- The Eagles are a 5.5-point home favorite against the Packers.
- Philadelphia defeated Green Bay 34-29 in Brazil in Week 1.
- My Eagles vs. Packers prediction is for Green Bay to cover the spread.
The Eagles begin their postseason campaign with a rematch against the Packers in Philadelphia.
The Eagles, who rested starters in Week 18, secured a win to guarantee the second overall seed. Earlier this season, Philadelphia handed Green Bay a 34-29 defeat in Brazil back in Week 1.
Green Bay enters the wild-card round off an undesirable result. As 10-point home favorites against the Bears, Green Bay fell 24-22 on a last-second field goal.
Bet on Eagles vs. Packers and other NFL matchups with up-to-date NFL odds.
NFL Wild Card Odds: Eagles vs. Packers
Eagles vs. Packers Prediction
Based on Matt LaFleur’s success as an underdog and the strength of Green Bay’s offense, my Eagles vs. Packers prediction is the Packers Spread (+5.5, -110).
Essentially, this is a bet on a Green Bay offense that has recorded outstanding metrics against strong defenses.
The Packers rank fourth in offensive DVOA, having faced the hardest schedule of opposing defenses, per ftnfantasy.com.
They’ll need a strong offensive output against Philadelphia, which sits first in defensive DVOA, having faced the 11th-hardest set of opposing offenses.
It also shapes up as a strong sell-high spot on the Eagles, which have played a number of games against bad offenses recently.
Not since Week 13 against the Ravens has Philadelphia played a team fifth or better in offensive DVOA.
Although the Eagles captured a five-point win in that game, they did so against a Ravens team that left seven points on the board via Justin Tucker.
Plus, the Eagles closed as a market underdog in that game. Now as a favorite, they face a LaFleur-led Packers side that excels as underdogs.
LaFleur is 24-12-1 ATS as a market underdog in his career, including 18-5-1 ATS at +3 or higher.
With Jordan Love, LaFleur is 12-7-1 ATS as a market dog, including 7-2-1 north of a field goal.
As a result, take the Packers, who are now sitting north of a key number, against the Eagles.
Betting Eagles vs. Packers: NFL Public Betting
| Bets% (ATS) | Money% (ATS) | Bets% (ML) | Money% (ML) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Packers | 27% | 28% | 57% | 38% |
| Eagles | 73% | 72% | 43% | 62% |
