- The Commanders are a 2.5-point home favorite against the Steelers.
- The Steelers have won four straight as road underdogs against NFC opponents.
- My Commanders vs. Steelers prediction is for Pittsburgh to cover the spread.
Jayden Daniels will go for a sixth straight cover as market favorites in Week 10 against the Steelers.
The Commanders extended its winning streak to three games with a Week 9 win over the New York Giants. It’s also the seventh straight cover for Dan Quinn’s side.
The Steelers had a bye week in Week 9 after three straight victories. Since switching to Russell Wilson, the Steelers are 2-0 SU and ATS and are averaging 31.5 points per game.
Bet on Commanders vs. Steelers and other NFL matchups with up-to-date NFL odds.
NFL Week 10 Odds: Commanders vs. Steelers
Commanders vs. Steelers Prediction
Based on Mike Tomlin’s strong record as an underdog and Washington’s cover streak, my Commanders vs. Steelers prediction is the Steelers Spread (+2.5, -110).
Finally….a chance to sell the Commanders.
As referenced earlier, Washington has covered seven consecutive games and is a perfect 5-0 ATS as market favorites this season.
But this is easily the best defense Washington will have faced all season. In fact, Pittsburgh is the only top-five defense they’ll have played based on PFF’s defensive grades.
There’s another matchup problem for Washington: their pass-blocking capabilities against a strong front seven for Pittsburgh.
In Week 5-8, Washington posted three pass-blocking grades south of 65, per PFF (the only success came against Carolina).
In Weeks 1-4, that only happened once. In Week 10, Washington’s line faces a Steelers defense with the best pressure grade in the NFL.
As for Tomlin, he’s excelled both as an underdog and against rookie quarterbacks.
For his career, Tomlin is 66% ATS as a market underdog, including 16-9 ATS against the NFC and 5-2 ATS against the NFC over the last three seasons.
As for the latter trend, Tomlin is 31-6 SU against rookie quarterbacks for his career.
That makes this the perfect sell-high spot on Washington, which survived a pair of two-point attempts against New York that could have easily flipped the result.
Pair that with a miracle win against the Bears in Week 8, and I’ll grab the Steelers as long as they remain market dogs.
Commanders vs. Steelers: NFL Public Betting Trends
Check back on Friday for Commanders vs. Steelers public betting data and insights.
Related Articles
NFL Same Game Parlays
Parlays are a great way to take your NFL betting to the next level. And at BetMGM, you can build parlays with a single game.
Same Game Parlays allow bettors to add multiple bets within the same game to increase the excitement and potential payout. You can also combine Same Game Game Parlays with Same Game Parlay Plus (SGP+)
Check out updated NFL odds today to start building parlays!
Sign in to your account today — or, if you don’t have an account, sign up today with a sportsbook welcome offer — to start betting. And always check your new account for updated sportsbook promos and bonuses.
