Eagles vs Saints Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NFL, Week 3

min read
(AP Photo/Matt Durisko)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 18, 2024, 4:05 PM
  • The Saints are -2.5 point favorites vs the Eagles
  • Total (Over/Under): 49.5 points
  • Watch this game on FOX

The Philadelphia Eagles (1-1-0) visit Caesars Superdome to take on the New Orleans Saints (2-0-0) on Sep. 22. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in New Orleans, LA.

The Saints are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).

The Eagles vs. Saints Over/Under is 49.5 total points for the game.

Bet now on Saints vs Eagles & all NFL games with BetMGM

Eagles vs. Saints Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Eagles+2.5 -10549.5 -110+125
Saints -2.5 -11549.5 -110-150

Eagles vs. Saints Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Eagles will win this game with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Eagles vs Saints Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Eagles will cover the spread with 52.1% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


Bet now on Saints vs Eagles and all NFL games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Eagles players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Eagles Player Prop Bets Today

  • Kenny Pickett has hit the Completions Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.80 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Kenny Pickett has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.70 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Kenny Pickett has hit the Interceptions Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Jahan Dotson has hit the Longest Reception Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+6.95 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Jalen Hurts has hit the Interceptions Over in 11 of his last 17 games (+6.70 Units / 38% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Saints players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Saints Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Derek Carr has hit the TD Passes Over in 10 of his last 18 games (+5.30 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Cedrick Wilson has hit the Receptions Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.05 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Foster Moreau has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.85 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Chris Olave has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+4.80 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Alvin Kamara has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+4.60 Units / 28% ROI)

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Saints vs Eagles

Player Name Over Under
Saquon Barkley (PHI) 23.5 -120 23.5 -110
Chris Olave (NO) 59.5 -115 59.5 -115
Dallas Goedert (PHI) 38.5 -115 38.5 -115
Alvin Kamara (NO) 32.5 -120 32.5 -110

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Saints vs Eagles

Player Name Over Under
Jalen Hurts (PHI) 43.5 -110 43.5 -120
Alvin Kamara (NO) 62.5 -120 62.5 -115
Saquon Barkley (PHI) 73.5 -115 73.5 -115
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+7.05 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 9 away games (+6.95 Units / 64% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 8 away games (+6.05 Units / 64% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.40 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 away games (+2.75 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Saints have hit the 2H Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+8.25 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Saints have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+7.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Saints have covered the 2H Spread in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.00 Units / 59% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Saints have scored last in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.65 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Saints have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games (+6.60 Units / 28% ROI)

Eagles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Eagles art 1-1 (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • Eagles are 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.5 Units / -40% ROI
  • Eagles are 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Eagles are 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / ROI

Saints Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Saints are 2-0 (+2 Units / 90.91% ROI).

  • Saints are 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.3 Units / 113.79% ROI
  • Saints are 2-0 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
  • Saints are 0-2 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI

Philadelphia Eagles: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Saints

The Eagles are undefeated (8-0) vs bottom 10 pass defenses since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .500.

The Eagles were undefeated (3-0) vs bottom 10 pass defenses last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .506.

The Eagles are undefeated (3-0) vs bottom 10 pass defenses since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .505.

The Eagles were 7-4 (.636) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .363.

New Orleans Saints: Keys to the Game vs. the Philadelphia Eagles

The Saints were winless (0-4) vs top 10 offenses last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .359.

The Saints are winless (0-5) when converting less than 30% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .323.

The Saints are winless (0-4) vs top 10 offenses since the 2022 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .358.

The Saints are 1-3 (.250) after a road win since the 2022 season — 6th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .466.

Additional Matchup Notes for Philadelphia Eagles vs. New Orleans Saints

The Saints have gone three and out on 9.5% of their drives this season — T-4th-best in NFL. The Eagles have forced three and outs on 0% of opponent drives this season — worst in NFL.

The Saints scored on 70% of their drives last week — 2nd-best in NFL. The Eagles defense allowed scores on 55.6% of opponent drives last week — 4th-worst in NFL.

The Saints have averaged -0.39 epa per play against tight coverage since the 2023 season — T-4th-best in NFL. The Eagles have allowed -0.39 epa per play with tight coverage since the 2023 season — T-4th-worst in NFL.

The Eagles have gained at least 5 yards on just 33.9% of first down plays this season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Saints have allowed at least 5 yards on just 34.6% of first down plays this season — 5th-best in NFL.

The Eagles have turned the ball over 4 times this season — T-4th-most in NFL. The Saints have forced 6 turnovers this season — T-most in NFL.

Philadelphia Eagles Offense: Important Stats

The Eagles ran successful plays on 61% of rush attempts against a stacked front last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

The Eagles have run 33% of their plays in the red zone in the 2nd half this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 15%.

The Eagles have averaged 0.26 epa per play against a stacked front since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 0.03.

The Eagles ran successful plays on 59% of plays against a stacked front last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

New Orleans Saints Offense: Important Stats

The Saints have scored on 76% of their drives this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 39%.

The Saints have scored 8 TDs in the red zone this season — most in NFL.

The Saints have averaged 0.34 epa per play against a base front this season — best in NFL; League Avg: -0.02.

The Saints have rushed for 6 TDs this season — most in NFL.

Philadelphia Eagles Defense: Important Stats

The Eagles defense have forced three and outs on 9% of opponent drives in the 2nd half since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 20%.

The Eagles defense allowed 25 TD passes in the red zone last season — T-most in NFL.

The Eagles defense allowed a passer rating of 51.3 with tight coverage (160 Pass Attempts) last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 21.9.

The Eagles defense allowed a passer rating of 103.3 on contested throws (103 Pass Attempts) last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 64.6.

New Orleans Saints Defense: Important Stats

The Saints defense has allowed successful plays on 44% of plays first read passes since the 2022 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 52%.

The Saints defense allowed first downs on just 41% of plays on 3rd and short last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 59%.

The Saints defense allowed a Completion Pct of just 32% (9 completions/28 attempts) on 3rd and short last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 63%.

The Saints defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 41% on 3rd and short last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 59%.

Looking to place a bet on this game with a First Bet Offer up to $1,500? Bet now on Saints vs Eagles and all NFL games with BetMGM

More NFL Betting Predictions:

More NFL Odds at BetMGM

Take your football entertainment to the next level with NFL betting at the online sportsbook.

From futures like Chiefs Super Bowl odds, Lions odds to win the division, or Ravens playoff odds, to weekly odds like spreads, moneylines, and over/under totals, thereโ€™s something for everyone.

And with the best sportsbook promotions, you could land a welcome offer, sports betting Odds Boost, or a Parlay Boost! You can also check out NFL picks and predictions and updated Super Bowl predictions throughout the year.

Log in to your BetMGM account today โ€” or sign up for a new account via the online sportsbook or BetMGM iOS app or BetMGM Android app โ€” to start betting!

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.