Eagles vs Rams Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NFL, Week 12

Los Angeles Rams quarterback Matthew Stafford drops back to pass during an NFL football game against the Seattle Seahawks, Sunday, Sept. 10, 2023, in Seattle. The Rams won 30-13.
(Stephen Brashear/AP Photo)
  • The Eagles are -3 point favorites vs the Rams
  • Total (Over/Under): 49 points
  • Watch this game on NBC | UNIV | TELX

The Philadelphia Eagles (8-2-0) visit SoFi Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Rams (5-5-0) on Nov. 24. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:20pm EST in Inglewood, CA.

The Eagles are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -3 (-105).

The Eagles vs. Rams Over/Under is 49 total points for the game.

Bet now on Rams vs Eagles & all NFL games with BetMGM

Eagles vs. Rams Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Eagles-3 -10549 -110-155
Rams +3 -11549 -110+125

Eagles vs. Rams Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Eagles will win this game with 61.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Eagles vs Rams Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Eagles will cover the spread with 58.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


Bet now on Rams vs Eagles and all NFL games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Eagles players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Eagles Player Prop Bets Today

  • Jahan Dotson has hit the Receptions Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.20 Units / 50% ROI)
  • DeVonta Smith has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.35 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Jalen Hurts has hit the TD Passes Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+6.10 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Saquon Barkley has hit the Receptions Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.00 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Jalen Hurts has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 12 of his last 18 games (+4.80 Units / 22% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Rams players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rams Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Matthew Stafford has hit the Completions Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.70 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Matthew Stafford has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.65 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Kyren Williams has hit the Carries Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.50 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Matthew Stafford has hit the Passing Yards Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.30 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Tyler Higbee has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 89% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 10 away games (+7.95 Units / 68% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have covered the 3Q Spread in 8 of their last 10 away games (+6.30 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 away games (+5.75 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 19 games (+2.50 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 2H Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 away games (+2.26 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games (+9.75 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.55 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+7.68 Units / 67% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have covered the 2Q Spread in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.85 Units / 65% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.35 Units / 24% ROI)

Eagles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Eagles art 6-4 (+1.65 Units / 14.8% ROI).

  • Eagles are 8-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.8 Units / 22.43% ROI
  • Eagles are 4-6 when betting the Over for -2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI
  • Eagles are 6-4 when betting the Under for +1.6 Units / ROI

Rams Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Rams are 4-6 (-2.55 Units / -23.29% ROI).

  • Rams are 5-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.05 Units / 7.39% ROI
  • Rams are 5-5 when betting the Over for -0.55 Units / -4.98% ROI
  • Rams are 5-5 when betting the Under for -0.5 Units / -4.57% ROI

Philadelphia Eagles: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Rams

The Eagles are undefeated (3-0) when forcing at least one fumble this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .591.

The Eagles are 8-1 (.889) when forcing at least one fumble since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .607.

The Eagles are 16-3 (.842) when allowing less than 3 explosive runs since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .563.

The Eagles are 7-1 (.875) when tied at the end of quarter 1 since the 2023 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .500.

Los Angeles Rams: Keys to the Game vs. the Philadelphia Eagles

The Rams are 1-6 (.143) when allowing more than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season — 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .423.

The Rams were 9-6 (.600) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team last season — T-9th-best in NFL; League Avg: .500.

The Rams are 4-1 (.800) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season — T-7th-best in NFL; League Avg: .598.

The Rams are 2-4 (.333) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties this season — T-8th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .496.

Additional Matchup Notes for Philadelphia Eagles vs. Los Angeles Rams

Rams WRs have 418 receptions in 27 games (15.5 per game) since the 2023 season — best in NFL. The Eagles have allowed 23.0 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 5th-worst in NFL.

Rams WRs have 418 receptions in 27 games (15.5 per game) since the 2023 season — best in NFL. The Eagles have allowed 13.3 receptions per game to WRs since the 2023 season — 4th-worst in NFL.

The Rams have a third down conversion rate of just 28.6% in the first half this season — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Eagles defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 32.8% in the first half this season — 4th-best in NFL.

The Eagles have run successful plays on 52.1% of pass attempts against a light front this season — 4th-best in NFL. The Rams have allowed successful plays on 50.0% of pass attempts with a light front this season — 2nd-worst in NFL.

The Eagles have been successful on 53.2% of plays they have ran against a light front this season — best in NFL. The Rams have allowed their opponents to be successful on 45.8% of plays with a light front this season — 4th-worst in NFL.

The Eagles have scored on 51.9% of their drives in the second half this season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Rams defense has allowed scores on 44% of opponent drives in the second half this season — 5th-worst in NFL.

Philadelphia Eagles Offense: Important Stats

The Eagles ran successful plays on 61% of rush attempts against a stacked front last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

The Eagles have run the ball on 37% of plays (135 carries/362 plays) on 3rd down since the 2023 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 24%.

The Eagles threw the ball 4% of the time (3 Pass Attempts/78 plays) on plays under center last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 26%.

The Eagles ran successful plays on 59% of plays against a stacked front last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

Los Angeles Rams Offense: Important Stats

The Rams have run successful plays on 86% of plays against a light rush this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 40%.

The Rams have run successful plays on 17% of rush attempts against a base rush this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 52%.

The Rams have run successful plays on 86% of pass attempts against a light rush this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

The Rams went three and out on 6% of their drives in the 1st quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 22%.

Philadelphia Eagles Defense: Important Stats

The Eagles defense has allowed successful plays on 43% of pass attempts first read passes this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 52%.

The Eagles defense allowed a passer rating of 51.3 with tight coverage (160 Pass Attempts) last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 21.9.

Offenses facing the Eagles targeted RBs 34% of the time (11 Pass Attempts/32 plays) in Week 11 — 2nd-highest in NFL; League Avg: 16%.

The Eagles defense has allowed successful plays on 44% of plays first read passes this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 51%.

Los Angeles Rams Defense: Important Stats

The Rams defense have allowed -0.60 epa per play with a heavy rush since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: -0.05.

The Rams defense has allowed a passer rating of just 31.0 on 3rd and long (35 Pass Attempts) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 83.0.

The Rams defense has allowed a passer rating of just 51.2 on 3rd and long (114 Pass Attempts) since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 81.8.

The Rams defense has allowed 11 TDs on first drive of the game since the 2023 season — T-most in NFL.

Looking to place a bet on this game with a First Bet Offer up to $1,500? Bet now on Rams vs Eagles and all NFL games with BetMGM

More NFL Betting Predictions:

More NFL Odds at BetMGM

Take your football entertainment to the next level with NFL betting at the online sportsbook.

From futures like Chiefs Super Bowl odds, Lions odds to win the division, or Ravens playoff odds, to weekly odds like spreads, moneylines, and over/under totals, thereโ€™s something for everyone.

And with the best sportsbook promotions, you could land a welcome offer, sports betting Odds Boost, or a Parlay Boost! You can also check out NFL picks and predictions and updated Super Bowl predictions throughout the year.

Log in to your BetMGM account today โ€” or sign up for a new account via the online sportsbook or BetMGM iOS app or BetMGM Android app โ€” to start betting!

About the Author

Nick Hennion

Read More @nickhennion

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.