- The Chargers are -4.5 point favorites vs the Raiders
- Total (Over/Under): 41 points
- Watch this game on CBS
The Los Angeles Chargers (10-6-0) visit Allegiant Stadium to take on the Las Vegas Raiders (4-12-0) on Jan. 5. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25pm EST in Paradise, NV.
The Chargers are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).
The Chargers vs. Raiders Over/Under is 41 total points for the game.
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Chargers vs. Raiders Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Chargers | -4.5 -110 | 41 -110 | -225 |
| Raiders | +4.5 -110 | 41 -110 | +180 |
Chargers vs. Raiders Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Chargers will win this game with 64.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Chargers vs Raiders Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Chargers will cover the spread with 61.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Chargers players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Chargers Player Prop Bets Today
- Justin Herbert has hit the Interceptions Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.15 Units / 50% ROI)
- Gus Edwards has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.75 Units / 45% ROI)
- Josh Palmer has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.50 Units / 43% ROI)
- Justin Herbert has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 90% ROI)
- Gus Edwards has hit the Carries Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.45 Units / 37% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Raiders players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Raiders Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Jakobi Meyers has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.35 Units / 36% ROI)
- Gardner Minshew has hit the Carries Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 65% ROI)
- Alexander Mattison has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.55 Units / 40% ROI)
- Michael Mayer has hit the Receptions Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+5.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- Alexander Mattison has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.70 Units / 45% ROI)
Chargers Best Bets:
- The Los Angeles Chargers have covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 20 games (+6.25 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 17 games (+5.55 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.30 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have covered the 3Q Spread in 11 of their last 17 games (+5.25 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.80 Units / 48% ROI)
Raiders Best Bets:
- The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.75 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.95 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 games (+3.75 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+3.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Las Vegas Raiders have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 20 games (+2.80 Units / 12% ROI)
Chargers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Chargers art 11-4 (+6.6 Units / 37.5% ROI).
- Chargers are 10-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.15 Units / 11.43% ROI
- Chargers are 7-9 when betting the Over for -2.9 Units / -16.48% ROI
- Chargers are 9-7 when betting the Under for +1.3 Units / ROI
Raiders Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Raiders are 7-8 (-1.95 Units / -10.96% ROI).
- Raiders are 4-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.6 Units / -36.46% ROI
- Raiders are 8-8 when betting the Over for -0.8 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Raiders are 8-8 when betting the Under for -0.8 Units / -4.55% ROI
Los Angeles Chargers: Keys to the Game vs. the Las Vegas Raiders
The Chargers are 1-9 (.100) when within 3 points at the two minute warning since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Chargers were winless (0-9) when converting less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .464.
The Chargers were 3-8 (.273) when within 7 points at the two minute warning last season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Chargers were winless (0-11) when trailing at the end of the third quarter last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .148.
Las Vegas Raiders: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Chargers
The Raiders are 2-5 (.286) when sacking the QB 3 or more times this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .668.
The Raiders are winless (0-8) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .250.
The Raiders were 1-6 (.143) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards last season — 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .324.
The Raiders are winless (0-7) when allowing 250 or more passing yards this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .421.
Additional Matchup Notes for Los Angeles Chargers vs. Las Vegas Raiders
The Raiders have been successful on just 37.9% of plays they have run with motion this season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Chargers have allowed their opponents to be successful on just 41.3% of plays against motion this season — 4th-best in NFL.
The Raiders have run successful plays on just 39.5% of pass attempts against a stacked front since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst in NFL. The Chargers have allowed successful plays on just 31.6% of pass attempts with a stacked front since the 2023 season — best in NFL.
The Raiders have scored 27 TDs this season — fewest in NFL. The Chargers have allowed 29 TDs this season — fewest in NFL.
The Chargers have gone three and out on 24% of their drives in the fourth quarter this season — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Raiders have forced three and outs on 24.1% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter this season — 2nd-best in NFL.
The Chargers have turned the ball over 8 times this season — fewest in NFL. The Raiders have forced 13 turnovers this season — T-4th-fewest in NFL.
The Chargers are averaging 6.5 yards per carry on 3rd and short this season — best in NFL. The Raiders have allowed 5.4 yards per carry when defending on 3rd and short this season — 4th-worst in NFL.
Los Angeles Chargers Offense: Important Stats
The Chargers have averaged just 17.1 offensive penalty yards per game (274/16) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 25.5.
The Chargers started 21 drives inside their own 10 yard line last season — T-2nd-most in NFL.
The Chargers have started 24 drives inside their own 10 yard line this season — most in NFL.
The Chargers have been flagged 5 times on offense in the red zone since the 2023 season — fewest in NFL.
Las Vegas Raiders Offense: Important Stats
The Raiders have run successful plays on 20% of rush attempts against a light front since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.
The Raiders are averaging 15.3 drives per TD in the 3rd quarter since the 2023 season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.4.
The Raiders have run successful plays on 20% of rush attempts against a light front this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Raiders averaged -0.75 epa per play against tight coverage last season — T-2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.52.
Los Angeles Chargers Defense: Important Stats
The Chargers defense allowed 0.64 epa per play with a light rush last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.04.
The Chargers defense allowed successful plays on 10% of plays on motion plays in Week 17 — best in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
The Chargers defense allowed successful plays on 75% of pass attempts with a heavy rush last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.
The Chargers defense allowed successful plays on 23% of pass attempts with a stacked front last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 50%.
Las Vegas Raiders Defense: Important Stats
The Raiders defense have allowed just 3.3 yards per play on contested throws this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 5.4.
Offenses facing the Raiders targeted WRs 33% of the time (12 Pass Attempts/36 plays) in Week 17 — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 61%.
Only 4% of the plays run against the Raiders have been in the red zone since Week 14 — best in NFL; League Avg: 14%.
The Raiders defense has allowed successful plays on 44% of pass attempts open coverage since Week 14 — best in NFL; League Avg: 63%.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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