- The Commanders are -3.5 point favorites vs the Giants
- Total (Over/Under): 43.5 points
- Watch this game on FOX
The Washington Commanders (6-2-0) visit MetLife Stadium to take on the New York Giants (2-6-0) on Nov. 3. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in East Rutherford, NJ.
The Commanders are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -4 (-110).
The Commanders vs. Giants Over/Under is 44.5 total points for the game.
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Commanders vs. Giants Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Commanders | -4 -110 | 44.5 -110 | -210 |
| Giants | +4 -110 | 44.5 -110 | +170 |
Commanders vs. Giants Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Commanders will win this game with 60.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Commanders vs Giants Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Commanders will cover the spread with 60.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Commanders players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Commanders Player Prop Bets Today
- Austin Ekeler has hit the Longest Rush Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Austin Seibert has hit the Field Goals Over in his last 5 games (+5.15 Units / 94% ROI)
- Brian Robinson has hit the Longest Rush Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Jayden Daniels has hit the Passing Yards Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 59% ROI)
- Noah Brown has hit the Receptions Over in 5 of his last 6 away games (+4.70 Units / 71% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Giants players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Darius Slayton has hit the Receptions Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+10.80 Units / 67% ROI)
- Darius Slayton has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.30 Units / 39% ROI)
- Wan’Dale Robinson has hit the Receptions Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+7.00 Units / 34% ROI)
- Devin Singletary has hit the Longest Rush Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.75 Units / 54% ROI)
- Tommy DeVito has hit the Interceptions Under in his last 5 games (+6.00 Units / 120% ROI)
First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Giants vs Commanders
| Player Name | 1st TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Brian Robinson Jr (Was) | +650 |
| Terry McLaurin (Was) | +650 |
| Tyrone Tracy Jr. (NYG) | +750 |
| Malik Nabers (NYG) | +750 |
| Jayden Daniels (WAS) | +800 |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Giants vs Commanders
| Player Name | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Brian Robinson Jr (Was) | +110 |
| Malik Nabers (NYG) | +115 |
| Tyrone Tracy Jr. (NYG) | +125 |
| Devin Singletary (NYG) | +130 |
| Terry McLaurin (Was) | +135 |
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Giants vs Commanders
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Malik Nabers (NYG) | 67.5 -130 | 67.5 -105 |
| Terry McLaurin (WAS) | 62.5 -115 | 62.5 -115 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Giants vs Commanders
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Daniel Jones (NYG) | 26.5 -115 | 26.5 -115 |
Commanders Best Bets:
- The Washington Commanders have covered the 3Q Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.80 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 20 games (+5.15 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.90 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.70 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.70 Units / 45% ROI)
Giants Best Bets:
- The New York Giants have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 16 games (+6.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- The New York Giants have scored last in 6 of their last 8 games (+5.65 Units / 71% ROI)
- The New York Giants have hit the 2H Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+5.25 Units / 75% ROI)
- The New York Giants have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.95 Units / 44% ROI)
- The New York Giants have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+2.80 Units / 28% ROI)
Commanders Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Commanders art 6-1 (+4.9 Units / 54.44% ROI).
- Commanders are 6-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.35 Units / 48.11% ROI
- Commanders are 5-3 when betting the Over for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI
- Commanders are 3-5 when betting the Under for -2.5 Units / ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Giants are 3-5 (-2.4 Units / -27.59% ROI).
- Giants are 2-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.1 Units / -13.58% ROI
- Giants are 2-6 when betting the Over for -4.65 Units / -52.54% ROI
- Giants are 6-2 when betting the Under for +3.8 Units / 43.43% ROI
Washington Commanders: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Giants
The Commanders were 2-12 (.143) when committing 1 or more turnovers last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .406.
The Commanders were winless (0-8) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .426.
The Commanders were 2-6 (.250) when within 7 points at the two minute warning last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Commanders were 2-8 (.200) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
New York Giants: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Commanders
The Giants were 3-6 (.333) when forcing 2 or more turnovers last season — T-2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .707.
The Giants were 1-5 (.167) when allowing 250 or more passing yards last season — T-3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .414.
The Giants are winless (0-4) at home this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .496.
The Giants are 2-6 (.250) this season — T-3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
Additional Matchup Notes for Washington Commanders vs. New York Giants
The Giants have run successful plays on just 35.7% of rush attempts against a base rush this season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Commanders have allowed successful plays on just 35.0% of rush attempts with a base rush this season — 2nd-best in NFL.
The Giants have been successful on just 32.9% of plays they have ran against a light front since the 2023 season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Commanders have allowed their opponents to be successful on just 35.8% of plays with a light front since the 2023 season — 5th-best in NFL.
The Giants have run successful plays on just 31.4% of pass attempts against a stacked front since the 2023 season — worst in NFL. The Commanders have allowed successful plays on just 35.9% of pass attempts with a stacked front since the 2023 season — 2nd-best in NFL.
The Commanders have run successful plays on 53.1% of pass attempts against a base front this season — 5th-best in NFL. The Giants have allowed successful plays on 55.1% of pass attempts with a base front this season — 2nd-worst in NFL.
The Commanders are averaging 5.2 yards per carry this season — 5th-best in NFL. The Giants have allowed 5.7 yards per carry this season — worst in NFL.
The Commanders have rushed the ball on 49.1% of plays from scrimmage this season — T-4th-highest in NFL. The Giants have allowed 5.7 yards per carry this season — worst in NFL.
Washington Commanders Offense: Important Stats
The Commanders started 5 drives inside their own 10 yard line in Week 8 — most in NFL.
The Commanders have scored on 62% of their drives in the 2nd half this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 36%.
The Commanders ran successful plays on 36% of plays on play action passes last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 48%.
The Commanders threw the ball 57% of the time (267 Pass Attempts/465 plays) on 1st down last season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 45%.
New York Giants Offense: Important Stats
Giants QBs were sacked 85 times last season — most in NFL.
The Giants have committed 4 turnovers in the red zone this season — 2nd-most in NFL.
The Giants ran successful plays on 26% of pass attempts against a stacked front last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 50%.
The Giants are averaging 8.7 drives per TD this season — T-worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 4.7.
Washington Commanders Defense: Important Stats
The Commanders defense allowed scores on 51% of opponent drives in the 1st quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 29%.
The Commanders defense allowed 39 TD passes last season — most in NFL.
The Commanders defense allowed 0.12 epa per play with a base front last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.03.
The Commanders defense allowed 4.9 touchdowns per interception (39 TDs allowed, and 8 INT) last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 1.8.
New York Giants Defense: Important Stats
The Giants defense has sacked opponents 35 times this season — most in NFL.
The Giants defense has sacked opposing QBs on 13% of pass attempts (35/263) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 7%.
The Giants defense has allowed rushes of 10+ yards on 106 of 664 carries (16%) since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 12%.
The Giants defense has allowed a passer rating of 136.6 when blitzing (54 Pass Attempts) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 92.0.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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