- The Raiders are -2 point favorites vs the Browns
- Total (Over/Under): 37 points
- Watch this game on CBS
The Cleveland Browns (1-2-0) visit Allegiant Stadium to take on the Las Vegas Raiders (1-2-0) on Sep. 29. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25pm EDT in Paradise, NV.
The Raiders are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).
The Browns vs. Raiders Over/Under is 37 total points for the game.
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Browns vs. Raiders Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Browns | +1.5 -110 | 37 -110 | +105 |
| Raiders | -1.5 -110 | 37 -110 | -125 |
Browns vs. Raiders Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Browns will win this game with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Browns vs Raiders Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Browns will cover the spread with 60.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Browns players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Browns Player Prop Bets Today
- David Njoku has hit the Receptions Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.90 Units / 63% ROI)
- David Njoku has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.65 Units / 50% ROI)
- David Njoku has hit the Longest Reception Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.85 Units / 57% ROI)
- Jerry Jeudy has hit the Receptions Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.50 Units / 28% ROI)
- Dustin Hopkins has hit the Field Goals Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+5.90 Units / 36% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Raiders players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Raiders Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Tre Tucker has hit the Receptions Over in his last 6 games (+6.40 Units / 84% ROI)
- Aidan O’Connell has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 75% ROI)
- Alexander Mattison has hit the Carries Under in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 78% ROI)
- Gardner Minshew has hit the Interceptions Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+4.60 Units / 26% ROI)
- Aidan O’Connell has hit the Interceptions Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.40 Units / 67% ROI)
First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Raiders vs Browns
| Player Name | 1st TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Jerome Ford (CLE) | +800 |
| Davante Adams (LV) | +800 |
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Raiders vs Browns
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Davante Adams (LV) | 58.5 -115 | 58.5 -120 |
| Brock Bowers (LV) | 41.5 -120 | 41.5 -110 |
| Jerome Ford (CLE) | 17.5 -110 | 17.5 -120 |
| Amari Cooper (CLE) | 52.5 -115 | 52.5 -115 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Raiders vs Browns
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Jerome Ford (CLE) | 43.5 -110 | 43.5 -120 |
Browns Best Bets:
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 21 games (+8.60 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.35 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 10 away games (+7.90 Units / 72% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 9 away games (+3.35 Units / 34% ROI)
Raiders Best Bets:
- The Las Vegas Raiders have covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.05 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Las Vegas Raiders have scored first in 5 of their last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 62% ROI)
- The Las Vegas Raiders have covered the 2Q Spread in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.55 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 20 games (+4.40 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Las Vegas Raiders have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 11 games at home (+3.70 Units / 30% ROI)
Browns Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Browns art 1-2 (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).
- Browns are 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.65 Units / -51.96% ROI
- Browns are 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
- Browns are 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / ROI
Raiders Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Raiders are 1-2 (-1.3 Units / -37.14% ROI).
- Raiders are 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.1 Units / 2.22% ROI
- Raiders are 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
- Raiders are 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
Cleveland Browns: Keys to the Game vs. the Las Vegas Raiders
The Browns were 3-1 (.750) when not forcing a turnover last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .265.
The Browns are 8-1 (.889) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .633.
The Browns are undefeated (5-0) when the opposing team converts less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .539.
The Browns were undefeated (4-0) when the opposing team converts less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .536.
Las Vegas Raiders: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Browns
The Raiders are winless (0-5) when tied at the end of quarter 1 since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Raiders are 8-3 (.727) when forcing 1 or more turnovers since the 2023 season — 6th-best in NFL. The Browns have turned the ball over 43 times since the 2023 season — most in NFL.
The Raiders were 1-6 (.143) when intercepting no passes last season — T-4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .348.
The Raiders were 7-3 (.700) when forcing 1 or more turnovers last season — 7th-best in NFL; League Avg: .594.
Additional Matchup Notes for Cleveland Browns vs. Las Vegas Raiders
The Raiders have averaged just -0.12 epa per play against a base front since the 2023 season — T-3rd-worst in NFL. The Browns have allowed just -0.15 epa per play with a base front since the 2023 season — best in NFL.
The Raiders have run successful plays on just 37.9% of rush attempts since the 2023 season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Browns have allowed successful plays on just 37.9% of rush attempts since the 2023 season — T-3rd-best in NFL.
The Raiders have averaged just -0.18 epa per play in the second half since the 2023 season — T-worst in NFL. The Browns have allowed just -0.18 epa per play in the second half since the 2023 season — 2nd-best in NFL.
Browns TEs have gained 761 yards after catch since the 2023 season — most in NFL. The Raiders have allowed 2,693 yards after catch since the 2023 season — most in NFL.
Cleveland Browns Offense: Important Stats
The Browns ran successful plays on 36% of pass attempts on motion plays last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
The Browns have started 6 drives inside opposing territory this season — 2nd-most in NFL.
The Browns have run successful plays on 35% of pass attempts on motion plays since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
The Browns have run successful plays on 27% of pass attempts in the 1st half this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
Las Vegas Raiders Offense: Important Stats
The Raiders have run successful plays on 21% of rush attempts on motion plays this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Raiders have run successful plays on 20% of rush attempts this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Raiders have run successful plays on 9% of rush attempts against a light front since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
The Raiders have 5 of 46 (11%) first downs have come on the ground (11%) this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 41%.
Cleveland Browns Defense: Important Stats
The Browns defense allowed successful plays on 11% of plays on contested throws last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 33%.
The Browns defense forced three and outs on 33% of opponent drives last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 22%.
The Browns defense allowed successful plays on 38% of pass attempts first read passes last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 52%.
The Browns defense allowed -0.11 epa per play first read passes last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 0.20.
Las Vegas Raiders Defense: Important Stats
The Raiders defense has not allowed a successful play on any play on contested throws this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 34%.
The Raiders defense has not allowed a successful play on any pass attempt on contested throws this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 34%.
The Raiders defense has missed 37 tackles this season — 2nd-most in NFL.
The Raiders defense has allowed a passer rating of 138.9 against play action passes (13 Pass Attempts) this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 95.6.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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