- The Dolphins are -3.5 point favorites vs the Cardinals
- Total (Over/Under): 46.5 points
- Watch this game on FOX
The Arizona Cardinals (3-4-0) visit Hard Rock Stadium to take on the Miami Dolphins (2-4-0) on Oct. 27. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Miami Gardens, FL.
The Dolphins are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).
The Cardinals vs. Dolphins Over/Under is 46 total points for the game.
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Cardinals vs. Dolphins Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | +3.5 -110 | 46 -110 | +155 |
| Dolphins | -3.5 -110 | 46 -110 | -190 |
Cardinals vs. Dolphins Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Dolphins will win this game with 69.2% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Cardinals vs Dolphins Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Cardinals will cover the spread with 55.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Cardinals players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today
- Marvin Harrison Jr. has hit the Receptions Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 79% ROI)
- James Conner has hit the Longest Rush Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Chris Moore has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.85 Units / 58% ROI)
- Kyler Murray has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+4.45 Units / 27% ROI)
- James Conner has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+4.25 Units / 24% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Dolphins players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dolphins Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Braxton Berrios has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.75 Units / 67% ROI)
- Durham Smythe has hit the Receptions Over in his last 9 games (+9.55 Units / 83% ROI)
- Raheem Mostert has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.60 Units / 47% ROI)
- Durham Smythe has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 6 games at home (+6.10 Units / 88% ROI)
- Braxton Berrios has hit the Longest Reception Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Dolphins vs Cardinals
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Marvin Harrison Jr. (ARI) | 47.5 -120 | 47.5 -110 |
| Jaylen Waddle (MIA) | 52.5 -110 | 52.5 -120 |
| Tyreek Hill (MIA) | 83.5 -115 | 83.5 -115 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Dolphins vs Cardinals
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Raheem Mostert (MIA) | 36.5 -115 | 36.5 -120 |
Cardinals Best Bets:
- The Arizona Cardinals have hit the 2H Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+7.10 Units / 89% ROI)
- The Arizona Cardinals have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 16 games (+4.15 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Arizona Cardinals have covered the 2H Spread in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.70 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Arizona Cardinals have scored last in 6 of their last 10 games (+3.50 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Arizona Cardinals have covered the 4Q Spread in 10 of their last 16 games (+3.00 Units / 16% ROI)
Dolphins Best Bets:
- The Miami Dolphins have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.15 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Miami Dolphins have covered the 3Q Spread in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+3.20 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Miami Dolphins have covered the 2Q Spread in 10 of their last 16 games (+3.05 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Miami Dolphins have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 16 games (+2.80 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Miami Dolphins have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games at home (+2.50 Units / 15% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Cardinals art 4-3 (+0.6 Units / 7.59% ROI).
- Cardinals are 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.1 Units / 1.27% ROI
- Cardinals are 3-3 when betting the Over for -0.3 Units / -3.9% ROI
- Cardinals are 3-3 when betting the Under for -0.3 Units / ROI
Dolphins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Dolphins are 1-5 (-4.7 Units / -67.63% ROI).
- Dolphins are 2-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.95 Units / -36.42% ROI
- Dolphins are 1-5 when betting the Over for -4.5 Units / -68.18% ROI
- Dolphins are 5-1 when betting the Under for +3.9 Units / 59.09% ROI
Arizona Cardinals: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Dolphins
The Cardinals were winless (0-3) when forcing 2 or more turnovers last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .707.
The Cardinals were 1-6 (.143) when sacking the QB 3 or more times last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .650.
The Cardinals were winless (0-10) when scoring less than 22 points last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .253.
The Cardinals were 1-12 (.077) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .430.
Miami Dolphins: Keys to the Game vs. the Arizona Cardinals
The Dolphins are 9-3 (.750) when possessing the ball longer than their opponent since the 2023 season — 10th-best in NFL. The Cardinals has allowed an average time of possession of 31 min and 2 s since the 2023 season — 5th-highest in NFL.
The Dolphins are winless (0-5) vs top 10 run offenses since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .408.
The Dolphins were 3-1 (.750) when not forcing a turnover last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .265.
The Dolphins are winless (0-5) vs top 10 run offenses since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .408.
Additional Matchup Notes for Arizona Cardinals vs. Miami Dolphins
The Dolphins have been successful on 54.4% of plays they have ran on play action passes since the 2023 season — 5th-best in NFL. The Cardinals have allowed their opponents to be successful on 54.1% of plays on play action passes since the 2023 season — worst in NFL.
Dolphins RBs have averaged 121.9 rushing yards per game since the 2023 season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Cardinals have allowed an average of 142.8 rushing yards per game since the 2023 season — worst in NFL.
Dolphins RBs have averaged 121.9 rushing yards per game since the 2023 season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Cardinals have allowed an average of 142.8 rushing yards per game since the 2023 season — worst in NFL.
The Cardinals have averaged just -0.48 epa per play against a heavy rush since the 2023 season — T-worst in NFL. The Dolphins have allowed just -0.50 epa per play with a heavy rush since the 2023 season — 3rd-best in NFL.
The Cardinals have been successful on 47.1% of plays they have ran against a light rush since the 2023 season — 4th-best in NFL. The Dolphins have allowed their opponents to be successful on 50.0% of plays with a light rush since the 2023 season — T-4th-worst in NFL.
The Cardinals have run successful plays on just 27.5% of pass attempts against a heavy rush since the 2023 season — worst in NFL. The Dolphins have pressured opposing QBs on 47.1% of pass attempts with a heavy rush since the 2023 season — 4th-best in NFL.
Arizona Cardinals Offense: Important Stats
The Cardinals have rushed for 20+ yards 33 times since the 2023 season — T-most in NFL.
The Cardinals went for two on 36% of PATs last season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 10%.
The Cardinals have rushed for 20+ yards 33 times since the 2023 season — T-most in NFL.
The Cardinals had 23 rushes of 20+ yards last season — most in NFL.
Miami Dolphins Offense: Important Stats
The Dolphins scored 8 TDs from their own territory last season — most in NFL.
The Dolphins had 19 TDs that were 20+ yards last season — most in NFL.
The Dolphins are averaging 11.7 drives per TD this season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 4.8.
The Dolphins have turned the ball over on downs 13 times this season — most in NFL.
Arizona Cardinals Defense: Important Stats
19% of the plays ran against the Cardinals were in the red zone last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 14%.
The Cardinals defense has allowed a passer rating of just 0.0 with a stacked front (0 Pass Attempts) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 115.1.
The Cardinals defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 44% on third and 10+ yards to go this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 17%.
The Cardinals defense has allowed successful plays on 65% of pass attempts from their own territory this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
Miami Dolphins Defense: Important Stats
The Dolphins defense have allowed -0.79 epa per play on contested throws this season — best in NFL; League Avg: -0.11.
The Dolphins defense has allowed an average of 8.6 fantasy points per game to QBs this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 15.9.
The Dolphins defense have forced three and outs on 34% of opponent drives this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 21%.
The Dolphins defense has allowed 9 of 12 (75%) TDs on the ground this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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