- The Broncos are -4 point favorites vs the Colts
- Total (Over/Under): 44.5 points
- Watch this game on CBS
The Indianapolis Colts (6-7-0) visit Empower Field at Mile High to take on the Denver Broncos (8-5-0) on Dec. 15. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25pm EST in Denver, CO.
The Broncos are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -4 (-110).
The Colts vs. Broncos Over/Under is 44.5 total points for the game.
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Colts vs. Broncos Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Colts | +4 -110 | 44.5 -110 | +165 |
| Broncos | -4 -110 | 44.5 -110 | -200 |
Colts vs. Broncos Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Broncos will win this game with 76.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Colts vs Broncos Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Colts will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Colts players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Colts Player Prop Bets Today
- Kylen Granson has hit the Receptions Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+9.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- Jonathan Taylor has hit the Receptions Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+7.50 Units / 47% ROI)
- Michael Pittman has hit the Receptions Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.85 Units / 38% ROI)
- Matt Gay has hit the Field Goals Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+6.80 Units / 34% ROI)
- Adonai Mitchell has hit the Receptions Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.75 Units / 66% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Broncos players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Broncos Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Bo Nix has hit the Passing Yards Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.65 Units / 54% ROI)
- Javonte Williams has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.30 Units / 31% ROI)
- Bo Nix has hit the Interceptions Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+5.45 Units / 44% ROI)
- Javonte Williams has hit the Receptions Over in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+4.90 Units / 56% ROI)
- Bo Nix has hit the Completions Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+4.30 Units / 28% ROI)
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Broncos vs Colts
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Taylor (IND) | 7.5 -120 | 7.5 -110 |
| Courtland Sutton (DEN) | 69.5 -115 | 69.5 -115 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Broncos vs Colts
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Taylor (IND) | 75.5 -115 | 75.5 -115 |
Colts Best Bets:
- The Indianapolis Colts have covered the 1Q Spread in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.55 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 20 games (+5.15 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 20 games (+3.85 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 away games (+3.35 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 17 games (+1.90 Units / 9% ROI)
Broncos Best Bets:
- The Denver Broncos have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.90 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games (+7.80 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have covered the Spread in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.55 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+5.70 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.30 Units / 24% ROI)
Colts Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Colts art 8-5 (+2.5 Units / 17.67% ROI).
- Colts are 6-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.25 Units / -1.72% ROI
- Colts are 6-7 when betting the Over for -1.7 Units / -11.89% ROI
- Colts are 7-6 when betting the Under for +0.4 Units / ROI
Broncos Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Broncos are 10-3 (+6.75 Units / 47.2% ROI).
- Broncos are 8-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.35 Units / 27.08% ROI
- Broncos are 8-5 when betting the Over for +2.5 Units / 17.48% ROI
- Broncos are 5-8 when betting the Under for -3.8 Units / -26.57% ROI
Indianapolis Colts: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Broncos
The Colts were undefeated (8-0) when leading at the end of the first half last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .783.
The Colts were winless (0-7) when trailing at the end of the third quarter last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .148.
The Colts were undefeated (8-0) when allowing less than 22 points last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .747.
The Colts were 5-1 (.833) when the opposing team converts less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .536.
Denver Broncos: Keys to the Game vs. the Indianapolis Colts
The Broncos are 10-3 (.769) when possessing the ball longer than their opponent since the 2023 season — 7th-best in NFL. The Colts has allowed an average time of possession of 32 min and 31 s since the 2023 season — highest in NFL.
The Broncos are 5-1 (.833) when possessing the ball longer than their opponent this season — T-7th-best in NFL. The Colts has allowed an average time of possession of 33 min and 51 s this season — 2nd-highest in NFL.
The Broncos are undefeated (4-0) when passing for more than 250 yards this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .575.
The Broncos were winless (0-6) when committing 2 or more turnovers last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .293.
Additional Matchup Notes for Indianapolis Colts vs. Denver Broncos
The Broncos have run successful plays on just 39.0% of pass attempts with motion this season — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Colts have pressured opposing QBs on 29.9% of pass attempts against motion this season — 2nd-best in NFL.
The Broncos are 10-3 (.769) when possessing the ball longer than their opponent since the 2023 season — 7th-best in NFL. The Colts has allowed an average time of possession of 32 min and 31 s since the 2023 season — highest in NFL.
The Broncos are 5-1 (.833) when possessing the ball longer than their opponent this season — T-7th-best in NFL. The Colts has allowed an average time of possession of 33 min and 51 s this season — 2nd-highest in NFL.
The Colts have run successful plays on just 40.7% of pass attempts against a base rush this season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Broncos have allowed successful plays on just 41.6% of pass attempts with a base rush this season — 5th-best in NFL.
The Colts have run successful plays on just 37.5% of rush attempts against a base front this season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Broncos have allowed successful plays on just 35.9% of rush attempts with a base front this season — best in NFL.
The Colts have been successful on just 37.8% of plays they have run this season — T-3rd-worst in NFL. The Broncos have allowed their opponents to be successful on just 37.0% of plays this season — T-best in NFL.
Indianapolis Colts Offense: Important Stats
The Colts turned the ball over on downs 6 times in the red zone last season — most in NFL.
The Colts have thrown 58% of their pass attempts 1 to 10 yards downfield this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 70%.
The Colts have run successful plays on 21% of pass attempts on passes when their QB has been pressured this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 32%.
The Colts have run successful plays on 29% of rush attempts against a stacked front this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
Denver Broncos Offense: Important Stats
The Broncos targeted RBs 29% of the time (150 Pass Attempts/513 plays) last season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 17%.
The Broncos have started 4 drives inside their own 10 yard line in the 2nd half since Week 11 — most in NFL.
The Broncos have run 34% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 3rd quarter since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
The Broncos have run successful plays on 25% of pass attempts on passes when their QB has been pressured this season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 32%.
Indianapolis Colts Defense: Important Stats
The Colts defense allowed successful plays on 88% of pass attempts with a stacked front last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 50%.
The Colts defense has forced 6 turnovers in the red zone this season — most in NFL.
The Colts defense has not allowed a TD on first drive of the game this season — fewest in NFL.
The Colts defense has allowed successful plays on 77% of pass attempts with a stacked front since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 50%.
Denver Broncos Defense: Important Stats
The Broncos defense has allowed successful plays on 22% of rush attempts in the 4th quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 41%.
The Broncos defense allowed a passer rating of 135.6 against play action passes (123 Pass Attempts) last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 101.1.
The Broncos defense has allowed successful plays on 29% of plays with a light front this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 40%.
The Broncos defense has allowed a passer rating of just 62.6 with a light front (90 Pass Attempts) this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 87.2.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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