Chargers vs Raiders Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 13

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 01, 2022, 11:45 AM
  • The Chargers (6-5) are -2 point favorites vs the Raiders (4-7)
  • Total (Over/Under): 50.5 points
  • Watch the game on CBS

The Los Angeles Chargers (6-5) visit Allegiant Stadium to take on the Las Vegas Raiders (4-7) on Dec. 4. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25pm EST in Las Vegas.

The Raiders are betting favorites in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -1 (-105).

The Chargers vs. Raiders Over/Under is 50.5 total points for the game.

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Chargers vs. Raiders Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 13

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Chargers+1 -11550.5 -110-110
Raiders -1 -10550.5 -110-110

Chargers vs. Raiders Prediction for Week 13

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Chargers will win this Week 13 game with 64.0% confidence.

Chargers vs Raiders Spread Prediction for Week 13

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Chargers will cover the spread this Week 13 with 57.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Chargers and Raiders, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best Chargers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Chargers players for Week 13, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Keenan Allen has hit the Receptions Under in his last 8 games (+8.20 Units / 90% ROI)
  • Austin Ekeler has hit the Receptions Over in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.80 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Mike Williams has hit the Receptions Over in his last 5 away games (+5.45 Units / 96% ROI)
  • Gerald Everett has hit the Receptions Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+5.45 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Justin Herbert has hit the Completions Over in 7 of his last 9 away games (+5.05 Units / 53% ROI)

Best Raiders Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Raiders players for Week 13, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Davante Adams has hit the Receptions Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+6.15 Units / 68% ROI)
  • Josh Jacobs has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+4.90 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Derek Carr has hit the Passing Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+4.70 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Derek Carr has hit the Interceptions Under in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+4.55 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Davante Adams has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+3.70 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have covered the 2Q Spread in 14 of their last 16 games (+11.65 Units / 65% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 13 games (+9.90 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.30 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.40 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 2H Game Total Under in their last 7 games (+7.05 Units / 92% ROI)
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have scored last in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.25 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.25 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 games (+5.35 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 18 games (+5.35 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.25 Units / 28% ROI)

Chargers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Chargers have gone 7-4 (+2.55 Units / 20.99% ROI).

  • Chargers are 6-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.95 Units / -10.71% ROI
  • Chargers are 5-5 when betting the Over for -0.5 Units / -4.13% ROI
  • Chargers are 5-5 when betting the Under for -0.5 Units / ROI

Raiders Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Raiders have gone 5-6 (-1.6 Units / -13.28% ROI).

  • Raiders are 4-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.5 Units / -31.98% ROI
  • Raiders are 7-4 when betting the Over for +2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI
  • Raiders are 4-7 when betting the Under for -3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI

Los Angeles Chargers: Keys to the Game vs. the Las Vegas Raiders

The Chargers are 4-0 (1.000) when not throwing an interception this season — tied for best in NFL. The Raiders have intercepted 4 passes this season — tied for third-fewest in NFL.

The Chargers are undefeated (4-0) when not throwing an interception this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .624.

The Chargers are 5-1 (.833) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season — tied for 4th-best in NFL; League Avg: .580.

The Chargers are 3-2 (.600) on the road this season — tied for 9th-best in NFL; League Avg: .438.

Las Vegas Raiders: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Chargers

The Raiders are winless (0-2) when making less than 7 explosive plays this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .389.

The Raiders are winless (0-4) when scoring less than 22 points this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .267.

The Raiders are 2-6 (.250) when not forcing a fumble this season — tied for 7th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .433.

The Raiders are winless (0-2) when allowing 3 or more sacks this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .376.

Additional Matchup Notes for Los Angeles Chargers vs. Las Vegas Raiders

Raiders RBs have averaged 2.3 yards after contact per carry this season — best in NFL. The Chargers have allowed 2.2 yards after contact per carry this season — worst in NFL.

The Raiders have scored on 45% of their drives this season — third-best in NFL. The Chargers defense has allowed scores on 43% of opponent drives this season — fifth-worst in NFL.

The Raiders have run successful plays on 50.0% of rush attempts this season — fourth-best in NFL. Chargers have allowed successful plays on 49.3% of rush attempts this season — third-worst in NFL.

The Chargers ran successful plays on 61.5% of pass attempts on their opponent’s side of the field last week — tied for third-best in NFL. Raiders allowed successful plays on 69.6% of pass attempts on their own side of the field in Week 12 — second-worst in NFL.

Chargers RBs have 58.5 receiving yards per game this season — best in NFL. The Raiders have averaged 53.9 receiving yards per game allowed to RBs this season — worst in NFL.

Chargers RBs have averaged 12.4 targets per game this season — highest in NFL. The Raiders have allowed 6.3 receptions per game to RBs this season — second-worst in NFL.

Los Angeles Chargers Offense: Important Stats for Week 13

The Chargers had a third down conversion rate of 35% on third and 10+ yards to go last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 20%.

The Chargers averaged 121.6 yards from scrimmage per game (2,067 yards / 17 games) in the 4th quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 94.8.

The Chargers targeted RBs 40% of the time (19 Pass Attempts/47 plays) in Week 12 — highest in NFL; League Avg: 19%.

The Chargers have targeted RBs 28% of the time (128 Pass Attempts/465 plays) this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 18%.

Las Vegas Raiders Offense: Important Stats for Week 13

The Raiders have 8 TDs that were 20+ yards since Week 9 — most in NFL.

The Raiders have converted first downs on just 51 of 105 plays (49%) on 3rd and short since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 61%.

The Raiders converted first downs on just 36 of 73 plays (49%) on 3rd and short last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 62%.

The Raiders have averaged 42.5 offensive penalty yards per game (170/4) since Week 9 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 19.6.

Los Angeles Chargers Defense: Important Stats for Week 13

The Chargers defense has allowed an average of 2.2 yards after contact per carry (298 carries) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 1.6.

The Chargers defense has allowed an average of 2.2 yards after contact per carry (797 carries) since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 1.8.

The Chargers defense has allowed scores on 48% of opponent drives in the 1st quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 29%.

The Chargers defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 49% last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

Las Vegas Raiders Defense: Important Stats for Week 13

The Raiders defense has allowed 8 TD passes when the opposing QB has scrambled since the 2021 season — most in NFL.

The Raiders defense intercepted 6 of 606 attempts (101.0 pass attempts per int.) last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42.6.

The Raiders defense has intercepted 10 of 983 attempts (98.3 pass attempts per int.) since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 44.1.

The Raiders defense has allowed 4.8 TDs per interception (48 TDs allowed, and 10 INT) since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 1.9.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.