- The Commanders are a 2.5-point home favorite against the Steelers.
- The Steelers have won four straight as road underdogs against NFC opponents.
- My Commanders vs. Steelers prediction is for Pittsburgh to cover the spread.
Jayden Daniels will go for a sixth straight cover as market favorites in Week 10 against the Steelers.
The Commanders extended its winning streak to three games with a Week 9 win over the New York Giants. It’s also the seventh straight cover for Dan Quinn’s side.
The Steelers had a bye week in Week 9 after three straight victories. Since switching to Russell Wilson, the Steelers are 2-0 SU and ATS and are averaging 31.5 points per game.
Bet on Commanders vs. Steelers and other NFL matchups with up-to-date NFL odds.
NFL Week 10 Odds: Commanders vs. Steelers
Nov 21 - 8 pm ESTSteelers at Browns
Commanders vs. Steelers Prediction
Based on Mike Tomlin’s strong record as an underdog and Washington’s cover streak, my Commanders vs. Steelers prediction is the Steelers Spread (+2.5, -110).
Finally….a chance to sell the Commanders.
As referenced earlier, Washington has covered seven consecutive games and is a perfect 5-0 ATS as market favorites this season.
But this is easily the best defense Washington will have faced all season. In fact, Pittsburgh is the only top-five defense they’ll have played based on PFF’s defensive grades.
There’s another matchup problem for Washington: their pass-blocking capabilities against a strong front seven for Pittsburgh.
In Week 5-8, Washington posted three pass-blocking grades south of 65, per PFF (the only success came against Carolina).
In Weeks 1-4, that only happened once. In Week 10, Washington’s line faces a Steelers defense with the best pressure grade in the NFL.
As for Tomlin, he’s excelled both as an underdog and against rookie quarterbacks.
For his career, Tomlin is 66% ATS as a market underdog, including 16-9 ATS against the NFC and 5-2 ATS against the NFC over the last three seasons.
As for the latter trend, Tomlin is 31-6 SU against rookie quarterbacks for his career.
That makes this the perfect sell-high spot on Washington, which survived a pair of two-point attempts against New York that could have easily flipped the result.
Pair that with a miracle win against the Bears in Week 8, and I’ll grab the Steelers as long as they remain market dogs.
Commanders vs. Steelers: NFL Public Betting Trends
Check back on Friday for Commanders vs. Steelers public betting data and insights.
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