- The Steelers are -1.5 point favorites vs the Chargers
- Total (Over/Under): 35.5 points
- Watch this game on CBS
The Los Angeles Chargers (2-0-0) visit Acrisure Stadium to take on the Pittsburgh Steelers (2-0-0) on Sep. 22. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Pittsburgh, PA.
The Steelers are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).
The Chargers vs. Steelers Over/Under is 35.5 total points for the game.
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Chargers vs. Steelers Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Chargers | +1.5 -110 | 35.5 -110 | +105 |
| Steelers | -1.5 -110 | 35.5 -110 | -125 |
Chargers vs. Steelers Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Steelers will win this game with 55.3% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Chargers vs Steelers Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Steelers will cover the spread with 65.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Chargers players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Chargers Player Prop Bets Today
- D.J. Chark has hit the Longest Reception Over in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.85 Units / 72% ROI)
- Hayden Hurst has hit the Receptions Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.80 Units / 47% ROI)
- Hayden Hurst has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.60 Units / 42% ROI)
- Josh Palmer has hit the Longest Reception Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 58% ROI)
- Justin Herbert has hit the Passing Yards Under in 9 of his last 13 games (+4.15 Units / 26% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Steelers players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Steelers Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Jaylen Warren has hit the Receptions Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+8.15 Units / 37% ROI)
- Justin Fields has hit the TD Passes Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+6.05 Units / 30% ROI)
- Russell Wilson has hit the Interceptions Under in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 66% ROI)
- George Pickens has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+5.80 Units / 25% ROI)
- Najee Harris has hit the Carries Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+5.65 Units / 26% ROI)
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Steelers vs Chargers
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| George Pickens (PIT) | 47.5 -115 | 47.5 -115 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Steelers vs Chargers
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Najee Harris (PIT) | 53.5 -110 | 53.5 -120 |
Chargers Best Bets:
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.90 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.95 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.75 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+3.45 Units / 61% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 away games (+3.25 Units / 29% ROI)
Steelers Best Bets:
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have covered the 2H Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.40 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have scored last in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.95 Units / 62% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have covered the 4Q Spread in 13 of their last 19 games (+5.70 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+5.10 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have scored first in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 29% ROI)
Chargers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Chargers art 2-0 (+2 Units / 95.24% ROI).
- Chargers are 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 53.33% ROI
- Chargers are 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
- Chargers are 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / ROI
Steelers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Steelers are 2-0 (+2 Units / 88.89% ROI).
- Steelers are 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.65 Units / 106% ROI
- Steelers are 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
- Steelers are 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
Los Angeles Chargers: Keys to the Game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers
The Chargers were winless (0-9) when converting less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .464.
The Chargers were 1-4 (.200) vs top 10 run offenses last season — T-4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .424.
The Chargers were 1-4 (.200) when playing in cold weather last season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Chargers are 1-4 (.200) when playing in cold weather since the 2022 season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
Pittsburgh Steelers: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Chargers
The Steelers are 8-2 (.800) when possessing the ball longer than their opponent since the 2023 season — T-6th-best in NFL. The Chargers has allowed an average time of possession of 31 min and 19 s since the 2023 season — 4th-highest in NFL.
The Steelers are undefeated (4-0) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .575.
The Steelers were undefeated (4-0) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .573.
The Steelers are undefeated (3-0) when passing for more than 250 yards since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .582.
Additional Matchup Notes for Los Angeles Chargers vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
The Steelers have been successful on just 33.1% of plays they have ran this season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Chargers have allowed their opponents to be successful on just 29.5% of plays this season — best in NFL.
The Steelers went three and out on 45.5% of their drives last week — T-3rd-worst in NFL. The Chargers forced three and outs on 54.5% of opponent drives last week — T-best in NFL.
Steelers RBs have averaged 2.4 yards after contact per carry since the 2023 season — T-best in NFL. The Chargers have allowed 2.0 yards after contact per carry since the 2023 season — T-3rd-worst in NFL.
The Chargers have been successful on just 35.6% of plays they have ran against a stacked front since the 2023 season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Steelers have allowed their opponents to be successful on just 36.5% of plays with a stacked front since the 2023 season — 2nd-best in NFL.
Los Angeles Chargers Offense: Important Stats
The Chargers have run successful plays on 29% of pass attempts against a stacked front since the 2022 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 50%.
The Chargers ran successful plays on 29% of pass attempts against a stacked front last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 50%.
The Chargers started 16 drives inside their own 20 yard line in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — T-most in NFL.
The Chargers started 21 drives inside their own 10 yard line last season — T-2nd-most in NFL.
Pittsburgh Steelers Offense: Important Stats
The Steelers have run successful plays on 8% of plays against a light front this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 37%.
The Steelers ran successful plays on 0% of plays in the 4th quarter in Week 2 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 38%.
The Steelers ran successful plays on 12% of plays in the 2nd half in Week 2 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 40%.
The Steelers started 21 drives inside their own 10 yard line last season — T-2nd-most in NFL.
Los Angeles Chargers Defense: Important Stats
The Chargers defense allowed successful plays on 12% of pass attempts in Week 2 — best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Chargers defense allowed successful plays on 14% of plays open coverage in Week 2 — best in NFL; League Avg: 59%.
The Chargers defense have allowed -0.87 epa per play with a light front this season — best in NFL; League Avg: -0.07.
The Chargers defense allowed successful plays on 12% of pass attempts with a base rush in Week 2 — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
Pittsburgh Steelers Defense: Important Stats
The Steelers defense has allowed a passer rating of just 51.0 in the red zone (80 Pass Attempts) since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 92.5.
The Steelers defense have allowed -0.41 epa per play with a base front this season — best in NFL; League Avg: -0.02.
The Steelers defense allowed a passer rating of just 51.0 in the red zone (71 Pass Attempts) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 93.0.
The Steelers defense has forced 9 turnovers in the red zone since the 2022 season — most in NFL.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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