Eagles vs Saints Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NFL, Week 3

(AP Photo/Matt Durisko)
  • The Saints are -2.5 point favorites vs the Eagles
  • Total (Over/Under): 49.5 points
  • Watch this game on FOX

The Philadelphia Eagles (1-1-0) visit Caesars Superdome to take on the New Orleans Saints (2-0-0) on Sep. 22. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in New Orleans, LA.

The Saints are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).

The Eagles vs. Saints Over/Under is 49.5 total points for the game.

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Eagles vs. Saints Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Eagles+2.5 -10549.5 -110+125
Saints -2.5 -11549.5 -110-150

Eagles vs. Saints Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Eagles will win this game with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Eagles vs Saints Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Eagles will cover the spread with 52.1% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Eagles players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Eagles Player Prop Bets Today

  • Kenny Pickett has hit the Completions Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.80 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Kenny Pickett has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.70 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Kenny Pickett has hit the Interceptions Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Jahan Dotson has hit the Longest Reception Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+6.95 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Jalen Hurts has hit the Interceptions Over in 11 of his last 17 games (+6.70 Units / 38% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Saints players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Saints Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Derek Carr has hit the TD Passes Over in 10 of his last 18 games (+5.30 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Cedrick Wilson has hit the Receptions Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.05 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Foster Moreau has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.85 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Chris Olave has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+4.80 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Alvin Kamara has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+4.60 Units / 28% ROI)

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Saints vs Eagles

Player Name Over Under
Saquon Barkley (PHI) 23.5 -120 23.5 -110
Chris Olave (NO) 59.5 -115 59.5 -115
Dallas Goedert (PHI) 38.5 -115 38.5 -115
Alvin Kamara (NO) 32.5 -120 32.5 -110

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Saints vs Eagles

Player Name Over Under
Jalen Hurts (PHI) 43.5 -110 43.5 -120
Alvin Kamara (NO) 62.5 -120 62.5 -115
Saquon Barkley (PHI) 73.5 -115 73.5 -115
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+7.05 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 9 away games (+6.95 Units / 64% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 8 away games (+6.05 Units / 64% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.40 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 away games (+2.75 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Saints have hit the 2H Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+8.25 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Saints have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+7.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Saints have covered the 2H Spread in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.00 Units / 59% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Saints have scored last in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.65 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Saints have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games (+6.60 Units / 28% ROI)

Eagles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Eagles art 1-1 (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • Eagles are 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.5 Units / -40% ROI
  • Eagles are 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Eagles are 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / ROI

Saints Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Saints are 2-0 (+2 Units / 90.91% ROI).

  • Saints are 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.3 Units / 113.79% ROI
  • Saints are 2-0 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
  • Saints are 0-2 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI

Philadelphia Eagles: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Saints

The Eagles are undefeated (8-0) vs bottom 10 pass defenses since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .500.

The Eagles were undefeated (3-0) vs bottom 10 pass defenses last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .506.

The Eagles are undefeated (3-0) vs bottom 10 pass defenses since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .505.

The Eagles were 7-4 (.636) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .363.

New Orleans Saints: Keys to the Game vs. the Philadelphia Eagles

The Saints were winless (0-4) vs top 10 offenses last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .359.

The Saints are winless (0-5) when converting less than 30% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .323.

The Saints are winless (0-4) vs top 10 offenses since the 2022 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .358.

The Saints are 1-3 (.250) after a road win since the 2022 season — 6th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .466.

Additional Matchup Notes for Philadelphia Eagles vs. New Orleans Saints

The Saints have gone three and out on 9.5% of their drives this season — T-4th-best in NFL. The Eagles have forced three and outs on 0% of opponent drives this season — worst in NFL.

The Saints scored on 70% of their drives last week — 2nd-best in NFL. The Eagles defense allowed scores on 55.6% of opponent drives last week — 4th-worst in NFL.

The Saints have averaged -0.39 epa per play against tight coverage since the 2023 season — T-4th-best in NFL. The Eagles have allowed -0.39 epa per play with tight coverage since the 2023 season — T-4th-worst in NFL.

The Eagles have gained at least 5 yards on just 33.9% of first down plays this season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Saints have allowed at least 5 yards on just 34.6% of first down plays this season — 5th-best in NFL.

The Eagles have turned the ball over 4 times this season — T-4th-most in NFL. The Saints have forced 6 turnovers this season — T-most in NFL.

Philadelphia Eagles Offense: Important Stats

The Eagles ran successful plays on 61% of rush attempts against a stacked front last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

The Eagles have run 33% of their plays in the red zone in the 2nd half this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 15%.

The Eagles have averaged 0.26 epa per play against a stacked front since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 0.03.

The Eagles ran successful plays on 59% of plays against a stacked front last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

New Orleans Saints Offense: Important Stats

The Saints have scored on 76% of their drives this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 39%.

The Saints have scored 8 TDs in the red zone this season — most in NFL.

The Saints have averaged 0.34 epa per play against a base front this season — best in NFL; League Avg: -0.02.

The Saints have rushed for 6 TDs this season — most in NFL.

Philadelphia Eagles Defense: Important Stats

The Eagles defense have forced three and outs on 9% of opponent drives in the 2nd half since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 20%.

The Eagles defense allowed 25 TD passes in the red zone last season — T-most in NFL.

The Eagles defense allowed a passer rating of 51.3 with tight coverage (160 Pass Attempts) last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 21.9.

The Eagles defense allowed a passer rating of 103.3 on contested throws (103 Pass Attempts) last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 64.6.

New Orleans Saints Defense: Important Stats

The Saints defense has allowed successful plays on 44% of plays first read passes since the 2022 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 52%.

The Saints defense allowed first downs on just 41% of plays on 3rd and short last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 59%.

The Saints defense allowed a Completion Pct of just 32% (9 completions/28 attempts) on 3rd and short last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 63%.

The Saints defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 41% on 3rd and short last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 59%.

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About the Author

Nick Hennion

Read More @nickhennion

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.