoku has hit the Longest Reception Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.85 Units / 57% ROI)
- Dustin Hopkins has hit the Field Goals Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+7.10 Units / 41% ROI)
- Jerome Ford has hit the Carries Under in 13 of his last 18 games (+6.55 Units / 29% ROI)
- David Njoku has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.50 Units / 37% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Eagles players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Eagles Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Kenny Pickett has hit the Interceptions Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 78% ROI)
- Saquon Barkley has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.15 Units / 37% ROI)
- Jalen Hurts has hit the Interceptions Over in 11 of his last 17 games (+6.00 Units / 33% ROI)
- Kenny Pickett has hit the Completions Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 59% ROI)
- Kenny Pickett has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.70 Units / 53% ROI)
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Eagles vs Browns
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Amari Cooper (CLE) | 49.5 -125 | 49.5 -105 |
| Saquon Barkley (PHI) | 19.5 -120 | 19.5 -110 |
| Dallas Goedert (PHI) | 36.5 -115 | 36.5 -115 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Eagles vs Browns
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Jalen Hurts (PHI) | 42.5 -120 | 42.5 -115 |
| Saquon Barkley (PHI) | 83.5 -115 | 83.5 -115 |
Browns Best Bets:
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 16 of their last 22 games (+9.35 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 22 games (+7.55 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 22 games (+6.30 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 away games (+5.35 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 57% ROI)
Eagles Best Bets:
- The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in their last 8 games at home (+8.05 Units / 81% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.50 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.90 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.75 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 18 games (+3.25 Units / 16% ROI)
Browns Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Browns art 1-4 (-3.45 Units / -62.16% ROI).
- Browns are 1-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.15 Units / -67.76% ROI
- Browns are 2-3 when betting the Over for -1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI
- Browns are 3-2 when betting the Under for +0.8 Units / ROI
Eagles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Eagles are 2-2 (-0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Eagles are 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.5 Units / -25.21% ROI
- Eagles are 2-2 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Eagles are 2-2 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
Cleveland Browns: Keys to the Game vs. the Philadelphia Eagles
The Browns are 5-2 (.714) when passing for 250 or more yards since the 2023 season — 8th-best in NFL. The Eagles have allowed 249.7 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst in NFL.
The Browns were undefeated (4-0) when the opposing team converts less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .536.
The Browns were undefeated (8-0) when leading at the end of the first half last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .783.
The Browns were 9-3 (.750) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush last season — 4th-best in NFL; League Avg: .536.
Philadelphia Eagles: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Browns
The Eagles are 11-3 (.786) when forcing 1 or more turnovers since the 2023 season — 3rd-best in NFL. The Browns have turned the ball over 45 times since the 2023 season — most in NFL.
The Eagles were 2-3 (.400) after a loss last season — T-10th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .488.
The Eagles were 7-3 (.700) when within 7 points at the two minute warning last season — T-5th-best in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Eagles were 7-3 (.700) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game last season — 10th-best in NFL; League Avg: .573.
Additional Matchup Notes for Cleveland Browns vs. Philadelphia Eagles
The Eagles have run successful plays on 66.7% of rush attempts against a light front this season — T-2nd-best in NFL. The Browns have allowed successful plays on 77.8% of rush attempts with a light front this season — 2nd-worst in NFL.
The Eagles have run successful plays on just 36.0% of pass attempts against a heavy rush since the 2023 season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Browns have allowed successful plays on just 28.1% of pass attempts with a heavy rush since the 2023 season — 4th-best in NFL.
The Eagles are averaging 5.8 yards per carry this season — T-best in NFL. The Browns have allowed 5.3 yards per carry this season — T-2nd-worst in NFL.
Browns TEs have 11 receiving touchdowns since the 2023 season — T-3rd-most in NFL. The Eagles have allowed 42 receiving touchdowns since the 2023 season — 2nd-most in NFL.
The Browns are 5-2 (.714) when passing for 250 or more yards since the 2023 season — 8th-best in NFL. The Eagles have allowed 249.7 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst in NFL.
Cleveland Browns Offense: Important Stats
The Browns have averaged -0.38 epa per play on motion plays this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.00.
The Browns have run successful plays on 28% of pass attempts on motion plays this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
The Browns have averaged -0.06 epa per play against open coverage this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.39.
The Browns have a third down conversion rate of 0% on motion plays this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
Philadelphia Eagles Offense: Important Stats
The Eagles ran successful plays on 59% of plays against a stacked front last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Eagles have run successful plays on 61% of rush attempts against a stacked front since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Eagles ran successful plays on 61% of rush attempts against a stacked front last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
The Eagles have run successful plays on 59% of plays against a stacked front since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
Cleveland Browns Defense: Important Stats
The Browns defense allowed successful plays on 11% of plays on contested throws last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 33%.
The Browns defense allowed successful plays on 35% of pass attempts last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 45%.
The Browns defense has allowed successful plays on 36% of pass attempts from their own territory since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
The Browns defense allowed a passer rating of just 62.5 first read passes (281 Pass Attempts) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 95.1.
Philadelphia Eagles Defense: Important Stats
The Eagles defense have forced three and outs on 14% of opponent drives since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 22%.
The Eagles defense allowed 35 TD passes last season — 2nd-most in NFL.
The Eagles defense have forced three and outs on 8% of opponent drives in the 2nd half since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 20%.
The Eagles defense has not forced a three and out in the 2nd half this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 20%.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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