Browns vs Eagles Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 6

min read

Eagles player number 1 running with NFL ball game in hand.

(AP Photo/Rich Schultz)

BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 09, 2024, 12:05 PM

The Eagles are -8.5 point favorites vs the Browns
Total (Over/Under): 42.5 points
Watch this game on FOX

The Cleveland Browns (1-4-0) visit Lincoln Financial Field to take on the Philadelphia Eagles (2-2-0) on Oct. 13. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Philadelphia, PA.

The Eagles are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-110).

The Browns vs. Eagles Over/Under is 42.5 total points for the game.

Bet now on Eagles vs Browns & all NFL games with BetMGM

Browns vs. Eagles Odds, Spread, Over/Under

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Browns	+8.5 -110	42.5 -105	+350
Eagles	-8.5 -110	42.5 -115	-450

Browns vs. Eagles Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Eagles will win this game with 70.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Browns vs Eagles Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Eagles will cover the spread with 62.4% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

Bet now on Eagles vs Browns and all NFL games with BetMGM

$1500 First Bet Offer

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Browns players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Browns Player Prop Bets Today

David Njoku has hit the Receptions Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.45 Units / 49% ROI)
David Njoku has hit the Longest Reception Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.85 Units / 57% ROI)
Dustin Hopkins has hit the Field Goals Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+7.10 Units / 41% ROI)
Jerome Ford has hit the Carries Under in 13 of his last 18 games (+6.55 Units / 29% ROI)
David Njoku has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.50 Units / 37% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Eagles players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Eagles Player Prop Best Bets Today

Kenny Pickett has hit the Interceptions Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 78% ROI)
Saquon Barkley has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.15 Units / 37% ROI)
Jalen Hurts has hit the Interceptions Over in 11 of his last 17 games (+6.00 Units / 33% ROI)
Kenny Pickett has hit the Completions Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 59% ROI)
Kenny Pickett has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.70 Units / 53% ROI)

Browns Best Bets:

The Cleveland Browns have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 16 of their last 22 games (+9.35 Units / 37% ROI)
The Cleveland Browns have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 22 games (+7.55 Units / 29% ROI)
The Cleveland Browns have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 22 games (+6.30 Units / 26% ROI)
The Cleveland Browns have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 away games (+5.35 Units / 44% ROI)
The Cleveland Browns have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 57% ROI)

Eagles Best Bets:

The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in their last 8 games at home (+8.05 Units / 81% ROI)
The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.50 Units / 36% ROI)
The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.90 Units / 29% ROI)
The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.75 Units / 40% ROI)
The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 18 games (+3.25 Units / 16% ROI)

Browns Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Browns art 1-4 (-3.45 Units / -62.16% ROI).

Browns are 1-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.15 Units / -67.76% ROI
Browns are 2-3 when betting the Over for -1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI
Browns are 3-2 when betting the Under for +0.8 Units / ROI

Eagles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Eagles are 2-2 (-0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI).

Eagles are 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.5 Units / -25.21% ROI
Eagles are 2-2 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
Eagles are 2-2 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI

Cleveland Browns: Keys to the Game vs. the Philadelphia Eagles

The Browns are 5-2 (.714) when passing for 250 or more yards since the 2023 season — 8th-best in NFL. The Eagles have allowed 249.7 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst in NFL.

The Browns were undefeated (4-0) when the opposing team converts less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .536.

The Browns were undefeated (8-0) when leading at the end of the first half last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .783.

The Browns were 9-3 (.750) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush last season — 4th-best in NFL; League Avg: .536.

Philadelphia Eagles: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Browns

The Eagles are 11-3 (.786) when forcing 1 or more turnovers since the 2023 season — 3rd-best in NFL. The Browns have turned the ball over 45 times since the 2023 season — most in NFL.

The Eagles were 2-3 (.400) after a loss last season — T-10th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .488.

The Eagles were 7-3 (.700) when within 7 points at the two minute warning last season — T-5th-best in NFL; League Avg: .500.

The Eagles were 7-3 (.700) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game last season — 10th-best in NFL; League Avg: .573.

Additional Matchup Notes for Cleveland Browns vs. Philadelphia Eagles

The Eagles have run successful plays on 66.7% of rush attempts against a light front this season — T-2nd-best in NFL. The Browns have allowed successful plays on 77.8% of rush attempts with a light front this season — 2nd-worst in NFL.

The Eagles have run successful plays on just 36.0% of pass attempts against a heavy rush since the 2023 season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Browns have allowed successful plays on just 28.1% of pass attempts with a heavy rush since the 2023 season — 4th-best in NFL.

The Eagles are averaging 5.8 yards per carry this season — T-best in NFL. The Browns have allowed 5.3 yards per carry this season — T-2nd-worst in NFL.

Browns TEs have 11 receiving touchdowns since the 2023 season — T-3rd-most in NFL. The Eagles have allowed 42 receiving touchdowns since the 2023 season — 2nd-most in NFL.

Cleveland Browns Offense: Important Stats

The Browns have averaged -0.38 epa per play on motion plays this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.00.

The Browns have run successful plays on 28% of pass attempts on motion plays this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Browns have averaged -0.06 epa per play against open coverage this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.39.

The Browns have a third down conversion rate of 0% on motion plays this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

Philadelphia Eagles Offense: Important Stats

The Eagles ran successful plays on 59% of plays against a stacked front last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Eagles have run successful plays on 61% of rush attempts against a stacked front since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Eagles ran successful plays on 61% of rush attempts against a stacked front last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

The Eagles have run successful plays on 59% of plays against a stacked front since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

Cleveland Browns Defense: Important Stats

The Browns defense allowed successful plays on 11% of plays on contested throws last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 33%.

The Browns defense allowed successful plays on 35% of pass attempts last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

The Browns defense has allowed successful plays on 36% of pass attempts from their own territory since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

The Browns defense allowed a passer rating of just 62.5 first read passes (281 Pass Attempts) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 95.1.

Philadelphia Eagles Defense: Important Stats

The Eagles defense have forced three and outs on 14% of opponent drives since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 22%.

The Eagles defense allowed 35 TD passes last season — 2nd-most in NFL.

The Eagles defense have forced three and outs on 8% of opponent drives in the 2nd half since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 20%.

The Eagles defense has not forced a three and out in the 2nd half this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 20%.

Looking to place a bet on this game with a First Bet Offer up to $1,500? Bet now on Eagles vs Browns and all NFL games with BetMGM

More NFL Betting Predictions:

More NFL Odds at BetMGM

Take your football entertainment to the next level with NFL betting at the online sportsbook.

From futures like Chiefs Super Bowl odds, Lions odds to win the division, or Ravens playoff odds, to weekly odds like spreads, moneylines, and over/under totals, there’s something for everyone.

And with the best sportsbook promotions, you could land a welcome offer, sports betting Odds Boost, or a Parlay Boost! You can also check out NFL picks and predictions and updated Super Bowl predictions throughout the year.

Log in to your BetMGM account today — or sign up for a new account via the online sportsbook or BetMGM iOS app or BetMGM Android app — to start betting!

About the Author