Eagles vs Rams Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 12

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Los Angeles Rams quarterback Matthew Stafford drops back to pass during an NFL football game against the Seattle Seahawks, Sunday, Sept. 10, 2023, in Seattle. The Rams won 30-13.

(Stephen Brashear/AP Photo)

BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 20, 2024, 12:11 PM

The Eagles are -3 point favorites vs the Rams
Total (Over/Under): 49 points
Watch this game on NBC | UNIV | TELX

The Philadelphia Eagles (8-2-0) visit SoFi Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Rams (5-5-0) on Nov. 24. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:20pm EST in Inglewood, CA.

The Eagles are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -3 (-105).

The Eagles vs. Rams Over/Under is 49 total points for the game.

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Eagles vs. Rams Odds, Spread, Over/Under

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Eagles	-3 -105	49 -110	-155
Rams	+3 -115	49 -110	+125

Eagles vs. Rams Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Eagles will win this game with 61.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Eagles vs Rams Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Eagles will cover the spread with 58.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Eagles players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Eagles Player Prop Bets Today

Jahan Dotson has hit the Receptions Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.20 Units / 50% ROI)
DeVonta Smith has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.35 Units / 32% ROI)
Jalen Hurts has hit the TD Passes Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+6.10 Units / 35% ROI)
Saquon Barkley has hit the Receptions Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.00 Units / 23% ROI)
Jalen Hurts has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 12 of his last 18 games (+4.80 Units / 22% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Rams players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rams Player Prop Best Bets Today

Matthew Stafford has hit the Completions Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.70 Units / 42% ROI)
Matthew Stafford has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.65 Units / 43% ROI)
Kyren Williams has hit the Carries Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.50 Units / 42% ROI)
Matthew Stafford has hit the Passing Yards Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.30 Units / 39% ROI)
Tyler Higbee has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 89% ROI)

Eagles Best Bets:

The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 10 away games (+7.95 Units / 68% ROI)
The Philadelphia Eagles have covered the 3Q Spread in 8 of their last 10 away games (+6.30 Units / 52% ROI)
The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 away games (+5.75 Units / 42% ROI)
The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 19 games (+2.50 Units / 8% ROI)
The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 2H Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 away games (+2.26 Units / 16% ROI)

Rams Best Bets:

The Los Angeles Rams have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games (+9.75 Units / 32% ROI)
The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.55 Units / 42% ROI)
The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+7.68 Units / 67% ROI)
The Los Angeles Rams have covered the 2Q Spread in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.85 Units / 65% ROI)
The Los Angeles Rams have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.35 Units / 24% ROI)

Eagles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Eagles art 6-4 (+1.65 Units / 14.8% ROI).

Eagles are 8-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.8 Units / 22.43% ROI
Eagles are 4-6 when betting the Over for -2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI
Eagles are 6-4 when betting the Under for +1.6 Units / ROI

Rams Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Rams are 4-6 (-2.55 Units / -23.29% ROI).

Rams are 5-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.05 Units / 7.39% ROI
Rams are 5-5 when betting the Over for -0.55 Units / -4.98% ROI
Rams are 5-5 when betting the Under for -0.5 Units / -4.57% ROI

Philadelphia Eagles: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Rams

The Eagles are undefeated (3-0) when forcing at least one fumble this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .591.

The Eagles are 8-1 (.889) when forcing at least one fumble since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .607.

The Eagles are 16-3 (.842) when allowing less than 3 explosive runs since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .563.

The Eagles are 7-1 (.875) when tied at the end of quarter 1 since the 2023 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .500.

Los Angeles Rams: Keys to the Game vs. the Philadelphia Eagles

The Rams are 1-6 (.143) when allowing more than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season — 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .423.

The Rams were 9-6 (.600) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team last season — T-9th-best in NFL; League Avg: .500.

The Rams are 4-1 (.800) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season — T-7th-best in NFL; League Avg: .598.

The Rams are 2-4 (.333) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties this season — T-8th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .496.

Additional Matchup Notes for Philadelphia Eagles vs. Los Angeles Rams

Rams WRs have 418 receptions in 27 games (15.5 per game) since the 2023 season — best in NFL. The Eagles have allowed 23.0 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 5th-worst in NFL.

Rams WRs have 418 receptions in 27 games (15.5 per game) since the 2023 season — best in NFL. The Eagles have allowed 13.3 receptions per game to WRs since the 2023 season — 4th-worst in NFL.

The Rams have a third down conversion rate of just 28.6% in the first half this season — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Eagles defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 32.8% in the first half this season — 4th-best in NFL.

The Eagles have run successful plays on 52.1% of pass attempts against a light front this season — 4th-best in NFL. The Rams have allowed successful plays on 50.0% of pass attempts with a light front this season — 2nd-worst in NFL.

The Eagles have been successful on 53.2% of plays they have ran against a light front this season — best in NFL. The Rams have allowed their opponents to be successful on 45.8% of plays with a light front this season — 4th-worst in NFL.

The Eagles have scored on 51.9% of their drives in the second half this season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Rams defense has allowed scores on 44% of opponent drives in the second half this season — 5th-worst in NFL.

Philadelphia Eagles Offense: Important Stats

The Eagles ran successful plays on 61% of rush attempts against a stacked front last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

The Eagles have run the ball on 37% of plays (135 carries/362 plays) on 3rd down since the 2023 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 24%.

The Eagles threw the ball 4% of the time (3 Pass Attempts/78 plays) on plays under center last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 26%.

The Eagles ran successful plays on 59% of plays against a stacked front last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

Los Angeles Rams Offense: Important Stats

The Rams have run successful plays on 86% of plays against a light rush this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 40%.

The Rams have run successful plays on 17% of rush attempts against a base rush this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 52%.

The Rams have run successful plays on 86% of pass attempts against a light rush this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

The Rams went three and out on 6% of their drives in the 1st quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 22%.

Philadelphia Eagles Defense: Important Stats

The Eagles defense has allowed successful plays on 43% of pass attempts first read passes this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 52%.

The Eagles defense allowed a passer rating of 51.3 with tight coverage (160 Pass Attempts) last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 21.9.

Offenses facing the Eagles targeted RBs 34% of the time (11 Pass Attempts/32 plays) in Week 11 — 2nd-highest in NFL; League Avg: 16%.

The Eagles defense has allowed successful plays on 44% of plays first read passes this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 51%.

Los Angeles Rams Defense: Important Stats

The Rams defense have allowed -0.60 epa per play with a heavy rush since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: -0.05.

The Rams defense has allowed a passer rating of just 31.0 on 3rd and long (35 Pass Attempts) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 83.0.

The Rams defense has allowed a passer rating of just 51.2 on 3rd and long (114 Pass Attempts) since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 81.8.

The Rams defense has allowed 11 TDs on first drive of the game since the 2023 season — T-most in NFL.

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