- Based on preseason odds, the Chicago Bears are -110 to make the postseason in 2024-25.
- Chicago posted their second under-.500 season in 2023, drafted Caleb Williams first overall.
- Will a revamped offense see the Bears reach the postseason?
Based on NFL odds and Bears playoff odds, the Chicago Bears are a coin flip to make the postseason this year.
Chicago, who made a number of additions offensively this offseason, are -110 each way to make or miss the playoffs.
That’s an implied probability of 52.4% for Chicago to represent the NFC in the postseason.
Prediction: Will the Chicago Bears Make the Playoffs?
As evidenced by the odds, this prediction is quite difficult to make.
Chicago gets a very easy schedule next year — third easiest based on opponent win totals — and faces a number of easy pass defenses.
Of their 17 games, only four come against teams 15th or better in pass defense DVOA last year.
In theory, that should allow this offense to flourish. However, loads of unfamiliar faces could lead to growing pains.
Add in an unproven pass rush, and I wouldn’t be surprised if the Bears miss the playoffs.
Chicago Bears Week-by-Week Playoff Chances
| Week Number | Odds to Make Playoffs | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Preseason | -110 | 52.4% |
| Week 2 | -120 | 54.5% |
| Week 3 | +140 | 41.7% |
| Week 4 | +260 | 27.8% |
| Week 5 | +280 | 26.3% |
| Week 6 | +200 | 33.3% |
| Week 7 | +165 | 37.7% |
| Week 8 | +165 | 37.7% |
| Week 9 | +275 | 26.7% |
| Week 10 | +450 | 18.2% |
| Week 11 | +1400 | 6.67% |
| Week 12 | +3000 | 3.23% |
| Week 13 | +3000 | 3.23% |
| Week 14 | +15000 | 0.66% |
| Week 15 | +50000 | 0.20% |
NFC North Odds to Make the Playoffs, Preseason
| Team | Odds to Make Playoffs | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Detroit Lions | -275 | 73.3% |
| Green Bay Packers | -185 | 64.9% |
| Chicago Bears | -110 | 52.4% |
| Minnesota Vikings | +240 | 29.4% |
When Was the Last Time the Chicago Bears Won the Super Bowl?
The Bears haven’t won a Super Bowl since the 1986 season.
That remains the only Super Bowl win for Chicago, who last appeared in a Super Bowl in 2007.
Chicago Bears Week-by-Week Super Bowl Odds
| Week Number | Odds to Win Super Bowl | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Preseason | +3000 | 3.23% |
| Week 2 | +3500 | 2.78% |
| Week 3 | +5000 | 1.96% |
| Week 4 | +8000 | 1.23% |
| Week 5 | +6600 | 1.49% |
| Week 6 | +5000 | 1.96% |
| Week 7 | +4000 | 2.44% |
| Week 8 | +4000 | 2.44% |
| Week 9 | +5000 | 1.96% |
| Week 10 | +10000 | 0.99% |
| Week 11 | +25000 | 0.40% |
| Week 12 | +75000 | 0.13% |
| Week 13 | +100000 | 0.01% |
| Week 14 | +100000 | 0.01% |
| Week 15 | +100000 | 0.01% |
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